Akashic

congressional district

Wisconsin 4th Congressional District

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1876–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1876 → 2024

2024

District by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German20.4%35.8%12.5%

Polish8.0%7.6%2.2%

Irish7.0%10.4%9.4%

English3.6%6.7%9.5%

Italian3.3%2.7%4.8%

Norwegian1.9%6.1%—

American1.7%3.4%5.3%

French1.5%2.2%1.6%

African American†30.8%5.3%9.9%

African0.6%0.2%0.5%

Nigerian0.3%—0.2%

Somali0.3%——

Jamaican0.3%—0.4%

Mexican11.5%5.4%11.3%

Puerto Rican4.2%1.1%1.8%

Dominican0.2%—0.7%

Guatemalan0.2%—0.5%

Nicaraguan0.2%——

Hmong1.7%1.0%—

Asian Indian0.8%0.6%1.4%

Burmese0.6%——

Chinese0.4%0.4%1.3%

Filipino0.3%0.2%0.9%

Vietnamese0.2%—0.6%

Korean0.2%—0.4%

Laotian0.2%——

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	WI-4	Wisconsin	United States
Median age	34	40.5	39.1
Age 18–24	9.4%	9.3%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	14.7%	18.5%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	WI-4	Wisconsin	United States
Median household income	$60,201	$77,485	$84,427
Poverty rate	19.6%	10.6%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	34.7%	33.5%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	WI-4	Wisconsin	United States
Owner-occupied homes	49.9%	67.8%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	50.1%	32.2%	34.8%
Median home value	—	$266,500	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	—	$1,087	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	48.4%	43.7%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	8.0%	10.8%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	WI-4	Wisconsin	United States
Mean commute	22.2 min	22.2 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	3.9%	4.8%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	68.9%	74.4%	68.8%
Takes public transit	3.4%	1.1%	3.2%
Works from home	14.4%	13.1%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	WI-4	Wisconsin	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	18.6%	9.1%	22.3%
Spanish	12.0%	5.0%	13.6%
Other Indo-European	1.3%	0.7%	2.0%
Other Asian & Pacific Island	2.0%	1.2%	1.1%

Religious landscape

Measure	WI-4	Wisconsin	United States
Catholic	—	21.0%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	14.5%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	52.0%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	WI-4	Wisconsin	United States
Foreign-born residents	9.9%	5.2%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	4.5%	2.5%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	5.4%	2.7%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	4.3%	6.2%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	—	0.444	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083) · District housing, commuting and origins figures are constituent-county values weighted by each county’s share of the district — the Census publishes these at 119th-Congress lines and Akashic maps districts on the 2026 (cd:120) lines.

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic74.7%258,142TrumpRepublican23.3%80,458OtherAll other candidates2.0%6,924

D+51.4

Lead: 177,684
Total: 345,524
vs nation: D+52.9

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

BidenDemocratic75.6%259,933TrumpRepublican22.8%78,238OtherAll other candidates1.6%5,636

D+52.8

Lead: 181,695
Total: 343,807
vs nation: D+48.4

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic72.0%242,148TrumpRepublican22.3%74,926OtherAll other candidates5.7%19,202

D+49.7

Lead: 167,222
Total: 336,276
vs nation: D+47.6

exact aggregate

ObamaDemocratic74.4%278,708RomneyRepublican24.5%91,997OtherAll other candidates1.1%4,055

D+49.8

Lead: 186,711
Total: 374,760
vs nation: D+46.0

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic74.1%268,226McCainRepublican24.6%88,824OtherAll other candidates1.3%4,688

D+49.6

Lead: 179,402
Total: 361,738
vs nation: D+42.3

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

KerryDemocratic69.4%249,720BushRepublican29.7%107,002OtherAll other candidates0.9%3,222

D+39.7

Lead: 142,718
Total: 359,944
vs nation: D+42.1

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

GoreDemocratic65.7%211,570BushRepublican30.2%97,171OtherAll other candidates4.1%13,144

D+35.5

Lead: 114,399
Total: 321,885
vs nation: D+35.0

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic65.2%181,774DoleRepublican25.5%71,159OtherAll other candidates9.3%25,903

D+39.7

Lead: 110,615
Total: 278,836
vs nation: D+31.1

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+51.4MIT Election Lab
Population: 736,4002024 5-year
Population density: 5,260 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 140 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $60,2012024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 41.0%2024 5-year
Black: 31.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 17.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+65.5 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+23.2 in 1920MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Congressional District 11, OH · twin score 91.0

presidential history

Party record book

Wisconsin 4th Congressional District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Franklin D. Roosevelt1936

79.4%

185,756 votes · D+65.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 75.6%

Republican

William McKinley1896

47.3%

21,343 votes · D+2.0 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 47.3%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2012

278,708votes

74.4% of the vote · D+49.8 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 268,226 votes

Republican

Dwight D. Eisenhower1956

135,181votes

47.3% of the vote · D+4.7 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 130,437 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Kamala Harris2024

+52.9pts D vs U.S.

Place D+51.4 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +48.4 pts

Republican

Warren G. Harding1920

−3.0pts R vs U.S.

Place R+23.2 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1912 · −4.3 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

DGwen MooreU.S. House · WI-04-0.52

DTammy BaldwinU.S. Senate-0.49

RRon JohnsonU.S. Senate+0.65

Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.

U.S. House elections · 25 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC BY 4.0.
Year	District	Won	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	4	D	74.8%249,938	22.4%74,921	334,282
2022	4	D	75.3%191,955	22.6%57,660	255,012
2020	4	D	74.6%232,668	22.7%70,769	311,697
2018	4	D	75.6%206,487	21.6%59,091	273,087
2016	4	D	76.7%220,181	0.0%0	286,909
2014	4	D	70.2%179,045	26.9%68,490	254,892
2012	4	D	72.2%235,257	24.8%80,787	325,788
2010	4	D	69.1%143,559	29.6%61,543	207,904
2008	4	D	87.6%222,728	0.0%0	254,179
2006	4	D	71.3%136,735	28.4%54,486	191,742
2004	4	D	69.7%212,382	28.2%85,928	304,801
2002	4	D	86.3%122,031	0.0%0	141,367
2000	4	D	60.8%163,622	37.8%101,811	269,265
1998	4	D	58.0%105,841	42.0%76,666	182,507
1996	4	D	57.6%134,470	42.2%98,438	233,284
1994	4	D	53.7%93,789	44.8%78,225	174,689
1992	4	D	65.8%173,482	32.2%84,872	263,645
1990	4	D	69.2%96,981	30.7%43,001	140,221
1988	4	D	99.7%177,283	0.0%0	177,892
1986	4	D	99.6%120,354	0.0%0	120,803
1984	4	D	66.6%158,722	32.8%78,056	238,222
1982	4	D	94.6%129,557	0.0%0	137,024
1980	4	D	70.0%146,437	29.2%61,027	209,139
1978	4	D	66.1%101,575	33.9%52,125	153,703
1976	4	D	100.0%172,166	0.0%0	172,243

Wisconsin's 4th anchors Milwaukee's urban center, where a D+51.4 presidential margin reflects one of the most lopsided partisan distributions in the region, driven by dense population, a large Black electorate, and concentrated labor union membership.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 65.5 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 23.2 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 51.4 points.

A population of 736,400, a 41% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,201 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 11 and Congressional District 7.

Political twins — districts

The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Congressional District 11

Ohio

91.0twin score

elasticity2016–2024 trajectory≠ median age

Congressional District 7

Indiana

89.6twin score

2008–2024 trajectory≠ elasticity

Congressional District 5

Georgia

89.2twin score

elasticity2012–2024 trajectory≠ % Black

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

District research tools

Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Wisconsin 4th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/5504/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Embed this page

A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →

<iframe src="https://akashic.app/embed/cd/5504/stat-card/" width="100%" height="200" style="border:0;border-radius:12px;max-width:560px" title="Wisconsin 4th Congressional District — Akashic" loading="lazy"></iframe>

Wisconsin at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2022 US Houseall districts2024

Places within Wisconsin 4th Congressional District

counties it covers1

Milwaukee County

Frequently asked questions

How did Wisconsin 4th Congressional District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Wisconsin 4th Congressional District voted Democratic by 51.4 points (D+51.4), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 345,524 votes cast, 258,142 went Democratic and 80,458 went Republican.

When did Wisconsin 4th Congressional District last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Wisconsin 4th Congressional District voted Republican was 1920.

How many people live in Wisconsin 4th Congressional District?

Wisconsin 4th Congressional District has a population of 736,400 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Wisconsin 4th Congressional District?

Median household income in Wisconsin 4th Congressional District is $60,201 — below the national median of $80,734. The Wisconsin state median is $77,485.

What is the political history of Wisconsin 4th Congressional District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Wisconsin 4th Congressional District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 35 went Democratic and 2 went Republican.

Measure

WI-4

Wisconsin

United States

Median age

40.5

39.1

Age 18–24

9.4%

9.3%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

14.7%

18.5%

17.2%

Measure

WI-4

Wisconsin

United States

Median household income

$60,201

$77,485

$84,427

Poverty rate

19.6%

10.6%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

34.7%

33.5%

35.6%

Measure

WI-4

Wisconsin

United States

Owner-occupied homes

49.9%

67.8%

65.2%

Renter-occupied homes

50.1%

32.2%

34.8%

Median home value

—

$266,500

$332,700

Median gross rent (monthly)

—

$1,087

$1,413

Renters paying 30%+ of income

48.4%

43.7%

51.1%

Vacant housing units

8.0%

10.8%

10.1%

Measure

WI-4

Wisconsin

United States

Mean commute

22.2 min

26.4 min

Commutes 60 minutes or more

3.9%

4.8%

8.6%

Drives alone to work

68.9%

74.4%

68.8%

Takes public transit

3.4%

1.1%

3.2%

Works from home

14.4%

13.1%

15.1%

Measure

WI-4

Wisconsin

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

18.6%

9.1%

22.3%

Spanish

12.0%

5.0%

13.6%

Other Indo-European

1.3%

0.7%

2.0%

Other Asian & Pacific Island

2.0%

1.2%

1.1%

Measure

WI-4

Wisconsin

United States

Catholic

—

21.0%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

—

14.5%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

—

52.0%

51.5%

Measure

WI-4

Wisconsin

United States

Foreign-born residents

9.9%

5.2%

14.1%

Naturalized citizens

4.5%

2.5%

7.4%

Not U.S. citizens

5.4%

2.7%

6.8%

Veterans (18+)

4.3%

6.2%

Income inequality (Gini)

—

0.444

0.483

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

D+51.4MIT Election Lab

Population

736,4002024 5-year

Population density

5,260 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line

Land area

140 sq miTIGER/Line

Median household income

$60,2012024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

41.0%2024 5-year

Black

31.7%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

17.8%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+65.5 in 1936MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+23.2 in 1920MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Congressional District 11, OH · twin score 91.0

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC BY 4.0.

Year

District

Won

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

74.8%249,938

22.4%74,921

334,282

2022

75.3%191,955

22.6%57,660

255,012

2020

74.6%232,668

22.7%70,769

311,697

2018

75.6%206,487

21.6%59,091

273,087

2016

76.7%220,181

0.0%0

286,909

2014

70.2%179,045

26.9%68,490

254,892

2012

72.2%235,257

24.8%80,787

325,788

2010

69.1%143,559

29.6%61,543

207,904

2008

87.6%222,728

0.0%0

254,179

2006

71.3%136,735

28.4%54,486

191,742

2004

69.7%212,382

28.2%85,928

304,801

2002

86.3%122,031

0.0%0

141,367

2000

60.8%163,622

37.8%101,811

269,265

1998

58.0%105,841

42.0%76,666

182,507

1996

57.6%134,470

42.2%98,438

233,284

1994

53.7%93,789

44.8%78,225

174,689

1992

65.8%173,482

32.2%84,872

263,645

1990

69.2%96,981

30.7%43,001

140,221

1988

99.7%177,283

0.0%0

177,892

1986

99.6%120,354

0.0%0

120,803

1984

66.6%158,722

32.8%78,056

238,222

1982

94.6%129,557

0.0%0

137,024

1980

70.0%146,437

29.2%61,027

209,139

1978

66.1%101,575

33.9%52,125

153,703

1976

100.0%172,166

0.0%0

172,243