Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
neighborhood

Baisley Park, NY

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

2004–2024 · D minus R
Full record · 2004 → 2024
2024 presidential vote for Baisley ParkThe boundary of Baisley Park, filled by its 2024 presidential vote (D+68.2).Baisley Park · D+68.2
2024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The boundary is the New York City 2020 Neighborhood Tabulation Areas. Results for 2004–2024 are modeled from precinct returns assigned through 2020 Census blocks, not certified neighborhood returns.

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on Census boundaries

HarrisDemocratic83.6%10,630TrumpRepublican15.5%1,965OtherAll other candidates0.9%119
D+68.2
Lead
8,665
Total
12,714
vs nation
D+69.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
BidenDemocratic92.9%13,341TrumpRepublican6.4%925OtherAll other candidates0.7%99
D+86.4
Lead
12,416
Total
14,365
vs nation
D+82.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic95.8%12,882TrumpRepublican2.8%374OtherAll other candidates1.4%193
D+93.0
Lead
12,508
Total
13,449
vs nation
D+90.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic99.1%13,626RomneyRepublican0.9%124OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
D+98.2
Lead
13,502
Total
13,750
vs nation
D+94.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic98.4%13,441McCainRepublican1.3%181OtherAll other candidates0.3%42
D+97.0
Lead
13,260
Total
13,664
vs nation
D+89.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic98.2%12,137BushRepublican1.5%181OtherAll other candidates0.3%42
D+96.7
Lead
11,956
Total
12,360
vs nation
D+99.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Modeled estimate from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal pointRelative-to-nation = Place margin minus national margin for the same office and year.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+68.2MIT Election Lab
Population
43,0902020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
Population density
25,053 / sq mi2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks · NYC Department of City Planning
Land area
1.7 sq miNYC Department of City Planning
Median household income
$80,4832024 ACS 5-year parent-city context
White alone
2.5%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Black alone
61.8%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Hispanic / Latino (any race)
14.1%2020 Census PL 94-171 P2
Peak Democratic margin
D+98.2 in 2012MIT Election Lab
Most similar
South Jamaica, NY · twin score 84.4

presidential history

Party record book

Baisley Park, NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles

Highest vote share

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2012

99.1%

13,626 votes · D+98.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 98.4%

Republican

Donald Trump2024

15.5%

1,965 votes · D+68.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 6.4%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2012

13,626votes

99.1% of the vote · D+98.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 13,441 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

1,965votes

15.5% of the vote · D+68.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 925 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

John Kerry2004

+99.2pts D vs U.S.

Place D+96.7 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +94.3 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2024

−69.6pts R vs U.S.

Place D+68.2 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · −82.0 pts

Records rank each party’s presidential nominees over the returns for Baisley Park, NY, 2004–2024. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024); national margins from the same series.Vote share is the nominee’s votes over the candidate-vote total; “relative to the U.S.” subtracts the national margin from this Place’s margin (reversed for the Republican side, so the two are exactly symmetric). Ranking uses full precision and an exact tie goes to the more recent cycle.At least one record above sits on a modeled cycle — precinct returns allocated to this boundary, marked in place and estimated rather than certified.

What the record shows

Baisley Park voted Democratic by 68.2 points in the modeled 2024 presidential estimate. Its two-party direction moved 28.6 points toward Republicans or Democrats in net terms—specifically Republican—between 2004 and 2024.

The boundary is the city-sourced Neighborhood Tabulation Area system (2020 / DCP release 26b). Election totals are estimated from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal point. Detailed age, income, poverty, education, and language panels use the parent city's 2024 ACS profile as context; population and headline race figures use 2020 Census blocks inside this boundary.

Baisley Park: Democratic by 68.2 points in the modeled 2024 presidential result.
Boundary system
NYC 2020 NTAs · NYC Department of City Planning
2020 population
43,090 (2020) · 2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
2024 presidential estimate
Democratic by 68.2 points (2024) · Akashic block-disaggregated presidential model
Political twins — neighborhoods

The neighborhoods whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

South Jamaica
New York
84.4twin score
Similarity 0.84
Ocean Hill
New York
81.7twin score
Similarity 0.82
East Flatbush-Erasmus
New York
80.4twin score
Similarity 0.80

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Baisley Park, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/neighborhood/new-york/baisley-park/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions

How did Baisley Park, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Baisley Park, New York voted Democratic by 68.2 points (D+68.2), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 12,714 votes cast, 10,630 went Democratic and 1,965 went Republican.
How many people live in Baisley Park, New York?
Baisley Park, New York has a population of 43,090 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Baisley Park, New York?
Median household income in Baisley Park, New York is $80,483 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Baisley Park, New York?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Baisley Park, New York from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.