Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic55.4%632TrumpRepublican41.5%474OtherAll other candidates3.1%35
D+13.8
Lead
158
Total
1,141
vs nation
D+15.3
Turnout
—
BidenDemocratic59.5%860TrumpRepublican37.8%547OtherAll other candidates2.7%39
D+21.6
Lead
313
Total
1,446
vs nation
D+17.2
Turnout
—
ClintonDemocratic52.4%634TrumpRepublican40.5%490OtherAll other candidates7.2%87
D+11.9
Lead
144
Total
1,211
vs nation
D+9.8
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic57.2%669RomneyRepublican40.3%472OtherAll other candidates2.5%29
D+16.8
Lead
197
Total
1,170
vs nation
D+13.0
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic55.3%681McCainRepublican44.1%543OtherAll other candidates0.6%7
D+11.2
Lead
138
Total
1,231
vs nation
D+3.9
Turnout
—
KerryDemocratic47.7%603BushRepublican50.1%633OtherAll other candidates2.2%28
R+2.4
Lead
30
Total
1,264
vs nation
D+0.1
Turnout
—
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+13.8MIT Election Lab
Population
3,3382024 5-year
Median household income
$105,1392024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
34.3%2024 5-year
Black
0.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
65.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+21.6 in 2020MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+2.4 in 2004MIT Election Lab
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−2.4%
2008
+11.2%
2012
+16.8%
2016
+11.9%
2020
+21.6%
2024
+13.8%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004, 2012, 2024 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for these cycles was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
55.4%Harris632
41.5%Trump474
3.1%
D+13.8
—
D+15.3
1,141
D
59.5%Biden860
37.8%Trump547
2.7%
D+21.6
D+9.8
D+17.2
1,446
D
52.4%Clinton634
40.5%Trump490
7.2%
D+11.9
—
D+9.8
1,211
D
57.2%Obama669
40.3%Romney472
2.5%
D+16.8
—
D+13.0
1,170
D
55.3%Obama681
44.1%McCain543
0.6%
D+11.2
—
D+3.9
1,231
R
47.7%Kerry603
50.1%Bush633
2.2%
R+2.4
—
D+0.1
1,264
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Avalon's isolation on Santa Catalina Island shapes its civic life as much as its politics — a car-restricted resort town where seasonal tourism swells a permanent population of roughly 3,300 and turnout patterns diverge sharply from mainland California norms.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 21.6 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 2.4 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 7.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 13.8 points.
A population of 3,338, a 34% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $105,139 describe the city.
In 2024, Avalon, California voted Democratic by 13.8 points (D+13.8), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,141 votes cast, 632 went Democratic and 474 went Republican.
When did Avalon, California last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Avalon, California voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Avalon, California?
Avalon, California has a population of 3,338 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Avalon, California?
Median household income in Avalon, California is $105,139 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Avalon, California?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Avalon, California from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 1 went Republican.