Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
neighborhood

Castle Hill-Unionport, NY

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

20042024 · D minus R
Full record · 20042024
2024 presidential vote for Castle Hill-UnionportThe boundary of Castle Hill-Unionport, filled by its 2024 presidential vote (D+43.8).Castle Hill-Unionport · D+43.8
2024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The boundary is the New York City 2020 Neighborhood Tabulation Areas. Results for 2004–2024 are modeled from precinct returns assigned through 2020 Census blocks, not certified neighborhood returns.

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on Census boundaries

HarrisDemocratic70.9%7,229TrumpRepublican27.2%2,767OtherAll other candidates1.9%195
D+43.8
Lead
4,462
Total
10,191
vs nation
D+45.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
BidenDemocratic85.7%10,658TrumpRepublican13.6%1,695OtherAll other candidates0.7%85
D+72.1
Lead
8,963
Total
12,438
vs nation
D+67.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic90.2%10,333TrumpRepublican8.0%913OtherAll other candidates1.8%210
D+82.2
Lead
9,420
Total
11,456
vs nation
D+80.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic94.5%9,842RomneyRepublican5.5%568OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
D+89.1
Lead
9,274
Total
10,410
vs nation
D+85.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic90.7%10,094McCainRepublican8.9%993OtherAll other candidates0.4%45
D+81.8
Lead
9,101
Total
11,132
vs nation
D+74.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic85.5%8,476BushRepublican13.7%1,355OtherAll other candidates0.8%84
D+71.8
Lead
7,121
Total
9,915
vs nation
D+74.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Modeled estimate from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal pointRelative-to-nation = Place margin minus national margin for the same office and year.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+43.8MIT Election Lab
Population
41,4002020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
Population density
35,081 / sq mi2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks · NYC Department of City Planning
Land area
1.2 sq miNYC Department of City Planning
Median household income
$80,4832024 ACS 5-year parent-city context
White alone
9.6%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Black alone
24.6%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Hispanic / Latino (any race)
53.9%2020 Census PL 94-171 P2
Peak Democratic margin
D+89.1 in 2012MIT Election Lab
Most similar
Norwood, NY · twin score 86.1

presidential history

Party record book

Castle Hill-Unionport, NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles

Highest vote share

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2012

94.5%

9,842 votes · D+89.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 90.7%

Republican

Donald Trump2024

27.2%

2,767 votes · D+43.8 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 13.7%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Joe Biden2020

10,658votes

85.7% of the vote · D+72.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 10,333 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

2,767votes

27.2% of the vote · D+43.8 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 1,695 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Barack Obama2012

+85.2pts D vs U.S.

Place D+89.1 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · +80.1 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2024

−45.3pts R vs U.S.

Place D+43.8 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · −67.6 pts

Records rank each party’s presidential nominees over the returns for Castle Hill-Unionport, NY, 2004–2024. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024); national margins from the same series.Vote share is the nominee’s votes over the candidate-vote total; “relative to the U.S.” subtracts the national margin from this Place’s margin (reversed for the Republican side, so the two are exactly symmetric). Ranking uses full precision and an exact tie goes to the more recent cycle.At least one record above sits on a modeled cycle — precinct returns allocated to this boundary, marked in place and estimated rather than certified.

What the record shows

Castle Hill-Unionport voted Democratic by 43.8 points in the modeled 2024 presidential estimate. Its two-party direction moved 28.0 points toward Republicans or Democrats in net terms—specifically Republican—between 2004 and 2024.

The boundary is the city-sourced Neighborhood Tabulation Area system (2020 / DCP release 26b). Election totals are estimated from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal point. Detailed age, income, poverty, education, and language panels use the parent city's 2024 ACS profile as context; population and headline race figures use 2020 Census blocks inside this boundary.

Castle Hill-Unionport: Democratic by 43.8 points in the modeled 2024 presidential result.
Boundary system
NYC 2020 NTAs · NYC Department of City Planning
2020 population
41,400 (2020) · 2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
2024 presidential estimate
Democratic by 43.8 points (2024) · Akashic block-disaggregated presidential model

The neighborhoods whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Castle Hill-Unionport, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/neighborhood/new-york/castle-hill-unionport/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
U.S. electionsAll elections →

Frequently asked questions

How did Castle Hill-Unionport, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Castle Hill-Unionport, New York voted Democratic by 43.8 points (D+43.8), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 10,191 votes cast, 7,229 went Democratic and 2,767 went Republican.
How many people live in Castle Hill-Unionport, New York?
Castle Hill-Unionport, New York has a population of 41,400 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Castle Hill-Unionport, New York?
Median household income in Castle Hill-Unionport, New York is $80,483 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Castle Hill-Unionport, New York?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Castle Hill-Unionport, New York from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.