Nebraska 2nd Congressional District, Nebraska: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted D+4%. Republican peak: R+36 in 1972.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+4MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 733,1922024 5-year
- Median household income
- $84,5572024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 71.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 9.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 13.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+32 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+36 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Predecessors: ASHFORD, John Bradley (2015–2017), TERRY, Lee Raymond (2013–2015), TERRY, Lee Raymond (2011–2013), TERRY, Lee Raymond (2009–2011)
Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 178,801 | 164,392 | 350,050 | ||
| D | 178,605 | 159,715 | 347,518 | ||
| R | 133,276 | 142,944 | 300,039 | ||
| R | 125,894 | 146,133 | 277,485 | ||
| D | 137,518 | 135,961 | 278,059 | ||
| R | 96,770 | 151,550 | 251,845 | ||
| R | 85,050 | 124,242 | 219,460 | ||
| R | 81,228 | 110,773 | 212,434 | ||
| R | 76,100 | 109,956 | 233,869 | ||
| R | 86,684 | 116,585 | 204,521 | ||
| R | 65,578 | 130,102 | 196,825 | ||
| R | 57,140 | 111,533 | 185,861 | ||
| R | 69,847 | 104,251 | 178,125 | ||
| R | 53,060 | 112,819 | 165,878 | ||
| R | 55,723 | 76,872 | 150,066 | ||
| D | 85,021 | 67,625 | 152,647 | ||
| R | 69,895 | 79,527 | 149,422 | ||
| R | 54,953 | 80,551 | 135,504 | ||
| R | 60,078 | 79,183 | 139,260 | ||
| D | 54,826 | 52,262 | 107,089 | ||
| D | 69,560 | 61,650 | 131,211 | ||
| D | 72,530 | 59,546 | 132,076 | ||
| D | 77,585 | 40,068 | 119,465 | ||
| D | 67,358 | 37,401 | 106,511 | ||
| R | 47,205 | 54,119 | 101,965 | ||
| R | 22,248 | 33,740 | 75,279 | ||
| R | 21,354 | 33,279 | 57,275 | ||
| D | 28,263 | 17,048 | 47,592 | ||
| D | 15,505 | 7,293 | 34,963 | ||
| D | 18,920 | 16,925 | 37,073 | ||
| R | 8,330 | 18,730 | 32,260 | ||
| R | 16,661 | 17,069 | 34,388 | ||
| D | 15,198 | 14,854 | 30,785 | ||
| D | 12,469 | 3,675 | 27,185 | ||
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U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 0.0% | 53.2% | 938,336 |
| 2020 | R | 24.4% | 62.7% | 930,012 |
| 2018 | R | 38.6% | 57.7% | 698,883 |
| 2014 | R | 31.5% | 64.3% | 540,337 |
| 2012 | R | 42.2% | 57.8% | 788,572 |
| 2008 | R | 40.1% | 57.5% | 792,511 |
| 2006 | D | 63.9% | 36.1% | 592,316 |
| 2002 | R | 14.6% | 82.8% | 480,217 |
| 2000 | D | 51.0% | 48.8% | 692,350 |
| 1996 | R | 42.6% | 57.4% | 661,837 |
| 1994 | D | 54.8% | 45.0% | 579,205 |
| 1990 | D | 58.9% | 40.9% | 593,828 |
| 1988 | D | 56.7% | 41.7% | 667,860 |
| 1984 | D | 51.9% | 48.0% | 639,668 |
| 1982 | D | 66.6% | 28.5% | 545,647 |
| 1978 | D | 67.7% | 32.3% | 493,802 |
| 1976 | D | 52.9% | 47.1% | 593,310 |
Demographics
Nebraska's 2nd congressional district covers Omaha and most of Douglas County plus the western suburbs in Sarpy and Saunders counties. About 733,000 people live in the district. Because Nebraska is one of two states (with Maine) that splits its electoral votes by congressional district rather than awarding them winner-take-all, NE-2 has cast its own electoral vote independently of the statewide result in each election since 1992. Barack Obama carried it in 2008, Joe Biden carried it in 2020, and Kamala Harris carried it in 2024 — three Democratic electoral votes won out of a state that has otherwise voted Republican for president in every election since 1968. Presidential margins have tightened around the political center. Republicans carried the district by R+22 in 2004, R+7 in 2012, and R+3 in 2016; Democrats carried it by D+1 in 2008, D+5 in 2020, and D+4 in 2024. The district's competitiveness is rooted in Omaha's mix of urban precincts, dense first-ring suburbs, and the rapidly growing western suburbs in Sarpy County, where margins moved from R+18 in 2004 to roughly even by 2024.
The Democratic margin in Nebraska 2nd Congressional District has rarely exceeded thirty-two points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded thirty-six points. 2024 delivered the district to the Democratic candidate by four points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 71% non-Hispanic-white share, a 11% poverty rate, and a median household income of $84,557 — all within the broad national range.
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Congressional District 2, Nebraska. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3102/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.