Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
neighborhood

East Flatbush-Erasmus, NY

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

2004–2024 · D minus R
Full record · 2004 → 2024
2024 presidential vote for East Flatbush-ErasmusThe boundary of East Flatbush-Erasmus, filled by its 2024 presidential vote (D+85.4).East Flatbush-Erasmus · D+85.4
2024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The boundary is the New York City 2020 Neighborhood Tabulation Areas. Results for 2004–2024 are modeled from precinct returns assigned through 2020 Census blocks, not certified neighborhood returns.

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on Census boundaries

HarrisDemocratic91.8%14,689TrumpRepublican6.5%1,037OtherAll other candidates1.7%267
D+85.4
Lead
13,652
Total
15,993
vs nation
D+86.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
BidenDemocratic95.6%16,051TrumpRepublican3.7%615OtherAll other candidates0.7%122
D+91.9
Lead
15,436
Total
16,788
vs nation
D+87.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic95.5%13,743TrumpRepublican2.7%383OtherAll other candidates1.8%259
D+92.9
Lead
13,360
Total
14,385
vs nation
D+90.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic98.8%14,484RomneyRepublican1.2%170OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
D+97.7
Lead
14,314
Total
14,654
vs nation
D+93.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic98.1%14,526McCainRepublican1.8%269OtherAll other candidates0.1%19
D+96.2
Lead
14,257
Total
14,814
vs nation
D+89.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic97.6%12,392BushRepublican2.2%281OtherAll other candidates0.2%20
D+95.4
Lead
12,111
Total
12,693
vs nation
D+97.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Modeled estimate from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal pointRelative-to-nation = Place margin minus national margin for the same office and year.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+85.4MIT Election Lab
Population
47,6902020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
Population density
67,246 / sq mi2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks · NYC Department of City Planning
Land area
0.7 sq miNYC Department of City Planning
Median household income
$80,4832024 ACS 5-year parent-city context
White alone
8.4%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Black alone
73.7%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Hispanic / Latino (any race)
10.9%2020 Census PL 94-171 P2
Peak Democratic margin
D+97.7 in 2012MIT Election Lab
Most similar
St. Albans, NY · twin score 89.0

presidential history

Party record book

East Flatbush-Erasmus, NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles

Highest vote share

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2012

98.8%

14,484 votes · D+97.7 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 98.1%

Republican

Donald Trump2024

6.5%

1,037 votes · D+85.4 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 3.7%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Joe Biden2020

16,051votes

95.6% of the vote · D+91.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 14,689 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

1,037votes

6.5% of the vote · D+85.4 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 615 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

John Kerry2004

+97.9pts D vs U.S.

Place D+95.4 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +93.8 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2024

−86.8pts R vs U.S.

Place D+85.4 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · −87.5 pts

Records rank each party’s presidential nominees over the returns for East Flatbush-Erasmus, NY, 2004–2024. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024); national margins from the same series.Vote share is the nominee’s votes over the candidate-vote total; “relative to the U.S.” subtracts the national margin from this Place’s margin (reversed for the Republican side, so the two are exactly symmetric). Ranking uses full precision and an exact tie goes to the more recent cycle.At least one record above sits on a modeled cycle — precinct returns allocated to this boundary, marked in place and estimated rather than certified.

What the record shows

East Flatbush-Erasmus voted Democratic by 85.4 points in the modeled 2024 presidential estimate. Its two-party direction moved 10.1 points toward Republicans or Democrats in net terms—specifically Republican—between 2004 and 2024.

The boundary is the city-sourced Neighborhood Tabulation Area system (2020 / DCP release 26b). Election totals are estimated from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal point. Detailed age, income, poverty, education, and language panels use the parent city's 2024 ACS profile as context; population and headline race figures use 2020 Census blocks inside this boundary.

East Flatbush-Erasmus: Democratic by 85.4 points in the modeled 2024 presidential result.
Boundary system
NYC 2020 NTAs · NYC Department of City Planning
2020 population
47,690 (2020) · 2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
2024 presidential estimate
Democratic by 85.4 points (2024) · Akashic block-disaggregated presidential model
Political twins — neighborhoods

The neighborhoods whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

St. Albans
New York
89.0twin score
Similarity 0.89
East Flatbush-Rugby
New York
87.4twin score
Similarity 0.87
East New York-New Lots
New York
85.3twin score
Similarity 0.85

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
East Flatbush-Erasmus, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/neighborhood/new-york/east-flatbush-erasmus/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions

How did East Flatbush-Erasmus, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, East Flatbush-Erasmus, New York voted Democratic by 85.4 points (D+85.4), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 15,993 votes cast, 14,689 went Democratic and 1,037 went Republican.
How many people live in East Flatbush-Erasmus, New York?
East Flatbush-Erasmus, New York has a population of 47,690 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in East Flatbush-Erasmus, New York?
Median household income in East Flatbush-Erasmus, New York is $80,483 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of East Flatbush-Erasmus, New York?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in East Flatbush-Erasmus, New York from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.