HarrisDemocratic38.2%1,353TrumpRepublican60.3%2,135OtherAll other candidates1.4%51
R+22.1- Lead
- 782
- Total
- 3,539
- vs nation
- R+20.6
- Turnout
- —
Akashiccity
Sunbury, PA
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic38.7%1,342TrumpRepublican59.1%2,048OtherAll other candidates2.2%77
R+20.4- Lead
- 706
- Total
- 3,467
- vs nation
- R+24.8
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic36.6%1,113TrumpRepublican58.4%1,776OtherAll other candidates5.1%154
R+21.8- Lead
- 663
- Total
- 3,043
- vs nation
- R+23.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic49.0%1,374RomneyRepublican48.7%1,365OtherAll other candidates2.3%64
D+0.3- Lead
- 9
- Total
- 2,803
- vs nation
- R+3.5
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic47.5%1,364McCainRepublican49.8%1,431OtherAll other candidates2.6%76
R+2.3- Lead
- 67
- Total
- 2,871
- vs nation
- R+9.6
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic45.7%1,374BushRepublican54.3%1,631OtherAll other candidates<0.1%1
R+8.5- Lead
- 257
- Total
- 3,006
- vs nation
- R+6.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+22.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 9,6172024 5-year
- Median household income
- $51,0282024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+0.3 in 2012MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+22.1 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Shamokin, PA · twin score 89.2
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −8.5% |
| 2008 | −2.3% |
| 2012 | +0.3% |
| 2016 | −21.8% |
| 2020 | −20.4% |
| 2024 | −22.1% |
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 38.2%Harris1,353 | 60.3%Trump2,135 | 1.4% | R+22.1 | R+1.7 | R+20.6 | 3,539 | |
| R | 38.7%Biden1,342 | 59.1%Trump2,048 | 2.2% | R+20.4 | D+1.4 | R+24.8 | 3,467 | |
| R | 36.6%Clinton1,113 | 58.4%Trump1,776 | 5.1% | R+21.8 | R+22.1 | R+23.9 | 3,043 | |
| D | 49.0%Obama1,374 | 48.7%Romney1,365 | 2.3% | D+0.3 | D+2.7 | R+3.5 | 2,803 | |
| R | 47.5%Obama1,364 | 49.8%McCain1,431 | 2.6% | R+2.3 | — | R+9.6 | 2,871 | |
| R | 45.7%Kerry1,374 | 54.3%Bush1,631 | 0.0% | R+8.5 | — | R+6.1 | 3,006 |
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 1 Senate
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 36.9%1,287 | 63.1%2,201 | 3,488 |
| 2020 | R | 34.7%1,192 | 65.3%2,248 | 3,440 |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 39.3%1,384 | 57.0%2,007 | 3,521 |
Sunbury's post-industrial economy and shrinking population have made it a bellwether for Northumberland County, where voter preferences have shifted sharply toward Republicans over the past two decades by double-digit margins.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 0.3 points in 2012 and a Republican high of 22.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 1.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 22.1 points.
A population of 9,617, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $51,028 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Shamokin and Palmerton.
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Shamokin
Pennsylvania
89.2twin score
college share12-yr trendmedian income
Palmerton
Pennsylvania
87.7twin score
college share12-yr trend2016–2020 trajectory≠ elasticity
Berlin
Wisconsin
87.0twin score
12-yr trendcollege share2020–2024 trajectory≠ German ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Sunbury, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4275304/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Pennsylvania at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Sunbury, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Sunbury, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 22.1 points (R+22.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 3,539 votes cast, 1,353 went Democratic and 2,135 went Republican.
When did Sunbury, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Sunbury, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Sunbury, Pennsylvania?
Sunbury, Pennsylvania has a population of 9,617 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Sunbury, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Sunbury, Pennsylvania is $51,028 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Sunbury, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Sunbury, Pennsylvania from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.