Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 1992–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic47.4%697TrumpRepublican49.7%731OtherAll other candidates2.9%42
R+2.3
Lead
34
Total
1,470
vs nation
R+0.8
BidenDemocratic53.1%824TrumpRepublican44.4%689OtherAll other candidates2.5%39
D+8.7
Lead
135
Total
1,552
vs nation
D+4.2
ClintonDemocratic44.1%608TrumpRepublican47.8%660OtherAll other candidates8.1%112
R+3.8
Lead
52
Total
1,380
vs nation
R+5.9
ObamaDemocratic50.3%634RomneyRepublican45.3%571OtherAll other candidates4.4%55
D+5.0
Lead
63
Total
1,260
vs nation
D+1.1
ObamaDemocratic53.7%676McCainRepublican46.0%579OtherAll other candidates0.4%5
D+7.7
Lead
97
Total
1,260
vs nation
D+0.4
KerryDemocratic47.4%598BushRepublican51.8%653OtherAll other candidates0.8%10
R+4.4
Lead
55
Total
1,261
vs nation
R+1.9
ClintonDemocratic37.6%328DoleRepublican38.7%338OtherAll other candidates23.7%207
R+1.1
Lead
10
Total
873
vs nation
R+9.7
ClintonDemocratic29.4%275BushRepublican35.1%329OtherAll other candidates35.5%332
Other win
Lead
3
Total
936
vs nation
R+11.3
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+2.3MIT Election Lab
Population
2,9952024 5-year
Population density
788 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
3.8 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$64,1252024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
74.4%2024 5-year
Black
1.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
11.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+8.7 in 2020MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+5.8 in 1992MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
72.7%1,492 participants ÷ 2,052 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+17.0 ptsVolatile
Drop-off vs state
-9.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
55.7%–57.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%
52.3%
52.3%
20042008201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
1,492
2,052 ± 293
72.7%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
1,100
2,102 ± 317
52.3%
Audited
E/D
1,584
2,286 ± 290
69.3%
Audited
E/D
2018Mid
1,290
2,468 ± 282
52.3%
Audited
E/D
1,434
2,188 ± 254
65.5%
Audited
E/D
1,260
2,533
49.7%
Derived
—
1,260
2,381
52.9%
Derived
—
1,261
2,229 extrapolated
56.6%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
presidential history
Party record book
North Lakeport, CA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1992–2024 · 8 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
53.7%
676 votes · D+7.7
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 53.1%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
51.8%
653 votes · R+4.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 49.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
824votes
53.1% of the vote · D+8.7
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 697 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
731votes
49.7% of the vote · R+2.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 689 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
+4.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+8.7 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +1.1 pts
Republican
George H. W. Bush1992
+11.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+5.8 · U.S. D+5.6 · a third-party candidate carried the Place
Runner-up · Bob Dole, 1996 · +9.7 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
North Lakeport · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Lake County, California, the county containing North Lakeport — North Lakeport’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in North Lakeport, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
North Lakeport sits in the Pacific Coast. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 8.7 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 5.8 points in 1992. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 11.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 2.3 points.
A population of 2,995, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,125 describe the city.
In 2024, North Lakeport, California voted Republican by 2.3 points (R+2.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,470 votes cast, 697 went Democratic and 731 went Republican.
When did North Lakeport, California last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which North Lakeport, California voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in North Lakeport, California?
North Lakeport, California has a population of 2,995 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in North Lakeport, California?
Median household income in North Lakeport, California is $64,125 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of North Lakeport, California?
Akashic tracks 8 presidential elections in North Lakeport, California from 1992 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 4 went Republican.
