HarrisDemocratic30.4%16,406TrumpRepublican68.2%36,797OtherAll other candidates1.4%778
R+37.8- Lead
- 20,391
- Total
- 53,981
- vs nation
- R+36.3
Akashicmetro area
St. Joseph, MO-KS
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
4 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic31.6%17,412TrumpRepublican66.3%36,509OtherAll other candidates2.0%1,127
R+34.7- Lead
- 19,097
- Total
- 55,048
- vs nation
- R+39.1
ClintonDemocratic29.1%15,469TrumpRepublican64.2%34,131OtherAll other candidates6.7%3,579
R+35.1- Lead
- 18,662
- Total
- 53,179
- vs nation
- R+37.2
ObamaDemocratic39.7%20,339RomneyRepublican57.8%29,587OtherAll other candidates2.5%1,274
R+18.1- Lead
- 9,248
- Total
- 51,200
- vs nation
- R+21.9
ObamaDemocratic45.1%25,316McCainRepublican52.9%29,650OtherAll other candidates2.0%1,111
R+7.7- Lead
- 4,334
- Total
- 56,077
- vs nation
- R+15.0
KerryDemocratic43.4%23,640BushRepublican55.7%30,379OtherAll other candidates0.9%486
R+12.4- Lead
- 6,739
- Total
- 54,505
- vs nation
- R+9.9
GoreDemocratic45.4%22,576BushRepublican51.1%25,393OtherAll other candidates3.5%1,754
R+5.7- Lead
- 2,817
- Total
- 49,723
- vs nation
- R+6.2
ClintonDemocratic45.5%21,384DoleRepublican41.4%19,480OtherAll other candidates13.1%6,155
D+4.0- Lead
- 1,904
- Total
- 47,019
- vs nation
- R+4.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+37.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 120,0122024 5-year
- Population density
- 72 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,656 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $65,6222024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 82.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+28.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+37.8 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Farmington, MO · twin score 89.0
presidential history
Party record book
St. Joseph, MO-KS · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
64.0%
31,578 votes · D+28.1
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 60.7%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
68.2%
36,797 votes · R+37.8
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 67.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
37,956votes
58.6% of the vote · D+17.6
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 34,391 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
36,797votes
68.2% of the vote · R+37.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 36,509 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+14.7pts D vs U.S.
Place R+11.5 · U.S. R+26.2
Runner-up · Michael Dukakis, 1988 · +12.4 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+39.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+34.7 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +37.2 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2025R+53.3
Presidential vote · 2024R+37.8
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 16 points more Democratic than the rolls.
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 (partial) | 5,032 | 531 | 3,212 | 1,261 | 28 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−165 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −8,727 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −47 |
| 2012 | −234 |
| 2013 | −546 |
| 2014 | −883 |
| 2015 | −944 |
| 2016 | −535 |
| 2017 | −659 |
| 2018 | −607 |
| 2019 | −1,116 |
| 2021 | −620 |
| 2022 | −1,053 |
| 2023 | −1,298 |
| 2024 | −20 |
| 2025 | −165 |
St. Joseph spans the Missouri-Kansas border and has trended toward Republican margins in presidential cycles, driven by a blue-collar workforce and rural hinterlands that increasingly outweigh its small urban Democratic base.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 28.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 37.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 3.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 37.8 points.
A population of 120,012, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,622 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Farmington, MO and Centralia, IL.
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Farmington, MO
89.0twin score
2000–2016 trajectory% White% Catholic≠ American ancestry
Centralia, IL
84.1twin score
2000–2016 trajectory% White12-yr trend
Zanesville, OH
83.8twin score
2016–2024 trajectory% White≠ 12-yr trend
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
St. Joseph, MO-KS, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/41140/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did St. Joseph, MO-KS, Missouri vote in 2024?
In 2024, St. Joseph, MO-KS, Missouri voted Republican by 37.8 points (R+37.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 53,981 votes cast, 16,406 went Democratic and 36,797 went Republican.
When did St. Joseph, MO-KS, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which St. Joseph, MO-KS, Missouri voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in St. Joseph, MO-KS, Missouri?
St. Joseph, MO-KS, Missouri has a population of 120,012 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in St. Joseph, MO-KS, Missouri?
Median household income in St. Joseph, MO-KS, Missouri is $65,622 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $74,275.
What is the political history of St. Joseph, MO-KS, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in St. Joseph, MO-KS, Missouri from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 22 went Republican.