Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
neighborhood

Bay Ridge, NY

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

2004–2024 · D minus R
Full record · 2004 → 2024
2024 presidential vote for Bay RidgeThe boundary of Bay Ridge, filled by its 2024 presidential vote (D+12.3).Bay Ridge · D+12.3
2024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The boundary is the New York City 2020 Neighborhood Tabulation Areas. Results for 2004–2024 are modeled from precinct returns assigned through 2020 Census blocks, not certified neighborhood returns.

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on Census boundaries

HarrisDemocratic54.1%16,601TrumpRepublican41.8%12,817OtherAll other candidates4.1%1,252
D+12.3
Lead
3,784
Total
30,670
vs nation
D+13.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
BidenDemocratic62.3%20,972TrumpRepublican36.0%12,120OtherAll other candidates1.8%591
D+26.3
Lead
8,852
Total
33,683
vs nation
D+21.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic59.5%17,312TrumpRepublican35.5%10,321OtherAll other candidates5.0%1,462
D+24.0
Lead
6,991
Total
29,095
vs nation
D+21.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic63.0%15,516RomneyRepublican37.0%9,125OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
D+25.9
Lead
6,391
Total
24,641
vs nation
D+22.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic59.0%16,280McCainRepublican39.8%10,989OtherAll other candidates1.2%330
D+19.2
Lead
5,291
Total
27,599
vs nation
D+11.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic52.6%13,893BushRepublican45.9%12,117OtherAll other candidates1.6%411
D+6.7
Lead
1,776
Total
26,421
vs nation
D+9.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Modeled estimate from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal pointRelative-to-nation = Place margin minus national margin for the same office and year.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+12.3MIT Election Lab
Population
86,7792020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
Population density
39,251 / sq mi2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks · NYC Department of City Planning
Land area
2.2 sq miNYC Department of City Planning
Median household income
$80,4832024 ACS 5-year parent-city context
White alone
62.4%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Black alone
2.5%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Hispanic / Latino (any race)
18.8%2020 Census PL 94-171 P2
Peak Democratic margin
D+26.3 in 2020MIT Election Lab
Most similar
Forest Hills, NY · twin score 71.4

presidential history

Party record book

Bay Ridge, NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles

Highest vote share

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2012

63.0%

15,516 votes · D+25.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 62.3%

Republican

George W. Bush2004

45.9%

12,117 votes · D+6.7 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 41.8%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Joe Biden2020

20,972votes

62.3% of the vote · D+26.3 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 17,312 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

12,817votes

41.8% of the vote · D+12.3 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 12,120 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Barack Obama2012

+22.1pts D vs U.S.

Place D+25.9 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · +21.9 pts

Republican

George W. Bush2004

−9.2pts R vs U.S.

Place D+6.7 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · −11.9 pts

Records rank each party’s presidential nominees over the returns for Bay Ridge, NY, 2004–2024. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024); national margins from the same series.Vote share is the nominee’s votes over the candidate-vote total; “relative to the U.S.” subtracts the national margin from this Place’s margin (reversed for the Republican side, so the two are exactly symmetric). Ranking uses full precision and an exact tie goes to the more recent cycle.At least one record above sits on a modeled cycle — precinct returns allocated to this boundary, marked in place and estimated rather than certified.

What the record shows

Bay Ridge voted Democratic by 12.3 points in the modeled 2024 presidential estimate. Its two-party direction moved 5.6 points toward Republicans or Democrats in net terms—specifically Democratic—between 2004 and 2024.

The boundary is the city-sourced Neighborhood Tabulation Area system (2020 / DCP release 26b). Election totals are estimated from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal point. Detailed age, income, poverty, education, and language panels use the parent city's 2024 ACS profile as context; population and headline race figures use 2020 Census blocks inside this boundary.

Bay Ridge: Democratic by 12.3 points in the modeled 2024 presidential result.
Boundary system
NYC 2020 NTAs · NYC Department of City Planning
2020 population
86,779 (2020) · 2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
2024 presidential estimate
Democratic by 12.3 points (2024) · Akashic block-disaggregated presidential model
Political twins — neighborhoods

The neighborhoods whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Forest Hills
New York
71.4twin score
Similarity 0.71
Dunning
Illinois
66.4twin score
Similarity 0.66
Coney Island-Sea Gate
New York
65.9twin score
Similarity 0.66

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Bay Ridge, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/neighborhood/new-york/bay-ridge/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions

How did Bay Ridge, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Bay Ridge, New York voted Democratic by 12.3 points (D+12.3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 30,670 votes cast, 16,601 went Democratic and 12,817 went Republican.
How many people live in Bay Ridge, New York?
Bay Ridge, New York has a population of 86,779 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Bay Ridge, New York?
Median household income in Bay Ridge, New York is $80,483 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Bay Ridge, New York?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Bay Ridge, New York from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.