Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic73.8%1,305TrumpRepublican24.6%435OtherAll other candidates1.6%28
D+49.2
Lead
870
Total
1,768
vs nation
D+50.7
BidenDemocratic81.5%1,224TrumpRepublican16.5%248OtherAll other candidates2.0%30
D+65.0
Lead
976
Total
1,502
vs nation
D+60.5
ClintonDemocratic83.6%1,304TrumpRepublican14.6%228OtherAll other candidates1.8%28
D+69.0
Lead
1,076
Total
1,560
vs nation
D+66.9
ObamaDemocratic83.1%1,550RomneyRepublican15.8%295OtherAll other candidates1.1%21
D+67.3
Lead
1,255
Total
1,866
vs nation
D+63.4
ObamaDemocratic76.1%1,413McCainRepublican22.2%412OtherAll other candidates1.7%32
D+53.9
Lead
1,001
Total
1,857
vs nation
D+46.6
KerryDemocratic78.1%1,343BushRepublican21.8%375OtherAll other candidates0.1%2
D+56.3
Lead
968
Total
1,720
vs nation
D+58.7
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+49.2MIT Election Lab
Population
4,6192024 5-year
Population density
1,248 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
3.7 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$33,8442024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
15.0%2024 5-year
Black
83.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
0.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+69.0 in 2016MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
48.2%1,777 participants ÷ 3,685 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+12.0 ptsPersistently low turnout
Drop-off vs state
-9.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
36.2%–38.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%
35.5%
28.7%
20042008201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
1,777
3,685 ± 257
48.2%
Audited
E/A
2022Mid
1,123
3,912 ± 231
28.7%
Audited
E/A
1,516
3,725 ± 236
40.7%
Audited
E/A
2018Mid
1,272
3,586 ± 222
35.5%
Audited
E/A
1,582
3,715 ± 243
42.6%
Audited
E/A
1,866
3,710
50.3%
Derived
—
1,857
3,776
49.2%
Derived
—
1,720
3,842 extrapolated
44.8%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
presidential history
Party record book
Mansfield, LA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Hillary Clinton2016
83.6%
1,304 votes · D+69.0
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 83.1%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
24.6%
435 votes · D+49.2
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · 22.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
1,550votes
83.1% of the vote · D+67.3
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 1,413 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
435votes
24.6% of the vote · D+49.2
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · 412 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Hillary Clinton2016
+66.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+69.0 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +63.4 pts
Republican
John McCain2008
−46.6pts R vs U.S.
Place D+53.9 · U.S. D+7.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · −50.7 pts
presidential primaries
Nominating contests
Mansfield · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are De Soto Parish, Louisiana, the county containing Mansfield — Mansfield’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Mansfield, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Mansfield's electorate reflects the heavily Republican lean of rural northwest Louisiana, with African American residents making up a substantial share of the local population — a demographic mix that shapes both municipal contests and parish-level margins.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 69.0 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 15.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 49.2 points.
A population of 4,619, a 15% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $33,844 describe the city.
In 2024, Mansfield, Louisiana voted Democratic by 49.2 points (D+49.2), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,768 votes cast, 1,305 went Democratic and 435 went Republican.
How many people live in Mansfield, Louisiana?
Mansfield, Louisiana has a population of 4,619 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Mansfield, Louisiana?
Median household income in Mansfield, Louisiana is $33,844 — below the national median of $80,734. The Louisiana state median is $60,756.
What is the political history of Mansfield, Louisiana?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Mansfield, Louisiana from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
