Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
neighborhood

Dunning, IL

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

2004–2024 · D minus R
Full record · 2004 → 2024
2024 presidential vote for DunningThe boundary of Dunning, filled by its 2024 presidential vote (D+3.4).Dunning · D+3.4
2024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The boundary is the Chicago Community Areas. Results for 2004–2024 are modeled from precinct returns assigned through 2020 Census blocks, not certified neighborhood returns.

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on Census boundaries

HarrisDemocratic51.2%8,645TrumpRepublican47.7%8,067OtherAll other candidates1.1%189
D+3.4
Lead
578
Total
16,901
vs nation
D+4.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
BidenDemocratic56.2%10,182TrumpRepublican42.4%7,676OtherAll other candidates1.5%265
D+13.8
Lead
2,506
Total
18,123
vs nation
D+9.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic58.1%9,149TrumpRepublican36.5%5,747OtherAll other candidates5.4%853
D+21.6
Lead
3,402
Total
15,749
vs nation
D+19.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic65.0%8,716RomneyRepublican35.0%4,701OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
D+29.9
Lead
4,015
Total
13,417
vs nation
D+26.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic63.4%9,016McCainRepublican35.0%4,984OtherAll other candidates1.6%227
D+28.3
Lead
4,032
Total
14,227
vs nation
D+21.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic55.6%7,967BushRepublican42.8%6,133OtherAll other candidates1.5%221
D+12.8
Lead
1,834
Total
14,321
vs nation
D+15.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Modeled estimate from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal pointRelative-to-nation = Place margin minus national margin for the same office and year.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+3.4MIT Election Lab
Population
43,1472020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
Population density
11,611 / sq mi2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks · City of Chicago
Land area
3.7 sq miCity of Chicago
Median household income
$77,9022024 ACS 5-year parent-city context
White alone
62.0%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Black alone
2.2%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Hispanic / Latino (any race)
34.9%2020 Census PL 94-171 P2
Peak Democratic margin
D+29.9 in 2012MIT Election Lab
Most similar
Glendale, NY · twin score 79.2

presidential history

Party record book

Dunning, IL · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles

Highest vote share

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2012

65.0%

8,716 votes · D+29.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 63.4%

Republican

Donald Trump2024

47.7%

8,067 votes · D+3.4 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 42.8%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Joe Biden2020

10,182votes

56.2% of the vote · D+13.8 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 9,149 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

8,067votes

47.7% of the vote · D+3.4 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 7,676 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Barack Obama2012

+26.1pts D vs U.S.

Place D+29.9 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +21.1 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2024

−4.9pts R vs U.S.

Place D+3.4 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · −9.4 pts

Records rank each party’s presidential nominees over the returns for Dunning, IL, 2004–2024. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024); national margins from the same series.Vote share is the nominee’s votes over the candidate-vote total; “relative to the U.S.” subtracts the national margin from this Place’s margin (reversed for the Republican side, so the two are exactly symmetric). Ranking uses full precision and an exact tie goes to the more recent cycle.At least one record above sits on a modeled cycle — precinct returns allocated to this boundary, marked in place and estimated rather than certified.

What the record shows

Dunning voted Democratic by 3.4 points in the modeled 2024 presidential estimate. Its two-party direction moved 9.4 points toward Republicans or Democrats in net terms—specifically Republican—between 2004 and 2024.

The boundary is the city-sourced Community Area system (Current boundaries, source update 2025-04-22). Election totals are estimated from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal point. Detailed age, income, poverty, education, and language panels use the parent city's 2024 ACS profile as context; population and headline race figures use 2020 Census blocks inside this boundary.

Dunning: Democratic by 3.4 points in the modeled 2024 presidential result.
Boundary system
Chicago Community Areas · City of Chicago
2020 population
43,147 (2020) · 2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
2024 presidential estimate
Democratic by 3.4 points (2024) · Akashic block-disaggregated presidential model
Political twins — neighborhoods

The neighborhoods whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Glendale
New York
79.2twin score
Similarity 0.79
West New Brighton-Silver Lake-Grymes Hill
New York
78.0twin score
Similarity 0.78
Garfield Ridge
Illinois
74.9twin score
Similarity 0.75

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Dunning, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/neighborhood/chicago/dunning/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions

How did Dunning, Illinois vote in 2024?
In 2024, Dunning, Illinois voted Democratic by 3.4 points (D+3.4), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 16,901 votes cast, 8,645 went Democratic and 8,067 went Republican.
How many people live in Dunning, Illinois?
Dunning, Illinois has a population of 43,147 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Dunning, Illinois?
Median household income in Dunning, Illinois is $77,902 — below the national median of $80,734. The Illinois state median is $83,390.
What is the political history of Dunning, Illinois?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Dunning, Illinois from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.