Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic40.3%599TrumpRepublican58.0%863OtherAll other candidates1.7%26
R+17.7
Lead
264
Total
1,488
vs nation
R+16.3
BidenDemocratic41.5%633TrumpRepublican56.3%858OtherAll other candidates2.2%34
R+14.8
Lead
225
Total
1,525
vs nation
R+19.2
ClintonDemocratic39.8%579TrumpRepublican52.5%764OtherAll other candidates7.7%112
R+12.7
Lead
185
Total
1,455
vs nation
R+14.8
ObamaDemocratic49.2%333RomneyRepublican47.7%323OtherAll other candidates3.1%21
D+1.5
Lead
10
Total
677
vs nation
R+2.4
ObamaDemocratic49.5%352McCainRepublican48.5%345OtherAll other candidates2.0%14
D+1.0
Lead
7
Total
711
vs nation
R+6.3
KerryDemocratic51.5%798BushRepublican46.5%720OtherAll other candidates2.0%31
D+5.0
Lead
78
Total
1,549
vs nation
D+7.5
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+17.7MIT Election Lab
Population
3,0972024 5-year
Population density
90 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
34.3 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$64,0962024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
94.1%2024 5-year
Black
2.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
1.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+5.0 in 2004MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+17.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
59.1%1,487 participants ÷ 2,515 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+12.0 ptsVolatile
Drop-off vs state
-2.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
45.7%–47.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%
49.3%
51.2%
20042008201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
1,487
2,515 ± 202
59.1%
Audited
E/A
2022Mid
1,295
2,529 ± 204
51.2%
Audited
E/A
1,519
2,403 ± 186
63.2%
Audited
E/A
2018Mid
1,175
2,384 ± 216
49.3%
Audited
E/A
1,489
2,319 ± 163
64.2%
Audited
E/A
677
2,447
27.7%
Derived
—
711
2,595
27.4%
Derived
—
1,549
2,743 extrapolated
56.5%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
presidential history
Party record book
Calais, ME · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
51.5%
798 votes · D+5.0
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 49.5%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
58.0%
863 votes · R+17.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 56.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
798votes
51.5% of the vote · D+5.0
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 633 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
863votes
58.0% of the vote · R+17.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 858 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
+7.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+5.0 · U.S. R+2.5
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · −2.4 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+19.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+14.8 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +16.3 pts
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Calais · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Washington County, Maine, the county containing Calais — Calais’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Calais, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Calais sits directly across the St. Croix River from St. Stephen, Ontario, making cross-border economic ties a persistent local concern. Its small, declining population trends toward wider margins than Maine's statewide results.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 5.0 points in 2004 and a Republican high of 17.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 3.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 17.7 points.
A population of 3,097, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,096 describe the city.
In 2024, Calais, Maine voted Republican by 17.7 points (R+17.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,488 votes cast, 599 went Democratic and 863 went Republican.
When did Calais, Maine last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Calais, Maine voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Calais, Maine?
Calais, Maine has a population of 3,097 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Calais, Maine?
Median household income in Calais, Maine is $64,096 — below the national median of $80,734. The Maine state median is $74,733.
What is the political history of Calais, Maine?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Calais, Maine from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 3 went Republican.
