HarrisDemocratic34.8%7,153TrumpRepublican63.6%13,055OtherAll other candidates1.6%326
R+28.7- Lead
- 5,902
- Total
- 20,534
- vs nation
- R+27.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicneighborhood
Sheepshead Bay-Manhattan Beach-Gerritsen Beach, NY
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The boundary is the New York City 2020 Neighborhood Tabulation Areas. Results for 2004–2024 are modeled from precinct returns assigned through 2020 Census blocks, not certified neighborhood returns.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on Census boundaries
BidenDemocratic42.6%9,736TrumpRepublican56.3%12,855OtherAll other candidates1.1%259
R+13.6- Lead
- 3,119
- Total
- 22,850
- vs nation
- R+18.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic46.8%9,065TrumpRepublican50.1%9,697OtherAll other candidates3.1%601
R+3.3- Lead
- 632
- Total
- 19,363
- vs nation
- R+5.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic51.4%7,594RomneyRepublican48.6%7,169OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
D+2.9- Lead
- 425
- Total
- 14,763
- vs nation
- R+1.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic51.7%9,811McCainRepublican47.4%8,994OtherAll other candidates0.9%177
D+4.3- Lead
- 817
- Total
- 18,982
- vs nation
- R+3.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic45.3%8,372BushRepublican53.6%9,909OtherAll other candidates1.1%196
R+8.3- Lead
- 1,537
- Total
- 18,477
- vs nation
- R+5.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+28.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 69,0822020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
- Population density
- 30,391 / sq mi2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks · NYC Department of City Planning
- Land area
- 2.3 sq miNYC Department of City Planning
- Median household income
- $80,4832024 ACS 5-year parent-city context
- White alone
- 61.5%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
- Black alone
- 7.3%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
- Hispanic / Latino (any race)
- 8.9%2020 Census PL 94-171 P2
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+4.3 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+28.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- New Springville-Willowbrook-Bulls Head-Travis, NY · twin score 75.3
presidential history
Party record book
Sheepshead Bay-Manhattan Beach-Gerritsen Beach, NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
51.7%
9,811 votes · D+4.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 51.4%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
63.6%
13,055 votes · R+28.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 56.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
9,811votes
51.7% of the vote · D+4.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 9,736 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
13,055votes
63.6% of the vote · R+28.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 12,855 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
−1.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+2.9 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · −3.0 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2024
+27.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+28.7 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +18.1 pts
What the record shows
Sheepshead Bay-Manhattan Beach-Gerritsen Beach voted Republican by 28.7 points in the modeled 2024 presidential estimate. Its two-party direction moved 20.4 points toward Republicans or Democrats in net terms—specifically Republican—between 2004 and 2024.
The boundary is the city-sourced Neighborhood Tabulation Area system (2020 / DCP release 26b). Election totals are estimated from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal point. Detailed age, income, poverty, education, and language panels use the parent city's 2024 ACS profile as context; population and headline race figures use 2020 Census blocks inside this boundary.
Sheepshead Bay-Manhattan Beach-Gerritsen Beach: Republican by 28.7 points in the modeled 2024 presidential result.
- Boundary system
- NYC 2020 NTAs · NYC Department of City Planning
- 2020 population
- 69,082 (2020) · 2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
- 2024 presidential estimate
- Republican by 28.7 points (2024) · Akashic block-disaggregated presidential model
Political twins — neighborhoods
The neighborhoods whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
New Springville-Willowbrook-Bulls Head-Travis
New York
75.3twin score
Similarity 0.75
Marine Park-Mill Basin-Bergen Beach
New York
73.5twin score
Similarity 0.73
Grasmere-Arrochar-South Beach-Dongan Hills
New York
70.8twin score
Similarity 0.71
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Sheepshead Bay-Manhattan Beach-Gerritsen Beach, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/neighborhood/new-york/sheepshead-bay-manhattan-beach-gerritsen-beach/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
U.S. electionsAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Sheepshead Bay-Manhattan Beach-Gerritsen Beach, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Sheepshead Bay-Manhattan Beach-Gerritsen Beach, New York voted Republican by 28.7 points (R+28.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 20,534 votes cast, 7,153 went Democratic and 13,055 went Republican.
When did Sheepshead Bay-Manhattan Beach-Gerritsen Beach, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Sheepshead Bay-Manhattan Beach-Gerritsen Beach, New York voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Sheepshead Bay-Manhattan Beach-Gerritsen Beach, New York?
Sheepshead Bay-Manhattan Beach-Gerritsen Beach, New York has a population of 69,082 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Sheepshead Bay-Manhattan Beach-Gerritsen Beach, New York?
Median household income in Sheepshead Bay-Manhattan Beach-Gerritsen Beach, New York is $80,483 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Sheepshead Bay-Manhattan Beach-Gerritsen Beach, New York?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Sheepshead Bay-Manhattan Beach-Gerritsen Beach, New York from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 4 went Republican.