- Lead
- 141
- Total
- 14,988
- vs nation
- D+2.4
Connecticut 34th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 547
- Total
- 14,801
- vs nation
- R+0.8
- Lead
- 656
- Total
- 13,220
- vs nation
- R+7.1
- Lead
- 424
- Total
- 12,284
- vs nation
- R+0.4
- Lead
- 1,347
- Total
- 12,739
- vs nation
- D+3.3
- Lead
- 198
- Total
- 12,382
- vs nation
- D+4.1
- Lead
- 710
- Total
- 11,423
- vs nation
- D+5.7
- Lead
- 1,059
- Total
- 10,625
- vs nation
- D+1.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+0.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 23,1672024 5-year
- Population density
- 221 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 105 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $117,7022024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+23.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50.1 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 8, CT · twin score 97.5
presidential history
Party record book
Connecticut 34th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
61.6%
4,075 votes · D+23.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 54.5%
Republican
William McKinley1896
72.2%
972 votes · R+50.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 70.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
7,513votes
50.8% of the vote · D+3.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 7,439 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
7,298votes
48.7% of the vote · D+0.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 6,966 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
+5.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+6.2 · U.S. D+0.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · +4.1 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+44.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+50.1 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1932 · +36.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 58.3%6,985 | 41.7%5,002 | 11,987 |
| 2018 | D | 59.9%6,162 | 40.1%4,133 | 10,295 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of just one point, this Connecticut House district sits at the competitive edge of the state's political map, making it a reliable bellwether for shifts in suburban and small-city voting patterns.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 23.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 50.1 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.9 points.
A population of 23,167, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $117,702 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 8 and State House District 81.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Connecticut 34th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/09034/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.