- Lead
- 3,594
- Total
- 7,144
- vs nation
- R+48.8
- Turnout
- 80.9%
Lincoln County, WA
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 80.9% of 8,885 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 3,437
- Total
- 7,033
- vs nation
- R+53.3
- Turnout
- 84.5%
- Lead
- 2,864
- Total
- 5,861
- vs nation
- R+51.0
- Turnout
- 74.5%
- Lead
- 2,390
- Total
- 5,911
- vs nation
- R+44.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,771
- Total
- 5,977
- vs nation
- R+36.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,309
- Total
- 5,811
- vs nation
- R+37.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,129
- Total
- 5,197
- vs nation
- R+41.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 781
- Total
- 5,033
- vs nation
- R+24.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+50.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 11,4892024 5-year
- Median household income
- $71,5122024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+45.4 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50.3 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Fergus County, MT · twin score 90.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 80.9%7,190 participants ÷ 8,885 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +11.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -9.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 69.4%–72.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 5,952 | 7,990 | 74.5% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 5,659 | 8,107 | 69.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 7,073 | 8,369 | 84.5% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 6,217 | 8,515 | 73.0% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 7,190 | 8,885 | 80.9% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
92 precincts · 7,080 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -DAVENPORT INSIDEDAVENPORT INSIDE | 272 | 659 | 29 | 960 | 28.3% | 68.6% | R+40.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -WILBUR INSIDEWILBUR INSIDE | 129 | 376 | 22 | 527 | 24.5% | 71.3% | R+46.9 |
| Precinct -ODESSA INSIDEODESSA INSIDE | 129 | 354 | 16 | 499 | 25.9% | 70.9% | R+45.1 |
| Precinct -RIVERVIEWRIVERVIEW | 115 | 302 | 2 | 419 | 27.4% | 72.1% | R+44.6 |
| Precinct -REARDAN INSIDEREARDAN INSIDE | 78 | 247 | 8 | 333 | 23.4% | 74.2% | R+50.8 |
| Precinct -EGYPTEGYPT | 46 | 223 | 6 | 275 | 16.7% | 81.1% | R+64.4 |
| Precinct -HARRINGTON INSIDEHARRINGTON INSIDE | 60 | 171 | 14 | 245 | 24.5% | 69.8% | R+45.3 |
| Precinct -SPRAGUE INSIDESPRAGUE INSIDE | 70 | 157 | 12 | 239 | 29.3% | 65.7% | R+36.4 |
| Precinct -PEACHPEACH | 63 | 173 | 2 | 238 | 26.5% | 72.7% | R+46.2 |
| Precinct -LAKEVIEWLAKEVIEW | 68 | 134 | 3 | 205 | 33.2% | 65.4% | R+32.2 |
| Precinct -HAWK CREEKHAWK CREEK | 51 | 135 | 6 | 192 | 26.6% | 70.3% | R+43.8 |
| Precinct -WHEATLANDWHEATLAND | 28 | 150 | 6 | 184 | 15.2% | 81.5% | R+66.3 |
| Precinct -EAST LARENEEAST LARENE | 32 | 146 | 1 | 179 | 17.9% | 81.6% | R+63.7 |
| Precinct -SPRING CREEKSPRING CREEK | 35 | 127 | 2 | 164 | 21.3% | 77.4% | R+56.1 |
| Precinct -ALMIRA INSIDEALMIRA INSIDE | 31 | 121 | 7 | 159 | 19.5% | 76.1% | R+56.6 |
| Precinct -DAVENPORT RURALDAVENPORT RURAL | 28 | 109 | 4 | 141 | 19.9% | 77.3% | R+57.4 |
| Precinct -SPRAGUE RURALSPRAGUE RURAL | 33 | 101 | 2 | 136 | 24.3% | 74.3% | R+50.0 |
| Precinct -LONG LAKELONG LAKE | 24 | 104 | 2 | 130 | 18.5% | 80.0% | R+61.5 |
| Precinct -MONDOVIMONDOVI | 29 | 94 | 6 | 129 | 22.5% | 72.9% | R+50.4 |
| Precinct -WILBUR RURALWILBUR RURAL | 16 | 100 | 3 | 119 | 13.4% | 84.0% | R+70.6 |
| Precinct -KELLERKELLER | 26 | 82 | 8 | 116 | 22.4% | 70.7% | R+48.3 |
| Precinct -CRESTON INSIDECRESTON INSIDE | 35 | 73 | 5 | 113 | 31.0% | 64.6% | R+33.6 |
| Precinct -ODESSA RURALODESSA RURAL | 18 | 93 | 1 | 112 | 16.1% | 83.0% | R+67.0 |
| Precinct -SHERMANSHERMAN | 29 | 75 | 1 | 105 | 27.6% | 71.4% | R+43.8 |
| Precinct -SEVEN BAYSSEVEN BAYS | 32 | 69 | 2 | 103 | 31.1% | 67.0% | R+35.9 |
| Precinct -EDWALLEDWALL | 15 | 85 | 1 | 101 | 14.9% | 84.2% | R+69.3 |
| Precinct -S REARDAN RURALS REARDAN RURAL | 20 | 66 | 4 | 90 | 22.2% | 73.3% | R+51.1 |
| Precinct -CRESTON RURALCRESTON RURAL | 17 | 72 | 0 | 89 | 19.1% | 80.9% | R+61.8 |
| Precinct -HARR RURALHARR RURAL | 13 | 70 | 1 | 84 | 15.5% | 83.3% | R+67.9 |
| Precinct -MOHLERMOHLER | 14 | 53 | 1 | 68 | 20.6% | 77.9% | R+57.4 |
| Precinct -N REARDAN RURALN REARDAN RURAL | 5 | 54 | 7 | 66 | 7.6% | 81.8% | R+74.2 |
| Precinct -WAUKONWAUKON | 11 | 50 | 3 | 64 | 17.2% | 78.1% | R+60.9 |
| Precinct -GRAVELLEGRAVELLE | 11 | 48 | 1 | 60 | 18.3% | 80.0% | R+61.7 |
| Precinct -WEST LARENEWEST LARENE | 20 | 37 | 0 | 57 | 35.1% | 64.9% | R+29.8 |
| Precinct -ALMIRA RURALALMIRA RURAL | 12 | 44 | 0 | 56 | 21.4% | 78.6% | R+57.1 |
| Precinct -GRAND COULEEGRAND COULEE | 8 | 45 | 2 | 55 | 14.5% | 81.8% | R+67.3 |
| Precinct -CANBYCANBY | 7 | 43 | 1 | 51 | 13.7% | 84.3% | R+70.6 |
| Precinct -EARLEARL | 7 | 43 | 0 | 50 | 14.0% | 86.0% | R+72.0 |
| Precinct -WILSON CREEKWILSON CREEK | 8 | 28 | 1 | 37 | 21.6% | 75.7% | R+54.1 |
| Precinct -LAMONALAMONA | 11 | 23 | 1 | 35 | 31.4% | 65.7% | R+34.3 |
| Precinct -BLUESTEMBLUESTEM | 3 | 21 | 1 | 25 | 12.0% | 84.0% | R+72.0 |
| Precinct -LAYTONLAYTON | 3 | 22 | 0 | 25 | 12.0% | 88.0% | R+76.0 |
| Precinct -ENOSENOS | 3 | 21 | 0 | 24 | 12.5% | 87.5% | R+75.0 |
| Precinct -GOVANGOVAN | 11 | 10 | 0 | 21 | 52.4% | 47.6% | D+4.8 |
| Almira Inside Voting District53_5304343039 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Almira Rural Voting District53_5304343001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bluestem Voting District53_5304343002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Canby Voting District53_5304343003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Creston Inside Voting District53_5304343040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Creston Rural Voting District53_5304343004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Davenport Inside Voting District53_5304343041 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Davenport Rural Voting District53_5304343006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Downs Voting District53_5304343007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Earl Voting District53_5304343008 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East Larene Voting District53_5304343021 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Edwall Voting District53_5304343009 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Egypt Voting District53_5304343010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Enos Voting District53_5304343011 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Govan Voting District53_5304343012 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grand Coulee Voting District53_5304343013 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gravelle Voting District53_5304343014 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Harrington Inside Voting District53_5304343042 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Harrington Rural Voting District53_5304343015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hawk Creek Voting District53_5304343016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Irby Voting District53_5304343017 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Keller Voting District53_5304343018 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lakeview Voting District53_5304343019 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lamona Voting District53_5304343020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Layton Voting District53_5304343023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Long Lake Voting District53_5304343024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mohler Voting District53_5304343025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mondovi Voting District53_5304343026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Reardan Rural Voting District53_5304343029 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Odessa Inside Voting District53_5304343043 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Odessa Rural Voting District53_5304343027 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Peach Voting District53_5304343028 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Reardan Inside Voting District53_5304343044 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Riverview Voting District53_5304343031 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Seven Bays Voting District53_5304343032 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sherman Voting District53_5304343033 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Reardan Rural Voting District53_5304343030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sprague Inside Voting District53_5304343045 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sprague Rural Voting District53_5304343034 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Spring Creek Voting District53_5304343035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Water: Columbia River53_53043WVCOLR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Water: Spokane River53_53043WVSPOR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Waukon Voting District53_5304343037 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Larene Voting District53_5304343022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wheatland Voting District53_5304343005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wilbur Inside Voting District53_5304343046 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wilbur Rural Voting District53_5304343036 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wilson Creek Voting District53_5304343038 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −3.6% |
| 1896 | +38.3% |
| 1900 | +5.5% |
| 1904 | −40.0% |
| 1908 | −15.9% |
| 1912 | +23.8% |
| 1916 | +8.6% |
| 1920 | −35.2% |
| 1924 | −29.4% |
| 1928 | −20.0% |
| 1932 | +21.3% |
| 1936 | +45.4% |
| 1940 | +4.8% |
| 1944 | −7.8% |
| 1948 | +3.5% |
| 1952 | −26.8% |
| 1956 | −15.6% |
| 1960 | −17.6% |
| 1964 | −11.7% |
| 1968 | −25.2% |
| 1972 | −41.6% |
| 1976 | −18.6% |
| 1980 | −32.4% |
| 1984 | −34.7% |
| 1988 | −17.3% |
| 1992 | −10.1% |
| 1996 | −15.5% |
| 2000 | −41.0% |
| 2004 | −39.7% |
| 2008 | −29.6% |
| 2012 | −40.4% |
| 2016 | −48.9% |
| 2020 | −48.9% |
| 2024 | −50.3% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1983Special · Class I | R | 40.1%Mike Lowry1,623 | 59.9%Daniel J. Evans2,428 | 4,051 |
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 7,483 |
| 2018 | 7,163 |
| 2020 | 8,411 |
| 2022 | 8,834 |
| 2024 | 9,384 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+183 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +1,697 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $63,598 in average income, against $80,040 for residents who stayed — 21% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+10.3 on average — 40 points more Democratic-leaning than Lincoln County, WA itself (R+50.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Spokane County, WA130R+4.9
- Grant County, WA26R+37.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Spokane County, WA134
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −27 |
| 2012 | −70 |
| 2013 | −129 |
| 2014 | −68 |
| 2015 | +61 |
| 2016 | +64 |
| 2017 | +259 |
| 2018 | +172 |
| 2019 | +225 |
| 2021 | +400 |
| 2022 | +344 |
| 2023 | +163 |
| 2024 | +120 |
| 2025 | +183 |
Lincoln County's sparse wheat-farming landscape and population under 11,000 produce some of the most lopsided presidential margins in the state, with the 2024 result reaching R+50 in a county that has trended consistently rightward for decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 45.4 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 50.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 50.3 points.
A population of 11,489, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,512 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Fergus County and Meagher County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Lincoln County, Washington. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/53043/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.