Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
neighborhood

Marine Park-Mill Basin-Bergen Beach, NY

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

2004–2024 · D minus R
Full record · 2004 → 2024
2024 presidential vote for Marine Park-Mill Basin-Bergen BeachThe boundary of Marine Park-Mill Basin-Bergen Beach, filled by its 2024 presidential vote (R+26.5).Marine Park-Mill Basin-Bergen Beach · R+26.5
2024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The boundary is the New York City 2020 Neighborhood Tabulation Areas. Results for 2004–2024 are modeled from precinct returns assigned through 2020 Census blocks, not certified neighborhood returns.

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on Census boundaries

HarrisDemocratic36.2%6,574TrumpRepublican62.7%11,395OtherAll other candidates1.1%198
R+26.5
Lead
4,821
Total
18,167
vs nation
R+25.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
BidenDemocratic44.0%7,570TrumpRepublican55.0%9,455OtherAll other candidates1.0%173
R+11.0
Lead
1,885
Total
17,198
vs nation
R+15.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic43.5%7,038TrumpRepublican53.5%8,658OtherAll other candidates3.0%483
R+10.0
Lead
1,620
Total
16,179
vs nation
R+12.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic48.9%6,711RomneyRepublican51.1%7,019OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
R+2.2
Lead
308
Total
13,730
vs nation
R+6.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic43.8%6,608McCainRepublican55.5%8,371OtherAll other candidates0.7%111
R+11.7
Lead
1,763
Total
15,090
vs nation
R+19.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic37.6%5,634BushRepublican61.6%9,232OtherAll other candidates0.7%111
R+24.0
Lead
3,598
Total
14,977
vs nation
R+21.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Modeled estimate from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal pointRelative-to-nation = Place margin minus national margin for the same office and year.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+26.5MIT Election Lab
Population
46,9552020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
Population density
22,235 / sq mi2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks · NYC Department of City Planning
Land area
2.1 sq miNYC Department of City Planning
Median household income
$80,4832024 ACS 5-year parent-city context
White alone
65.5%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Black alone
13.9%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Hispanic / Latino (any race)
9.2%2020 Census PL 94-171 P2
Peak Republican margin
R+26.5 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar
New Springville-Willowbrook-Bulls Head-Travis, NY · twin score 79.1

presidential history

Party record book

Marine Park-Mill Basin-Bergen Beach, NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles

Highest vote share

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2012

48.9%

6,711 votes · R+2.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 44.0%

Republican

Donald Trump2024

62.7%

11,395 votes · R+26.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 61.6%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Joe Biden2020

7,570votes

44.0% of the vote · R+11.0 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 7,038 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

11,395votes

62.7% of the vote · R+26.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 9,455 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Barack Obama2012

−6.1pts D vs U.S.

Place R+2.2 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · −12.1 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2024

+25.1pts R vs U.S.

Place R+26.5 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · +21.6 pts

Records rank each party’s presidential nominees over the returns for Marine Park-Mill Basin-Bergen Beach, NY, 2004–2024. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024); national margins from the same series.Vote share is the nominee’s votes over the candidate-vote total; “relative to the U.S.” subtracts the national margin from this Place’s margin (reversed for the Republican side, so the two are exactly symmetric). Ranking uses full precision and an exact tie goes to the more recent cycle.At least one record above sits on a modeled cycle — precinct returns allocated to this boundary, marked in place and estimated rather than certified.

What the record shows

Marine Park-Mill Basin-Bergen Beach voted Republican by 26.5 points in the modeled 2024 presidential estimate. Its two-party direction moved 2.5 points toward Republicans or Democrats in net terms—specifically Republican—between 2004 and 2024.

The boundary is the city-sourced Neighborhood Tabulation Area system (2020 / DCP release 26b). Election totals are estimated from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal point. Detailed age, income, poverty, education, and language panels use the parent city's 2024 ACS profile as context; population and headline race figures use 2020 Census blocks inside this boundary.

Marine Park-Mill Basin-Bergen Beach: Republican by 26.5 points in the modeled 2024 presidential result.
Boundary system
NYC 2020 NTAs · NYC Department of City Planning
2020 population
46,955 (2020) · 2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
2024 presidential estimate
Republican by 26.5 points (2024) · Akashic block-disaggregated presidential model
Political twins — neighborhoods

The neighborhoods whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

New Springville-Willowbrook-Bulls Head-Travis
New York
79.1twin score
Similarity 0.79
Grasmere-Arrochar-South Beach-Dongan Hills
New York
78.7twin score
Similarity 0.79
Middle Village
New York
76.7twin score
Similarity 0.77

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Marine Park-Mill Basin-Bergen Beach, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/neighborhood/new-york/marine-park-mill-basin-bergen-beach/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions

How did Marine Park-Mill Basin-Bergen Beach, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Marine Park-Mill Basin-Bergen Beach, New York voted Republican by 26.5 points (R+26.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 18,167 votes cast, 6,574 went Democratic and 11,395 went Republican.
How many people live in Marine Park-Mill Basin-Bergen Beach, New York?
Marine Park-Mill Basin-Bergen Beach, New York has a population of 46,955 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Marine Park-Mill Basin-Bergen Beach, New York?
Median household income in Marine Park-Mill Basin-Bergen Beach, New York is $80,483 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Marine Park-Mill Basin-Bergen Beach, New York?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Marine Park-Mill Basin-Bergen Beach, New York from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.