Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
neighborhood

Midtown South-Flatiron-Union Square, NY

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

2004–2024 · D minus R
Full record · 2004 → 2024
2024 presidential vote for Midtown South-Flatiron-Union SquareThe boundary of Midtown South-Flatiron-Union Square, filled by its 2024 presidential vote (D+62.3).Midtown South-Flatiron-Union Square · D+62.3
2024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The boundary is the New York City 2020 Neighborhood Tabulation Areas. Results for 2004–2024 are modeled from precinct returns assigned through 2020 Census blocks, not certified neighborhood returns.

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on Census boundaries

HarrisDemocratic80.1%9,532TrumpRepublican17.8%2,117OtherAll other candidates2.1%250
D+62.3
Lead
7,415
Total
11,899
vs nation
D+63.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
BidenDemocratic85.5%9,296TrumpRepublican12.8%1,391OtherAll other candidates1.7%188
D+72.7
Lead
7,905
Total
10,875
vs nation
D+68.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic84.7%9,389TrumpRepublican11.1%1,232OtherAll other candidates4.2%463
D+73.6
Lead
8,157
Total
11,084
vs nation
D+71.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic78.2%7,548RomneyRepublican21.8%2,099OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
D+56.5
Lead
5,449
Total
9,647
vs nation
D+52.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic84.4%9,268McCainRepublican14.7%1,618OtherAll other candidates0.9%98
D+69.6
Lead
7,650
Total
10,984
vs nation
D+62.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic80.5%8,529BushRepublican18.3%1,933OtherAll other candidates1.2%127
D+62.3
Lead
6,596
Total
10,589
vs nation
D+64.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Modeled estimate from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal pointRelative-to-nation = Place margin minus national margin for the same office and year.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+62.3MIT Election Lab
Population
33,2142020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
Population density
62,231 / sq mi2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks · NYC Department of City Planning
Land area
0.5 sq miNYC Department of City Planning
Median household income
$80,4832024 ACS 5-year parent-city context
White alone
63.3%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Black alone
7.5%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Hispanic / Latino (any race)
12.5%2020 Census PL 94-171 P2
Peak Democratic margin
D+73.6 in 2016MIT Election Lab
Most similar
Gramercy, NY · twin score 85.2

presidential history

Party record book

Midtown South-Flatiron-Union Square, NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles

Highest vote share

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Joe Biden2020

85.5%

9,296 votes · D+72.7 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 84.7%

Republican

Mitt Romney2012

21.8%

2,099 votes · D+56.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 18.3%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Kamala Harris2024

9,532votes

80.1% of the vote · D+62.3 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 9,389 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

2,117votes

17.8% of the vote · D+62.3 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 2,099 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Hillary Clinton2016

+71.5pts D vs U.S.

Place D+73.6 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +68.2 pts

Republican

Mitt Romney2012

−52.6pts R vs U.S.

Place D+56.5 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · −62.4 pts

Records rank each party’s presidential nominees over the returns for Midtown South-Flatiron-Union Square, NY, 2004–2024. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024); national margins from the same series.Vote share is the nominee’s votes over the candidate-vote total; “relative to the U.S.” subtracts the national margin from this Place’s margin (reversed for the Republican side, so the two are exactly symmetric). Ranking uses full precision and an exact tie goes to the more recent cycle.At least one record above sits on a modeled cycle — precinct returns allocated to this boundary, marked in place and estimated rather than certified.

What the record shows

Midtown South-Flatiron-Union Square voted Democratic by 62.3 points in the modeled 2024 presidential estimate. Its two-party direction moved 0.0 points toward Republicans or Democrats in net terms—specifically Democratic—between 2004 and 2024.

The boundary is the city-sourced Neighborhood Tabulation Area system (2020 / DCP release 26b). Election totals are estimated from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal point. Detailed age, income, poverty, education, and language panels use the parent city's 2024 ACS profile as context; population and headline race figures use 2020 Census blocks inside this boundary.

Midtown South-Flatiron-Union Square: Democratic by 62.3 points in the modeled 2024 presidential result.
Boundary system
NYC 2020 NTAs · NYC Department of City Planning
2020 population
33,214 (2020) · 2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
2024 presidential estimate
Democratic by 62.3 points (2024) · Akashic block-disaggregated presidential model
Political twins — neighborhoods

The neighborhoods whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Gramercy
New York
85.2twin score
Similarity 0.85
Tribeca-Civic Center
New York
83.7twin score
Similarity 0.84
Lincoln Square
Illinois
80.7twin score
Similarity 0.81

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Midtown South-Flatiron-Union Square, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/neighborhood/new-york/midtown-south-flatiron-union-square/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions

How did Midtown South-Flatiron-Union Square, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Midtown South-Flatiron-Union Square, New York voted Democratic by 62.3 points (D+62.3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 11,899 votes cast, 9,532 went Democratic and 2,117 went Republican.
How many people live in Midtown South-Flatiron-Union Square, New York?
Midtown South-Flatiron-Union Square, New York has a population of 33,214 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Midtown South-Flatiron-Union Square, New York?
Median household income in Midtown South-Flatiron-Union Square, New York is $80,483 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Midtown South-Flatiron-Union Square, New York?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Midtown South-Flatiron-Union Square, New York from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.