Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic37.8%938TrumpRepublican58.0%1,438OtherAll other candidates4.2%105
R+20.2
Lead
500
Total
2,481
vs nation
R+18.7
BidenDemocratic35.3%889TrumpRepublican60.2%1,518OtherAll other candidates4.5%114
R+25.0
Lead
629
Total
2,521
vs nation
R+29.4
ClintonDemocratic28.7%595TrumpRepublican58.9%1,220OtherAll other candidates12.4%258
R+30.1
Lead
625
Total
2,073
vs nation
R+32.2
ObamaDemocratic35.6%687RomneyRepublican60.1%1,159OtherAll other candidates4.3%83
R+24.5
Lead
472
Total
1,929
vs nation
R+28.3
ObamaDemocratic32.5%703McCainRepublican65.0%1,407OtherAll other candidates2.5%54
R+32.5
Lead
704
Total
2,164
vs nation
R+39.8
KerryDemocratic31.5%39BushRepublican65.3%81OtherAll other candidates3.2%4
R+33.9
Lead
42
Total
124
vs nation
R+31.4
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+20.2MIT Election Lab
Population
3,6542024 5-year
Population density
1,075 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
3.4 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$88,5802024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
53.2%2024 5-year
Black
0.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
8.6%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+33.9 in 2004MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes.
2020–20242 cycles · 2 audited
2024 turnout
99.1%2,469 participants ÷ 2,492 CVAP
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm
0%20%40%60%80%100%
20202024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
2,469
2,492 ± 342
99.1%
Audited
E/D
2,337
2,687 ± 267
87.0%
Audited
E/A
Sources and methods
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
presidential history
Party record book
Mill Bay, AK · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
37.8%
938 votes · R+20.2
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 35.6%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
65.3%
81 votes · R+33.9
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · 65.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
938votes
37.8% of the vote · R+20.2
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 889 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
1,518votes
60.2% of the vote · R+25.0
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 1,438 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
−18.7pts D vs U.S.
Place R+20.2 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · −28.3 pts
Republican
John McCain2008
+39.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+32.5 · U.S. D+7.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +32.2 pts
U.S. House elections · 1 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Mill Bay · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Kodiak Island Borough, Alaska, the county containing Mill Bay — Mill Bay’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Mill Bay, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Mill Bay sits in the Pacific Northwest and Arctic. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 33.9 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 4.8 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 20.2 points.
A population of 3,654, a 53% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $88,580 describe the city.
In 2024, Mill Bay, Alaska voted Republican by 20.2 points (R+20.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,481 votes cast, 938 went Democratic and 1,438 went Republican.
How many people live in Mill Bay, Alaska?
Mill Bay, Alaska has a population of 3,654 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Mill Bay, Alaska?
Median household income in Mill Bay, Alaska is $88,580 — above the national median of $80,734. The Alaska state median is $92,788.
What is the political history of Mill Bay, Alaska?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Mill Bay, Alaska from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
