Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
neighborhood

East Elmhurst, NY

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

2004–2024 · D minus R
Full record · 2004 → 2024
2024 presidential vote for East ElmhurstThe boundary of East Elmhurst, filled by its 2024 presidential vote (D+23.0).East Elmhurst · D+23.0
2024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The boundary is the New York City 2020 Neighborhood Tabulation Areas. Results for 2004–2024 are modeled from precinct returns assigned through 2020 Census blocks, not certified neighborhood returns.

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on Census boundaries

HarrisDemocratic60.6%4,517TrumpRepublican37.6%2,804OtherAll other candidates1.8%131
D+23.0
Lead
1,713
Total
7,452
vs nation
D+24.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
BidenDemocratic80.4%6,889TrumpRepublican18.8%1,609OtherAll other candidates0.8%71
D+61.6
Lead
5,280
Total
8,569
vs nation
D+57.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic88.3%7,103TrumpRepublican9.4%757OtherAll other candidates2.3%186
D+78.9
Lead
6,346
Total
8,046
vs nation
D+76.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic92.7%5,071RomneyRepublican7.3%402OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
D+85.3
Lead
4,669
Total
5,473
vs nation
D+81.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic91.6%6,541McCainRepublican7.9%567OtherAll other candidates0.4%32
D+83.7
Lead
5,974
Total
7,140
vs nation
D+76.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic90.5%5,903BushRepublican9.1%591OtherAll other candidates0.5%32
D+81.4
Lead
5,312
Total
6,526
vs nation
D+83.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Modeled estimate from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal pointRelative-to-nation = Place margin minus national margin for the same office and year.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+23.0MIT Election Lab
Population
33,5732020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
Population density
32,539 / sq mi2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks · NYC Department of City Planning
Land area
1 sq miNYC Department of City Planning
Median household income
$80,4832024 ACS 5-year parent-city context
White alone
10.1%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Black alone
16.2%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Hispanic / Latino (any race)
64.4%2020 Census PL 94-171 P2
Peak Democratic margin
D+85.3 in 2012MIT Election Lab
Most similar
Norwood, NY · twin score 82.1

presidential history

Party record book

East Elmhurst, NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles

Highest vote share

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2012

92.7%

5,071 votes · D+85.3 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 91.6%

Republican

Donald Trump2024

37.6%

2,804 votes · D+23.0 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 18.8%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Hillary Clinton2016

7,103votes

88.3% of the vote · D+78.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 6,889 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

2,804votes

37.6% of the vote · D+23.0 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 1,609 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

John Kerry2004

+83.9pts D vs U.S.

Place D+81.4 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +81.5 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2024

−24.5pts R vs U.S.

Place D+23.0 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · −57.2 pts

Records rank each party’s presidential nominees over the returns for East Elmhurst, NY, 2004–2024. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024); national margins from the same series.Vote share is the nominee’s votes over the candidate-vote total; “relative to the U.S.” subtracts the national margin from this Place’s margin (reversed for the Republican side, so the two are exactly symmetric). Ranking uses full precision and an exact tie goes to the more recent cycle.At least one record above sits on a modeled cycle — precinct returns allocated to this boundary, marked in place and estimated rather than certified.

What the record shows

East Elmhurst voted Democratic by 23.0 points in the modeled 2024 presidential estimate. Its two-party direction moved 58.4 points toward Republicans or Democrats in net terms—specifically Republican—between 2004 and 2024.

The boundary is the city-sourced Neighborhood Tabulation Area system (2020 / DCP release 26b). Election totals are estimated from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal point. Detailed age, income, poverty, education, and language panels use the parent city's 2024 ACS profile as context; population and headline race figures use 2020 Census blocks inside this boundary.

East Elmhurst: Democratic by 23.0 points in the modeled 2024 presidential result.
Boundary system
NYC 2020 NTAs · NYC Department of City Planning
2020 population
33,573 (2020) · 2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
2024 presidential estimate
Democratic by 23.0 points (2024) · Akashic block-disaggregated presidential model
Political twins — neighborhoods

The neighborhoods whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Norwood
New York
82.1twin score
Similarity 0.82
Cypress Hills
New York
81.1twin score
Similarity 0.81
Kingsbridge Heights-Van Cortlandt Village
New York
77.9twin score
Similarity 0.78

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
East Elmhurst, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/neighborhood/new-york/east-elmhurst/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions

How did East Elmhurst, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, East Elmhurst, New York voted Democratic by 23.0 points (D+23.0), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 7,452 votes cast, 4,517 went Democratic and 2,804 went Republican.
How many people live in East Elmhurst, New York?
East Elmhurst, New York has a population of 33,573 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in East Elmhurst, New York?
Median household income in East Elmhurst, New York is $80,483 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of East Elmhurst, New York?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in East Elmhurst, New York from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.