HarrisDemocratic30.9%741TrumpRepublican66.5%1,593OtherAll other candidates2.6%62
R+35.6- Lead
- 852
- Total
- 2,396
- vs nation
- R+34.1
- Turnout
- —
Akashiccity
Thermalito, CA
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic35.1%925TrumpRepublican62.6%1,651OtherAll other candidates2.3%61
R+27.5- Lead
- 726
- Total
- 2,637
- vs nation
- R+32.0
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic33.5%694TrumpRepublican58.7%1,216OtherAll other candidates7.7%160
R+25.2- Lead
- 522
- Total
- 2,070
- vs nation
- R+27.3
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic45.1%860RomneyRepublican50.7%966OtherAll other candidates4.2%81
R+5.6- Lead
- 106
- Total
- 1,907
- vs nation
- R+9.4
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic42.5%802McCainRepublican56.8%1,072OtherAll other candidates0.6%12
R+14.3- Lead
- 270
- Total
- 1,886
- vs nation
- R+21.6
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic36.1%698BushRepublican61.4%1,188OtherAll other candidates2.5%48
R+25.3- Lead
- 490
- Total
- 1,934
- vs nation
- R+22.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+35.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 6,7202024 5-year
- Median household income
- $54,8652024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 47.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 19.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+35.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Wagoner, OK · twin score 92.0
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −25.3% |
| 2008 | −14.3% |
| 2012 | −5.6% |
| 2016 | −25.2% |
| 2020 | −27.5% |
| 2024 | −35.6% |
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 30.9%Harris741 | 66.5%Trump1,593 | 2.6% | R+35.6 | R+8.0 | R+34.1 | 2,396 | |
| R | 35.1%Biden925 | 62.6%Trump1,651 | 2.3% | R+27.5 | R+2.3 | R+32.0 | 2,637 | |
| R | 33.5%Clinton694 | 58.7%Trump1,216 | 7.7% | R+25.2 | R+19.7 | R+27.3 | 2,070 | |
| R | 45.1%Obama860 | 50.7%Romney966 | 4.2% | R+5.6 | D+8.8 | R+9.4 | 1,907 | |
| R | 42.5%Obama802 | 56.8%McCain1,072 | 0.6% | R+14.3 | — | R+21.6 | 1,886 | |
| R | 36.1%Kerry698 | 61.4%Bush1,188 | 2.5% | R+25.3 | — | R+22.9 | 1,934 |
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 30.0%700 | 70.0%1,636 | 2,336 |
| 2020 | R | 37.1%976 | 62.9%1,658 | 2,634 |
Thermalito sits just west of Oroville along the Feather River, with a population that skews younger and lower-income than the California median — demographic factors that historically depress turnout while amplifying the weight of each vote cast.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 35.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 8.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 35.6 points.
A population of 6,720, a 47% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $54,865 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Wagoner and Henryetta.
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Wagoner
Oklahoma
92.0twin score
12-yr trend2008–2024 trajectory
Henryetta
Oklahoma
90.8twin score
12-yr trend2016–2024 trajectory≠ college share
La Follette
Tennessee
90.4twin score
12-yr trendpopulation scale2024 margin≠ college share
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Thermalito, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/0678470/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
California at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Thermalito, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Thermalito, California voted Republican by 35.6 points (R+35.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,396 votes cast, 741 went Democratic and 1,593 went Republican.
How many people live in Thermalito, California?
Thermalito, California has a population of 6,720 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Thermalito, California?
Median household income in Thermalito, California is $54,865 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Thermalito, California?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Thermalito, California from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.