Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
neighborhood

Carroll Gardens-Cobble Hill-Gowanus-Red Hook, NY

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

2004–2024 · D minus R
Full record · 2004 → 2024
2024 presidential vote for Carroll Gardens-Cobble Hill-Gowanus-Red HookThe boundary of Carroll Gardens-Cobble Hill-Gowanus-Red Hook, filled by its 2024 presidential vote (D+78.5).Carroll Gardens-Cobble Hill-Gowanus-Red Hook · D+78.5
2024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The boundary is the New York City 2020 Neighborhood Tabulation Areas. Results for 2004–2024 are modeled from precinct returns assigned through 2020 Census blocks, not certified neighborhood returns.

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on Census boundaries

HarrisDemocratic88.1%23,529TrumpRepublican9.6%2,561OtherAll other candidates2.3%613
D+78.5
Lead
20,968
Total
26,703
vs nation
D+80.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
BidenDemocratic91.4%25,789TrumpRepublican7.5%2,118OtherAll other candidates1.1%312
D+83.9
Lead
23,671
Total
28,219
vs nation
D+79.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic90.6%22,655TrumpRepublican6.3%1,569OtherAll other candidates3.1%769
D+84.4
Lead
21,086
Total
24,993
vs nation
D+82.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic92.6%20,398RomneyRepublican7.4%1,640OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
D+85.1
Lead
18,758
Total
22,038
vs nation
D+81.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic90.3%21,752McCainRepublican8.8%2,131OtherAll other candidates0.9%206
D+81.5
Lead
19,621
Total
24,089
vs nation
D+74.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic87.7%18,564BushRepublican11.0%2,338OtherAll other candidates1.2%257
D+76.7
Lead
16,226
Total
21,159
vs nation
D+79.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Modeled estimate from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal pointRelative-to-nation = Place margin minus national margin for the same office and year.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+78.5MIT Election Lab
Population
59,1662020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
Population density
27,124 / sq mi2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks · NYC Department of City Planning
Land area
2.2 sq miNYC Department of City Planning
Median household income
$80,4832024 ACS 5-year parent-city context
White alone
58.4%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Black alone
14.1%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Hispanic / Latino (any race)
20.4%2020 Census PL 94-171 P2
Peak Democratic margin
D+85.1 in 2012MIT Election Lab
Most similar
Upper West Side-Manhattan Valley, NY · twin score 86.6

presidential history

Party record book

Carroll Gardens-Cobble Hill-Gowanus-Red Hook, NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles

Highest vote share

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2012

92.6%

20,398 votes · D+85.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 91.4%

Republican

George W. Bush2004

11.0%

2,338 votes · D+76.7 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 9.6%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Joe Biden2020

25,789votes

91.4% of the vote · D+83.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 23,529 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

2,561votes

9.6% of the vote · D+78.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 2,338 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Hillary Clinton2016

+82.3pts D vs U.S.

Place D+84.4 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +81.3 pts

Republican

John McCain2008

−74.2pts R vs U.S.

Place D+81.5 · U.S. D+7.3 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · −79.1 pts

Records rank each party’s presidential nominees over the returns for Carroll Gardens-Cobble Hill-Gowanus-Red Hook, NY, 2004–2024. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024); national margins from the same series.Vote share is the nominee’s votes over the candidate-vote total; “relative to the U.S.” subtracts the national margin from this Place’s margin (reversed for the Republican side, so the two are exactly symmetric). Ranking uses full precision and an exact tie goes to the more recent cycle.At least one record above sits on a modeled cycle — precinct returns allocated to this boundary, marked in place and estimated rather than certified.

What the record shows

Carroll Gardens-Cobble Hill-Gowanus-Red Hook voted Democratic by 78.5 points in the modeled 2024 presidential estimate. Its two-party direction moved 1.8 points toward Republicans or Democrats in net terms—specifically Democratic—between 2004 and 2024.

The boundary is the city-sourced Neighborhood Tabulation Area system (2020 / DCP release 26b). Election totals are estimated from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal point. Detailed age, income, poverty, education, and language panels use the parent city's 2024 ACS profile as context; population and headline race figures use 2020 Census blocks inside this boundary.

Carroll Gardens-Cobble Hill-Gowanus-Red Hook: Democratic by 78.5 points in the modeled 2024 presidential result.
Boundary system
NYC 2020 NTAs · NYC Department of City Planning
2020 population
59,166 (2020) · 2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
2024 presidential estimate
Democratic by 78.5 points (2024) · Akashic block-disaggregated presidential model
Political twins — neighborhoods

The neighborhoods whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Upper West Side-Manhattan Valley
New York
86.6twin score
Similarity 0.87
Park Slope
New York
82.0twin score
Similarity 0.82
Williamsburg
New York
81.6twin score
Similarity 0.82

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Carroll Gardens-Cobble Hill-Gowanus-Red Hook, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/neighborhood/new-york/carroll-gardens-cobble-hill-gowanus-red-hook/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions

How did Carroll Gardens-Cobble Hill-Gowanus-Red Hook, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Carroll Gardens-Cobble Hill-Gowanus-Red Hook, New York voted Democratic by 78.5 points (D+78.5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 26,703 votes cast, 23,529 went Democratic and 2,561 went Republican.
How many people live in Carroll Gardens-Cobble Hill-Gowanus-Red Hook, New York?
Carroll Gardens-Cobble Hill-Gowanus-Red Hook, New York has a population of 59,166 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Carroll Gardens-Cobble Hill-Gowanus-Red Hook, New York?
Median household income in Carroll Gardens-Cobble Hill-Gowanus-Red Hook, New York is $80,483 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Carroll Gardens-Cobble Hill-Gowanus-Red Hook, New York?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Carroll Gardens-Cobble Hill-Gowanus-Red Hook, New York from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.