HarrisDemocratic49.3%106TrumpRepublican48.8%105OtherAll other candidates1.9%4
D+0.5- Lead
- 1
- Total
- 215
- vs nation
- D+1.9
- Turnout
- —
Akashiccity
Vandenberg AFB, CA
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic51.8%147TrumpRepublican38.7%110OtherAll other candidates9.5%27
D+13.0- Lead
- 37
- Total
- 284
- vs nation
- D+8.6
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic42.4%81TrumpRepublican41.9%80OtherAll other candidates15.7%30
D+0.5- Lead
- 1
- Total
- 191
- vs nation
- R+1.6
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic36.8%74RomneyRepublican60.2%121OtherAll other candidates3.0%6
R+23.4- Lead
- 47
- Total
- 201
- vs nation
- R+27.2
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic48.3%201McCainRepublican50.5%210OtherAll other candidates1.2%5
R+2.2- Lead
- 9
- Total
- 416
- vs nation
- R+9.4
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic41.3%179BushRepublican55.2%239OtherAll other candidates3.5%15
R+13.9- Lead
- 60
- Total
- 433
- vs nation
- R+11.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+0.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 3,4772024 5-year
- Median household income
- $84,1672024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 58.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 10.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 14.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+13.0 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+23.4 in 2012MIT Election Lab
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −13.9% |
| 2008 | −2.2% |
| 2012 | −23.4% |
| 2016 | +0.5% |
| 2020 | +13.0% |
| 2024 | +0.5% |
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 49.3%Harris106 | 48.8%Trump105 | 1.9% | D+0.5 | R+12.6 | D+1.9 | 215 | |
| D | 51.8%Biden147 | 38.7%Trump110 | 9.5% | D+13.0 | D+12.5 | D+8.6 | 284 | |
| D | 42.4%Clinton81 | 41.9%Trump80 | 15.7% | D+0.5 | D+23.9 | R+1.6 | 191 | |
| R | 36.8%Obama74 | 60.2%Romney121 | 3.0% | R+23.4 | R+21.2 | R+27.2 | 201 | |
| R | 48.3%Obama201 | 50.5%McCain210 | 1.2% | R+2.2 | — | R+9.4 | 416 | |
| R | 41.3%Kerry179 | 55.2%Bush239 | 3.5% | R+13.9 | — | R+11.4 | 433 |
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 47.0%150 | 53.0%169 | 319 |
| 2020 | D | 51.8%142 | 48.2%132 | 274 |
Vandenberg AFB CDP is a census-designated place coextensive with the military installation, meaning its small resident population skews heavily toward active-duty personnel and dependents — a demographic profile that sits outside typical California electoral patterns.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 13.0 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 23.4 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 12.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.5 points.
A population of 3,477, a 59% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $84,167 describe the city.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Vandenberg AFB, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/0682072/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
California at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Vandenberg AFB, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Vandenberg AFB, California voted a near-tie (D+0.5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 215 votes cast, 106 went Democratic and 105 went Republican.
When did Vandenberg AFB, California last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Vandenberg AFB, California voted Republican was 2012.
How many people live in Vandenberg AFB, California?
Vandenberg AFB, California has a population of 3,477 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Vandenberg AFB, California?
Median household income in Vandenberg AFB, California is $84,167 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Vandenberg AFB, California?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Vandenberg AFB, California from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 3 went Republican.