Florida 4th Congressional District, Florida: Old Confederacy district. In 2024, voted R+17%. Democratic peak: D+92 in 1892.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+17MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
- Population
- 1,023,2512024 5-year
- Median household income
- $76,7272024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 58.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 22.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 11.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+92 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Predecessors: RUTHERFORD, John Henry (2021–2023), RUTHERFORD, John Henry (2019–2021), RUTHERFORD, John Henry (2017–2019), CRENSHAW, Ander (2015–2017)
Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 211,397 | 296,756 | 513,701 | ||
| R | 226,133 | 286,467 | 519,324 | ||
| R | 178,989 | 253,586 | 448,193 | ||
| R | 170,192 | 244,270 | 418,003 | ||
| R | 175,509 | 238,191 | 416,437 | ||
| R | 135,723 | 236,031 | 374,129 | ||
| R | 95,310 | 162,289 | 262,204 | ||
| R | 97,149 | 129,099 | 241,578 | ||
| R | 78,928 | 120,046 | 234,115 | ||
| R | 62,997 | 121,670 | 185,532 | ||
| R | 61,824 | 117,404 | 179,254 | ||
| R | 74,406 | 88,375 | 168,249 | ||
| D | 86,544 | 62,755 | 150,804 | ||
| R | 34,777 | 98,860 | 134,036 | ||
| O | 40,952 | 39,736 | 129,673 | ||
| R | 60,027 | 62,265 | 122,292 | ||
| D | 53,816 | 44,472 | 98,289 | ||
| D | 41,049 | 40,566 | 81,615 | ||
| D | 41,503 | 38,186 | 79,689 | ||
| D | 22,546 | 11,751 | 46,213 | ||
| D | 28,289 | 9,382 | 37,670 | ||
| D | 31,343 | 7,178 | 38,521 | ||
| D | 20,072 | 4,465 | 24,537 | ||
| D | 15,476 | 5,010 | 20,486 | ||
| R | 7,193 | 13,491 | 21,038 | ||
| D | 4,986 | 2,522 | 9,117 | ||
| D | 10,768 | 5,288 | 16,870 | ||
| D | 4,521 | 1,086 | 6,577 | ||
| D | 3,117 | 230 | 4,106 | ||
| D | 2,445 | 651 | 3,608 | ||
| D | 2,128 | 669 | 3,172 | ||
| D | 1,575 | 618 | 2,335 | ||
| D | 1,653 | 1,227 | 3,130 | ||
| D | 1,387 | 0 | 1,506 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| R | 2,550 | 3,527 | 6,077 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 42.8% | 55.6% | 10,757,428 |
| 2022 | R | 41.3% | 57.7% | 7,758,014 |
| 2018 | R | 49.9% | 50.1% | 8,190,005 |
| 2016 | R | 44.3% | 52.0% | 9,301,820 |
| 2012 | D | 55.2% | 42.2% | 8,189,946 |
| 2010 | R | 20.2% | 48.9% | 5,411,106 |
| 2006 | D | 60.3% | 38.1% | 4,793,534 |
| 2004 | R | 48.3% | 49.4% | 7,429,894 |
| 2000 | D | 51.0% | 46.2% | 5,856,731 |
| 1998 | D | 62.5% | 37.5% | 3,900,162 |
| 1994 | R | 29.5% | 70.5% | 4,106,816 |
| 1992 | D | 65.4% | 34.6% | 4,962,290 |
| 1988 | R | 49.6% | 50.4% | 4,068,209 |
| 1986 | D | 54.7% | 45.3% | 3,429,996 |
| 1982 | D | 61.7% | 38.3% | 2,653,419 |
| 1980 | R | 48.3% | 51.7% | 3,528,028 |
| 1976 | D | 63.0% | 37.0% | 2,857,534 |
Demographics
Florida's 4th congressional district, anchored in the Jacksonville suburbs and Nassau County, has posted Republican presidential margins above 20 points in recent cycles, reflecting a fast-growing exurban electorate with strong military and defense-sector ties.
The shift began with civil rights. 1980 marked the realignment in Florida 4th Congressional District, by a eight points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at forty-eight points in 1972. The 2024 margin was seventeen points.
The political shift has tracked, in Florida 4th Congressional District, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 59% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $76,727, and a 13% poverty rate describe the demographic context.
Compare two places, side by side
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Congressional District 4, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/1204/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.