Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Mount Sterling, KY
presidential margin
2008R+9.32012R+21.42016R+41.12020R+43.32024R+49.5
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+49.5
2024
median income$54,952U.S. $80,734 · KY $63,726
median age40.7U.S. 39.1 · KY 39.2
poverty rate19.6%U.S. 12.5% · KY 16.1%
bachelor’s+ (25+)17.8%U.S. 35.6% · KY 27.7%
non-english4.7%U.S. 22.3% · KY 6.8%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
American26.1%
English12.0%
Irish8.5%
Mexican2.2%
Puerto Rican0.2%
African American†0.7%
religion
other traditions
Mainline5.9%
Latter-day Saints0.8%
Other Christian0.5%
Black Protestant0.4%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Mount Sterling, KY, Kentucky

Akashic
Mount Sterling, KYTrumpR+49.5
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Mount Sterling, KY, KYA map of the constituent counties of Mount Sterling, KY, KY, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Bath County, KY · R+51.3Menifee County, KY · R+57.7Montgomery County, KY · R+46.6
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican74.0%15,906
Kamala HarrisDemocratic24.5%5,271
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Independent1.5%327
D+60
R+60
3 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (3 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Mount Sterling, KY, KY — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Bath County, KYRepublicanR+51.3
Menifee County, KYRepublicanR+57.7
Montgomery County, KYRepublicanR+46.6
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
24.5%Harris5,271
74.0%Trump15,906
1.5%Kennedy327
−49.5%
21,504
R
27.6%Biden5,953
70.9%Trump15,290
1.5%Jorgensen327
−43.3%
21,570
R
27.7%Clinton5,219
68.8%Trump12,948
3.5%Johnson651
−41.1%
18,818
R
38.4%Obama6,519
59.9%Romney10,157
1.7%Johnson292
−21.4%
16,968
R
44.5%Obama7,720
53.8%McCain9,336
1.8%Nader307
−9.3%
17,363
R
47.5%Kerry8,398
51.7%Bush9,131
0.8%Nader148
−4.1%
17,677
R
45.7%Gore6,958
52.5%Bush8,007
1.8%Nader276
−6.9%
15,241
D
51.3%Clinton6,237
37.2%Dole4,518
11.5%Perot1,392
+14.2%
12,147
D
51.8%Clinton7,226
31.6%Bush4,406
16.7%Perot2,328
+20.2%
13,960
D
52.1%Dukakis6,277
47.5%Bush5,719
0.4%Duke53
+4.6%
12,049
R
43.7%Mondale5,227
55.7%Reagan6,669
0.6%Mason71
−12.0%
11,967
D
56.0%Carter6,531
41.8%Reagan4,879
2.1%Anderson249
+14.2%
11,659
D
65.2%Carter6,295
33.9%Ford3,274
1.0%Anderson92
+31.3%
9,661
R
40.5%McGovern3,736
58.4%Nixon5,383
1.1%Schmitz100
−17.9%
9,219
R
36.7%Humphrey3,356
42.6%Nixon3,899
20.8%Wallace1,901
−5.9%
9,156
D
69.9%Johnson6,686
30.0%Goldwater2,867
0.2%Hass18
+39.9%
9,571
D
52.4%Kennedy5,684
47.6%Nixon5,156
0.0%
+4.9%
10,840
D
55.1%Stevenson6,062
44.6%Eisenhower4,908
0.3%Andrews35
+10.5%
11,005
D
58.9%Stevenson6,272
40.9%Eisenhower4,356
0.2%Hallinan25
+18.0%
10,653
D
67.3%Truman6,130
30.7%Dewey2,794
2.1%Thurmond191
+36.6%
9,115
D
60.1%Roosevelt5,494
39.7%Dewey3,630
0.2%Thomas19
+20.4%
9,143
D
62.7%Roosevelt6,459
37.0%Willkie3,818
0.3%Thomas30
+25.6%
10,307
D
62.1%Roosevelt6,512
37.5%Landon3,933
0.4%Lemke38
+24.6%
10,483
D
66.4%Roosevelt7,144
33.2%Hoover3,565
0.4%Thomas44
+33.3%
10,753
R
44.0%Smith4,493
55.8%Hoover5,697
0.3%Thomas27
−11.8%
10,217
D
55.7%Davis5,313
43.3%Coolidge4,129
1.0%La Follette93
+12.4%
9,535
D
58.1%Cox6,658
41.4%Harding4,741
0.6%Debs66
+16.7%
11,465
D
58.7%Wilson4,231
40.6%Hughes2,924
0.7%Benson48
+18.1%
7,203
D
56.8%Wilson3,735
30.6%Taft2,014
12.6%Roosevelt832
+26.2%
6,581
D
55.5%Bryan4,136
43.3%Taft3,227
1.2%Debs93
+12.2%
7,456
D
53.9%Parker3,710
44.4%Roosevelt3,058
1.6%Debs113
+9.5%
6,881
D
53.5%Bryan4,270
45.8%McKinley3,657
0.6%Woolley50
+7.7%
7,977
D
53.5%Bryan4,051
45.2%McKinley3,422
1.4%Palmer106
+8.3%
7,579
D
56.1%Cleveland3,425
40.1%Harrison2,447
3.7%Weaver228
+16.0%
6,100
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −49.5% in 2024.flipped R · 2000−49.5%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+16.0%
1896+8.3%
1900+7.7%
1904+9.5%
1908+12.2%
1912+26.2%
1916+18.1%
1920+16.7%
1924+12.4%
1928−11.8%
1932+33.3%
1936+24.6%
1940+25.6%
1944+20.4%
1948+36.6%
1952+18.0%
1956+10.5%
1960+4.9%
1964+39.9%
1968−5.9%
1972−17.9%
1976+31.3%
1980+14.2%
1984−12.0%
1988+4.6%
1992+20.2%
1996+14.2%
2000−6.9%
2004−4.1%
2008−9.3%
2012−21.4%
2016−41.1%
2020−43.3%
2024−49.5%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time

36,077 registered voters · 2024

Democratic51.3%Republican40.6%Unaffiliated3.6%Other4.5%
Source: Kentucky State Board of Elections

Montgomery County anchors this compact metro at the eastern edge of the Bluegrass region, where Republican margins in federal races have widened steadily over the past two decades as coal-era economic anxieties reshaped voter alignment.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 39.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 49.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 6.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 49.5 points.

A population of 47,476, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $54,952 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lewisburg, TN and McMinnville, TN.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Lewisburg, TN
88.6twin score
12-yr trendelasticityAmerican ancestry≠ median income
McMinnville, TN
86.4twin score
12-yr trend2020–2024 trajectoryelasticity≠ 2000 margin
Cookeville, TN
85.7twin score
elasticity2020–2024 trajectory12-yr trend≠ American ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Mount Sterling, KY, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/34460/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Mount Sterling, KY

counties3
Bath CountyMenifee CountyMontgomery County

Frequently asked questions

How did Mount Sterling, KY, Kentucky vote in 2024?
In 2024, Mount Sterling, KY, Kentucky voted Republican by 49.5 points (R+49.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 21,504 votes cast, 5,271 went Democratic and 15,906 went Republican.
When did Mount Sterling, KY, Kentucky last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Mount Sterling, KY, Kentucky voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Mount Sterling, KY, Kentucky?
Mount Sterling, KY, Kentucky has a population of 47,476 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Mount Sterling, KY, Kentucky?
Median household income in Mount Sterling, KY, Kentucky is $54,952 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Mount Sterling, KY, Kentucky?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Mount Sterling, KY, Kentucky from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 23 went Democratic and 11 went Republican.