Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic49.0%1,355TrumpRepublican48.6%1,345OtherAll other candidates2.4%67
D+0.4
Lead
10
Total
2,767
vs nation
D+1.8
Turnout
—
BidenDemocratic49.6%1,389TrumpRepublican48.4%1,354OtherAll other candidates2.0%56
D+1.3
Lead
35
Total
2,799
vs nation
R+3.2
Turnout
—
ClintonDemocratic42.1%1,074TrumpRepublican51.4%1,311OtherAll other candidates6.5%165
R+9.3
Lead
237
Total
2,550
vs nation
R+11.4
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic38.4%983RomneyRepublican58.5%1,496OtherAll other candidates3.1%80
R+20.0
Lead
513
Total
2,559
vs nation
R+23.9
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic43.4%1,069McCainRepublican56.2%1,386OtherAll other candidates0.4%10
R+12.9
Lead
317
Total
2,465
vs nation
R+20.1
Turnout
—
KerryDemocratic35.7%925BushRepublican62.8%1,626OtherAll other candidates1.5%40
R+27.1
Lead
701
Total
2,591
vs nation
R+24.6
Turnout
—
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+0.4MIT Election Lab
Population
4,4672024 5-year
Median household income
$110,7812024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
75.0%2024 5-year
Black
0.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
20.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+1.3 in 2020MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+27.1 in 2004MIT Election Lab
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−27.1%
2008
−12.9%
2012
−20.0%
2016
−9.3%
2020
+1.3%
2024
+0.4%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
49.0%Harris1,355
48.6%Trump1,345
2.4%
D+0.4
R+0.9
D+1.8
2,767
D
49.6%Biden1,389
48.4%Trump1,354
2.0%
D+1.3
D+10.5
R+3.2
2,799
R
42.1%Clinton1,074
51.4%Trump1,311
6.5%
R+9.3
D+10.8
R+11.4
2,550
R
38.4%Obama983
58.5%Romney1,496
3.1%
R+20.0
R+7.2
R+23.9
2,559
R
43.4%Obama1,069
56.2%McCain1,386
0.4%
R+12.9
—
R+20.1
2,465
R
35.7%Kerry925
62.8%Bush1,626
1.5%
R+27.1
—
R+24.6
2,591
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Santa Ynez sits in a valley whose ranching and viticulture economy pulls its small electorate toward more conservative margins than the surrounding county, making it a consistent outlier in a heavily Democratic coastal region.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 1.3 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 27.1 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 0.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.4 points.
A population of 4,467, a 75% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $110,781 describe the city.
In 2024, Santa Ynez, California voted a near-tie (D+0.4), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 2,767 votes cast, 1,355 went Democratic and 1,345 went Republican.
When did Santa Ynez, California last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Santa Ynez, California voted Republican was 2016.
How many people live in Santa Ynez, California?
Santa Ynez, California has a population of 4,467 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Santa Ynez, California?
Median household income in Santa Ynez, California is $110,781 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Santa Ynez, California?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Santa Ynez, California from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 4 went Republican.