Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
neighborhood

Coney Island-Sea Gate, NY

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

2004–2024 · D minus R
Full record · 2004 → 2024
2024 presidential vote for Coney Island-Sea GateThe boundary of Coney Island-Sea Gate, filled by its 2024 presidential vote (R+13.3).Coney Island-Sea Gate · R+13.3
2024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The boundary is the New York City 2020 Neighborhood Tabulation Areas. Results for 2004–2024 are modeled from precinct returns assigned through 2020 Census blocks, not certified neighborhood returns.

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on Census boundaries

HarrisDemocratic43.0%6,100TrumpRepublican56.3%7,990OtherAll other candidates0.7%98
R+13.3
Lead
1,890
Total
14,188
vs nation
R+11.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
BidenDemocratic49.0%7,500TrumpRepublican50.1%7,678OtherAll other candidates0.9%137
R+1.2
Lead
178
Total
15,315
vs nation
R+5.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic56.8%7,594TrumpRepublican41.1%5,497OtherAll other candidates2.1%278
D+15.7
Lead
2,097
Total
13,369
vs nation
D+13.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic63.6%7,814RomneyRepublican36.4%4,464OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
D+27.3
Lead
3,350
Total
12,278
vs nation
D+23.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic61.7%10,037McCainRepublican37.6%6,116OtherAll other candidates0.7%111
D+24.1
Lead
3,921
Total
16,264
vs nation
D+16.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic55.5%8,562BushRepublican43.7%6,735OtherAll other candidates0.8%129
D+11.8
Lead
1,827
Total
15,426
vs nation
D+14.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Modeled estimate from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal pointRelative-to-nation = Place margin minus national margin for the same office and year.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+13.3MIT Election Lab
Population
49,5172020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
Population density
29,008 / sq mi2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks · NYC Department of City Planning
Land area
1.7 sq miNYC Department of City Planning
Median household income
$80,4832024 ACS 5-year parent-city context
White alone
53.0%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Black alone
22.7%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Hispanic / Latino (any race)
17.3%2020 Census PL 94-171 P2
Peak Democratic margin
D+27.3 in 2012MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+13.3 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar
West New Brighton-Silver Lake-Grymes Hill, NY · twin score 76.6

presidential history

Party record book

Coney Island-Sea Gate, NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles

Highest vote share

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2012

63.6%

7,814 votes · D+27.3 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 61.7%

Republican

Donald Trump2024

56.3%

7,990 votes · R+13.3 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 50.1%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2008

10,037votes

61.7% of the vote · D+24.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 8,562 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

7,990votes

56.3% of the vote · R+13.3 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 7,678 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Barack Obama2012

+23.4pts D vs U.S.

Place D+27.3 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +16.8 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2024

+11.8pts R vs U.S.

Place R+13.3 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +5.6 pts

Records rank each party’s presidential nominees over the returns for Coney Island-Sea Gate, NY, 2004–2024. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024); national margins from the same series.Vote share is the nominee’s votes over the candidate-vote total; “relative to the U.S.” subtracts the national margin from this Place’s margin (reversed for the Republican side, so the two are exactly symmetric). Ranking uses full precision and an exact tie goes to the more recent cycle.At least one record above sits on a modeled cycle — precinct returns allocated to this boundary, marked in place and estimated rather than certified.

What the record shows

Coney Island-Sea Gate voted Republican by 13.3 points in the modeled 2024 presidential estimate. Its two-party direction moved 25.2 points toward Republicans or Democrats in net terms—specifically Republican—between 2004 and 2024.

The boundary is the city-sourced Neighborhood Tabulation Area system (2020 / DCP release 26b). Election totals are estimated from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal point. Detailed age, income, poverty, education, and language panels use the parent city's 2024 ACS profile as context; population and headline race figures use 2020 Census blocks inside this boundary.

Coney Island-Sea Gate: Republican by 13.3 points in the modeled 2024 presidential result.
Boundary system
NYC 2020 NTAs · NYC Department of City Planning
2020 population
49,517 (2020) · 2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
2024 presidential estimate
Republican by 13.3 points (2024) · Akashic block-disaggregated presidential model
Political twins — neighborhoods

The neighborhoods whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

West New Brighton-Silver Lake-Grymes Hill
New York
76.6twin score
Similarity 0.77
Maspeth
New York
72.4twin score
Similarity 0.72
Dunning
Illinois
71.6twin score
Similarity 0.72

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Coney Island-Sea Gate, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/neighborhood/new-york/coney-island-sea-gate/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions

How did Coney Island-Sea Gate, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Coney Island-Sea Gate, New York voted Republican by 13.3 points (R+13.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 14,188 votes cast, 6,100 went Democratic and 7,990 went Republican.
When did Coney Island-Sea Gate, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Coney Island-Sea Gate, New York voted Democratic was 2016.
How many people live in Coney Island-Sea Gate, New York?
Coney Island-Sea Gate, New York has a population of 49,517 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Coney Island-Sea Gate, New York?
Median household income in Coney Island-Sea Gate, New York is $80,483 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Coney Island-Sea Gate, New York?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Coney Island-Sea Gate, New York from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 2 went Republican.