Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
neighborhood

Auburndale, NY

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

2004–2024 · D minus R
Full record · 2004 → 2024
2024 presidential vote for AuburndaleThe boundary of Auburndale, filled by its 2024 presidential vote (R+5.1).Auburndale · R+5.1
2024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The boundary is the New York City 2020 Neighborhood Tabulation Areas. Results for 2004–2024 are modeled from precinct returns assigned through 2020 Census blocks, not certified neighborhood returns.

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on Census boundaries

HarrisDemocratic46.7%5,359TrumpRepublican51.8%5,944OtherAll other candidates1.5%172
R+5.1
Lead
585
Total
11,475
vs nation
R+3.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
BidenDemocratic56.5%7,553TrumpRepublican42.0%5,612OtherAll other candidates1.5%198
D+14.5
Lead
1,941
Total
13,363
vs nation
D+10.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic56.7%6,222TrumpRepublican39.6%4,346OtherAll other candidates3.6%398
D+17.1
Lead
1,876
Total
10,966
vs nation
D+15.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic62.4%6,160RomneyRepublican37.6%3,705OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
D+24.9
Lead
2,455
Total
9,865
vs nation
D+21.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic57.7%6,441McCainRepublican41.3%4,610OtherAll other candidates1.0%117
D+16.4
Lead
1,831
Total
11,168
vs nation
D+9.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic53.6%5,818BushRepublican45.4%4,927OtherAll other candidates1.1%117
D+8.2
Lead
891
Total
10,862
vs nation
D+10.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Modeled estimate from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal pointRelative-to-nation = Place margin minus national margin for the same office and year.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+5.1MIT Election Lab
Population
36,1822020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
Population density
18,186 / sq mi2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks · NYC Department of City Planning
Land area
2 sq miNYC Department of City Planning
Median household income
$80,4832024 ACS 5-year parent-city context
White alone
33.7%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Black alone
1.8%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Hispanic / Latino (any race)
14.3%2020 Census PL 94-171 P2
Peak Democratic margin
D+24.9 in 2012MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+5.1 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar
Bayside, NY · twin score 90.3

presidential history

Party record book

Auburndale, NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles

Highest vote share

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2012

62.4%

6,160 votes · D+24.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 57.7%

Republican

Donald Trump2024

51.8%

5,944 votes · R+5.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 45.4%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Joe Biden2020

7,553votes

56.5% of the vote · D+14.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 6,441 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

5,944votes

51.8% of the vote · R+5.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 5,612 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Barack Obama2012

+21.0pts D vs U.S.

Place D+24.9 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · +15.0 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2024

+3.6pts R vs U.S.

Place R+5.1 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · −9.1 pts

Records rank each party’s presidential nominees over the returns for Auburndale, NY, 2004–2024. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024); national margins from the same series.Vote share is the nominee’s votes over the candidate-vote total; “relative to the U.S.” subtracts the national margin from this Place’s margin (reversed for the Republican side, so the two are exactly symmetric). Ranking uses full precision and an exact tie goes to the more recent cycle.At least one record above sits on a modeled cycle — precinct returns allocated to this boundary, marked in place and estimated rather than certified.

What the record shows

Auburndale voted Republican by 5.1 points in the modeled 2024 presidential estimate. Its two-party direction moved 13.3 points toward Republicans or Democrats in net terms—specifically Republican—between 2004 and 2024.

The boundary is the city-sourced Neighborhood Tabulation Area system (2020 / DCP release 26b). Election totals are estimated from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal point. Detailed age, income, poverty, education, and language panels use the parent city's 2024 ACS profile as context; population and headline race figures use 2020 Census blocks inside this boundary.

Auburndale: Republican by 5.1 points in the modeled 2024 presidential result.
Boundary system
NYC 2020 NTAs · NYC Department of City Planning
2020 population
36,182 (2020) · 2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
2024 presidential estimate
Republican by 5.1 points (2024) · Akashic block-disaggregated presidential model
Political twins — neighborhoods

The neighborhoods whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Bayside
New York
90.3twin score
Similarity 0.90
Sunset Park (East)-Borough Park (West)
New York
81.0twin score
Similarity 0.81
Douglaston-Little Neck
New York
78.6twin score
Similarity 0.79

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Auburndale, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/neighborhood/new-york/auburndale/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions

How did Auburndale, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Auburndale, New York voted Republican by 5.1 points (R+5.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 11,475 votes cast, 5,359 went Democratic and 5,944 went Republican.
When did Auburndale, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Auburndale, New York voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Auburndale, New York?
Auburndale, New York has a population of 36,182 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Auburndale, New York?
Median household income in Auburndale, New York is $80,483 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Auburndale, New York?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Auburndale, New York from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 1 went Republican.