akashic
1876–2024
Natchitoches Parish, Louisiana
Natchitoches Parish·Louisiana

Natchitoches Parish voted Democratic for a century. The shift began with civil rights.

Historic Red River parish where a shifting Black electorate shapes every margin

18762024·38 elections
Natchitoches Parish, Louisiana · Billy Hathorn · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+22
in 2024
Archetype
Old Confederacy
since the recent cycles
Population
36,693
2024 ACS
Most similar
Yalobusha County
MS · similarity 0.98
50 precincts · 15,040 votes cast
Trump · R+22
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−22.3%
5,7409,10015,040
2020R
−14.9%
6,8969,35816,554
2016R
−11.0%
7,1448,96816,621
2012R
−6.6%
7,9429,07717,258
2008R
−7.3%
7,8019,05417,067
2004R
−11.0%
7,3989,26116,966
2000R
−2.7%
6,9247,33214,857
1996D
+18.6%
8,2965,47115,170
1992D
+8.7%
6,9745,69414,779
1988R
−7.8%
6,1517,22413,733
1984R
−20.2%
5,8068,83614,978
1980D
+3.1%
7,1026,66814,189
1976D
+11.6%
6,6925,24812,417
1972R
−35.3%
3,1806,99410,803
1968D
+13.5%
3,9452,35211,802
1964D
+30.0%
5,5252,9758,500
1960D
+3.1%
2,7812,5627,060
1956R
−20.4%
2,0283,2035,770
1952D
+11.1%
3,8763,1046,980
1948D
+17.4%
1,6927635,352
1944D
+39.3%
2,5361,1053,644
1940D
+69.7%
3,8246844,508
1936D
+74.8%
3,4765023,978
1932D
+90.4%
3,4581733,633
1928D
+59.9%
2,0995262,625
1924D
+69.2%
1,1322001,346
1920D
+77.4%
1,5952031,798
1916D
+92.1%
1,181451,233
1912D
+73.0%
759211,011
1908D
+66.4%
792143977
1904D
+66.9%
630125755
1900D
+76.4%
845113958
1896D
+96.7%
1,656231,688
1892D
+37.6%
1,1405171,657
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
31.8%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
22.8%
Catholic & Orthodox
11.0%
Other Christian
9.4%
Methodist
4.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.7%
Mainline Protestant
0.6%
Non-Christian
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 48.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Natchitoches Parish, home to Louisiana's oldest permanent settlement, carries a substantial African American population—roughly 40%—that has kept Democratic presidential candidates competitive even as the overall margin has drifted steadily rightward over two decades.

The shift began with civil rights. 2000 marked the realignment in Natchitoches Parish, by a three points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at thirty-five points in 1972. The 2024 margin was twenty-two points.

The political shift has tracked, in Natchitoches Parish, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 51% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $46,292, and a 25% poverty rate describe the demographic context. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Yalobusha County and Claiborne Parish.