Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
neighborhood

Lincoln Square, IL

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

2004–2024 · D minus R
Full record · 2004 → 2024
2024 presidential vote for Lincoln SquareThe boundary of Lincoln Square, filled by its 2024 presidential vote (D+73.7).Lincoln Square · D+73.7
2024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The boundary is the Chicago Community Areas. Results for 2004–2024 are modeled from precinct returns assigned through 2020 Census blocks, not certified neighborhood returns.

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on Census boundaries

HarrisDemocratic86.5%17,674TrumpRepublican12.8%2,616OtherAll other candidates0.8%154
D+73.7
Lead
15,058
Total
20,444
vs nation
D+75.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
BidenDemocratic85.9%18,920TrumpRepublican12.2%2,683OtherAll other candidates2.0%434
D+73.7
Lead
16,237
Total
22,037
vs nation
D+69.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic83.3%16,691TrumpRepublican10.3%2,067OtherAll other candidates6.4%1,277
D+73.0
Lead
14,624
Total
20,035
vs nation
D+70.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic84.9%13,742RomneyRepublican15.1%2,452OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
D+69.7
Lead
11,290
Total
16,194
vs nation
D+65.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic83.5%14,662McCainRepublican15.0%2,632OtherAll other candidates1.6%273
D+68.5
Lead
12,030
Total
17,567
vs nation
D+61.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic78.7%12,977BushRepublican19.9%3,276OtherAll other candidates1.4%239
D+58.8
Lead
9,701
Total
16,492
vs nation
D+61.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Modeled estimate from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal pointRelative-to-nation = Place margin minus national margin for the same office and year.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+73.7MIT Election Lab
Population
40,4942020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
Population density
15,822 / sq mi2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks · City of Chicago
Land area
2.6 sq miCity of Chicago
Median household income
$77,9022024 ACS 5-year parent-city context
White alone
65.7%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Black alone
4.2%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Hispanic / Latino (any race)
17.5%2020 Census PL 94-171 P2
Peak Democratic margin
D+73.7 in 2020MIT Election Lab
Most similar
Greenpoint, NY · twin score 84.7

presidential history

Party record book

Lincoln Square, IL · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles

Highest vote share

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Kamala Harris2024

86.5%

17,674 votes · D+73.7 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 85.9%

Republican

George W. Bush2004

19.9%

3,276 votes · D+58.8 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 15.1%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Joe Biden2020

18,920votes

85.9% of the vote · D+73.7 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 17,674 votes

Republican

George W. Bush2004

3,276votes

19.9% of the vote · D+58.8 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 2,683 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Kamala Harris2024

+75.1pts D vs U.S.

Place D+73.7 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · +70.9 pts

Republican

John McCain2008

−61.2pts R vs U.S.

Place D+68.5 · U.S. D+7.3 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · −61.3 pts

Records rank each party’s presidential nominees over the returns for Lincoln Square, IL, 2004–2024. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024); national margins from the same series.Vote share is the nominee’s votes over the candidate-vote total; “relative to the U.S.” subtracts the national margin from this Place’s margin (reversed for the Republican side, so the two are exactly symmetric). Ranking uses full precision and an exact tie goes to the more recent cycle.At least one record above sits on a modeled cycle — precinct returns allocated to this boundary, marked in place and estimated rather than certified.

What the record shows

Lincoln Square voted Democratic by 73.7 points in the modeled 2024 presidential estimate. Its two-party direction moved 14.8 points toward Republicans or Democrats in net terms—specifically Democratic—between 2004 and 2024.

The boundary is the city-sourced Community Area system (Current boundaries, source update 2025-04-22). Election totals are estimated from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal point. Detailed age, income, poverty, education, and language panels use the parent city's 2024 ACS profile as context; population and headline race figures use 2020 Census blocks inside this boundary.

Lincoln Square: Democratic by 73.7 points in the modeled 2024 presidential result.
Boundary system
Chicago Community Areas · City of Chicago
2020 population
40,494 (2020) · 2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
2024 presidential estimate
Democratic by 73.7 points (2024) · Akashic block-disaggregated presidential model
Political twins — neighborhoods

The neighborhoods whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Greenpoint
New York
84.7twin score
Similarity 0.85
Edgewater
Illinois
81.1twin score
Similarity 0.81
Midtown South-Flatiron-Union Square
New York
80.7twin score
Similarity 0.81

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lincoln Square, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/neighborhood/chicago/lincoln-square/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions

How did Lincoln Square, Illinois vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lincoln Square, Illinois voted Democratic by 73.7 points (D+73.7), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 20,444 votes cast, 17,674 went Democratic and 2,616 went Republican.
How many people live in Lincoln Square, Illinois?
Lincoln Square, Illinois has a population of 40,494 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lincoln Square, Illinois?
Median household income in Lincoln Square, Illinois is $77,902 — below the national median of $80,734. The Illinois state median is $83,390.
What is the political history of Lincoln Square, Illinois?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Lincoln Square, Illinois from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.