- Lead
- 3,230
- Total
- 6,052
- vs nation
- D+54.8
- Turnout
- —
Soquel, CA
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
- Lead
- 3,824
- Total
- 6,548
- vs nation
- D+53.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,992
- Total
- 5,618
- vs nation
- D+51.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,367
- Total
- 4,701
- vs nation
- D+46.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,847
- Total
- 5,193
- vs nation
- D+47.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,292
- Total
- 5,216
- vs nation
- D+46.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+53.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 10,6792024 5-year
- Median household income
- $118,7772024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 69.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 23.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+58.4 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Capitola, CA · twin score 97.3
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +43.9% |
| 2008 | +54.8% |
| 2012 | +50.4% |
| 2016 | +53.3% |
| 2020 | +58.4% |
| 2024 | +53.4% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 74.8%Harris4,528 | 21.4%Trump1,298 | 3.7% | D+53.4 | R+5.0 | D+54.8 | 6,052 | |
| D | 78.0%Biden5,108 | 19.6%Trump1,284 | 2.4% | D+58.4 | D+5.1 | D+53.9 | 6,548 | |
| D | 72.7%Clinton4,085 | 19.5%Trump1,093 | 7.8% | D+53.3 | D+2.9 | D+51.2 | 5,618 | |
| D | 72.9%Obama3,426 | 22.5%Romney1,059 | 4.6% | D+50.4 | R+4.5 | D+46.5 | 4,701 | |
| D | 77.3%Obama4,013 | 22.5%McCain1,166 | 0.3% | D+54.8 | — | D+47.6 | 5,193 | |
| D | 71.2%Kerry3,712 | 27.2%Bush1,420 | 1.6% | D+43.9 | — | D+46.4 | 5,216 |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 79.3%4,670 | 20.7%1,220 | 5,890 |
| 2020 | D | 80.2%5,191 | 19.8%1,279 | 6,470 |
Soquel sits just inland from Capitola on the edge of Santa Cruz County's urban fringe, drawing a mix of long-term homeowners and university-adjacent renters whose competing interests keep local turnout patterns notably volatile.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 58.4 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 5.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 53.4 points.
A population of 10,679, a 69% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $118,777 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Capitola and Aptos.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Soquel, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/0672688/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.