Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
neighborhood

East New York-New Lots, NY

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

2004–2024 · D minus R
Full record · 2004 → 2024
2024 presidential vote for East New York-New LotsThe boundary of East New York-New Lots, filled by its 2024 presidential vote (D+80.0).East New York-New Lots · D+80.0
2024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The boundary is the New York City 2020 Neighborhood Tabulation Areas. Results for 2004–2024 are modeled from precinct returns assigned through 2020 Census blocks, not certified neighborhood returns.

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on Census boundaries

HarrisDemocratic89.7%12,441TrumpRepublican9.7%1,346OtherAll other candidates0.6%82
D+80.0
Lead
11,095
Total
13,869
vs nation
D+81.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
BidenDemocratic94.4%15,150TrumpRepublican5.1%820OtherAll other candidates0.5%74
D+89.3
Lead
14,330
Total
16,044
vs nation
D+84.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic96.5%14,327TrumpRepublican2.1%319OtherAll other candidates1.4%207
D+94.3
Lead
14,008
Total
14,853
vs nation
D+92.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic98.8%14,965RomneyRepublican1.2%188OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
D+97.5
Lead
14,777
Total
15,153
vs nation
D+93.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic97.8%14,430McCainRepublican2.1%311OtherAll other candidates<0.1%14
D+95.7
Lead
14,119
Total
14,755
vs nation
D+88.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic97.4%12,316BushRepublican2.5%320OtherAll other candidates0.1%14
D+94.8
Lead
11,996
Total
12,650
vs nation
D+97.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Modeled estimate from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal pointRelative-to-nation = Place margin minus national margin for the same office and year.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+80.0MIT Election Lab
Population
53,0042020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
Population density
31,807 / sq mi2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks · NYC Department of City Planning
Land area
1.7 sq miNYC Department of City Planning
Median household income
$80,4832024 ACS 5-year parent-city context
White alone
4.1%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Black alone
73.3%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Hispanic / Latino (any race)
21.7%2020 Census PL 94-171 P2
Peak Democratic margin
D+97.5 in 2012MIT Election Lab
Most similar
Brownsville, NY · twin score 93.1

presidential history

Party record book

East New York-New Lots, NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles

Highest vote share

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2012

98.8%

14,965 votes · D+97.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 97.8%

Republican

Donald Trump2024

9.7%

1,346 votes · D+80.0 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 5.1%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Joe Biden2020

15,150votes

94.4% of the vote · D+89.3 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 14,965 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

1,346votes

9.7% of the vote · D+80.0 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 820 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

John Kerry2004

+97.3pts D vs U.S.

Place D+94.8 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +93.7 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2024

−81.5pts R vs U.S.

Place D+80.0 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · −84.9 pts

Records rank each party’s presidential nominees over the returns for East New York-New Lots, NY, 2004–2024. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024); national margins from the same series.Vote share is the nominee’s votes over the candidate-vote total; “relative to the U.S.” subtracts the national margin from this Place’s margin (reversed for the Republican side, so the two are exactly symmetric). Ranking uses full precision and an exact tie goes to the more recent cycle.At least one record above sits on a modeled cycle — precinct returns allocated to this boundary, marked in place and estimated rather than certified.

What the record shows

East New York-New Lots voted Democratic by 80.0 points in the modeled 2024 presidential estimate. Its two-party direction moved 14.8 points toward Republicans or Democrats in net terms—specifically Republican—between 2004 and 2024.

The boundary is the city-sourced Neighborhood Tabulation Area system (2020 / DCP release 26b). Election totals are estimated from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal point. Detailed age, income, poverty, education, and language panels use the parent city's 2024 ACS profile as context; population and headline race figures use 2020 Census blocks inside this boundary.

East New York-New Lots: Democratic by 80.0 points in the modeled 2024 presidential result.
Boundary system
NYC 2020 NTAs · NYC Department of City Planning
2020 population
53,004 (2020) · 2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
2024 presidential estimate
Democratic by 80.0 points (2024) · Akashic block-disaggregated presidential model
Political twins — neighborhoods

The neighborhoods whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Brownsville
New York
93.1twin score
Similarity 0.93
Eastchester-Edenwald-Baychester
New York
91.6twin score
Similarity 0.92
East Flatbush-Erasmus
New York
85.3twin score
Similarity 0.85

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
East New York-New Lots, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/neighborhood/new-york/east-new-york-new-lots/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions

How did East New York-New Lots, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, East New York-New Lots, New York voted Democratic by 80.0 points (D+80.0), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 13,869 votes cast, 12,441 went Democratic and 1,346 went Republican.
How many people live in East New York-New Lots, New York?
East New York-New Lots, New York has a population of 53,004 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in East New York-New Lots, New York?
Median household income in East New York-New Lots, New York is $80,483 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of East New York-New Lots, New York?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in East New York-New Lots, New York from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.