Middletown, Connecticut
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +35.5% |
| 2008 | +43.2% |
| 2012 | +38.5% |
| 2016 | +27.5% |
| 2020 | +33.6% |
| 2024 | +29.0% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 63.5%Harris13,986 | 34.6%Trump7,611 | 1.9% | D+29.0 | R+4.6 | D+30.4 | 22,014 | |
| D | 66.0%Biden15,508 | 32.4%Trump7,611 | 1.7% | D+33.6 | D+6.1 | D+29.1 | 23,509 | |
| D | 61.0%Clinton12,959 | 33.5%Trump7,126 | 5.5% | D+27.5 | R+11.0 | D+25.4 | 21,244 | |
| D | 68.6%Obama12,971 | 30.1%Romney5,697 | 1.3% | D+38.5 | R+4.7 | D+34.6 | 18,918 | |
| D | 70.8%Obama15,143 | 27.6%McCain5,907 | 1.6% | D+43.2 | D+7.6 | D+35.9 | 21,391 | |
| D | 66.9%Kerry13,505 | 31.3%Bush6,329 | 1.8% | D+35.5 | — | D+38.0 | 20,190 |
Middletown sits at the intersection of a historically working-class riverfront economy and a growing college-town demographic, a mix that has pushed its electoral margins leftward over recent cycles while keeping turnout patterns distinct from Connecticut's suburban corridors.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 43.2 points in 2008. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 4.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 29.0 points.
A population of 47,958, a 65% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,438 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Pittsfield and Kingston.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Middletown, Connecticut. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/0947290/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.