HarrisDemocratic63.4%7,004TrumpRepublican34.5%3,812OtherAll other candidates2.0%224
D+28.9- Lead
- 3,192
- Total
- 11,040
- vs nation
- D+30.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Connecticut 33rd State House District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic66.7%7,708TrumpRepublican31.7%3,662OtherAll other candidates1.6%186
D+35.0- Lead
- 4,046
- Total
- 11,556
- vs nation
- D+30.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic62.0%6,359TrumpRepublican32.6%3,345OtherAll other candidates5.4%549
D+29.4- Lead
- 3,014
- Total
- 10,253
- vs nation
- D+27.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic68.4%6,712RomneyRepublican30.2%2,969OtherAll other candidates1.4%138
D+38.1- Lead
- 3,743
- Total
- 9,819
- vs nation
- D+34.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic70.8%7,421McCainRepublican27.0%2,832OtherAll other candidates2.2%230
D+43.8- Lead
- 4,589
- Total
- 10,483
- vs nation
- D+36.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic67.0%6,644BushRepublican30.5%3,029OtherAll other candidates2.5%245
D+36.4- Lead
- 3,615
- Total
- 9,918
- vs nation
- D+38.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic65.9%6,056BushRepublican27.5%2,524OtherAll other candidates6.6%608
D+38.4- Lead
- 3,532
- Total
- 9,188
- vs nation
- D+37.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic60.8%5,279DoleRepublican22.8%1,979OtherAll other candidates16.4%1,424
D+38.0- Lead
- 3,300
- Total
- 8,682
- vs nation
- D+29.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+28.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 23,8472024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,500 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 15.9 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $80,9452024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 63.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+54.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+18.8 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 100, CT · twin score 93.5
presidential history
Party record book
Connecticut 33rd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
77.0%
4,280 votes · D+54.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 70.8%
Republican
William McKinley1896
55.9%
491 votes · R+18.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 53.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
7,708votes
66.7% of the vote · D+35.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 7,421 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
3,812votes
34.5% of the vote · D+28.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 3,662 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
+38.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+36.4 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Al Gore, 2000 · +37.9 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+12.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+18.8 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1932 · +1.6 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
DBrandon ChafeeState House · 33
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 58.0%7,245 | 42.0%5,251 | 12,496 |
| 2018 | D | 59.5%6,388 | 40.5%4,352 | 10,740 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+29, this district ranks among the most reliably Democratic in the state, suggesting a dense, urban-leaning electorate where competitive general elections are rare.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 54.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 18.8 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 28.9 points.
A population of 23,847, a 64% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $80,945 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 100 and State House District 96.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State House District 100
Connecticut
93.5twin score
2008–2024 trajectory≠ median age
State House District 96
Connecticut
89.7twin score
elasticity2008–2024 trajectoryItalian ancestry≠ 2016 margin
State House District 13
Connecticut
89.4twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ Puerto Rican ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Connecticut 33rd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/09033/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Connecticut at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Connecticut 33rd State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Connecticut 33rd State House District voted Democratic by 28.9 points (D+28.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 11,040 votes cast, 7,004 went Democratic and 3,812 went Republican.
When did Connecticut 33rd State House District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Connecticut 33rd State House District voted Republican was 1956.
How many people live in Connecticut 33rd State House District?
Connecticut 33rd State House District has a population of 23,847 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Connecticut 33rd State House District?
Median household income in Connecticut 33rd State House District is $80,945 — above the national median of $80,734. The Connecticut state median is $95,781.
What is the political history of Connecticut 33rd State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Connecticut 33rd State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 33 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.