McMinnville, TN, Tennessee
Akashic| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 77.5% | 13,192 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 21.4% | 3,647 |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Independent | 1.0% | 176 |
County-level results (1 county) — table
| County | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Warren County, TN | Republican | R+56.1 |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 21.4%Harris3,647 | 77.5%Trump13,192 | 1.0%Kennedy176 | 17,015 | ||
| R | 24.5%Biden3,924 | 74.0%Trump11,850 | 1.5%Jorgensen235 | 16,009 | ||
| R | 26.0%Clinton3,535 | 70.1%Trump9,540 | 3.9%Johnson537 | 13,612 | ||
| R | 36.5%Obama4,752 | 61.5%Romney8,010 | 1.9%Stein253 | 13,015 | ||
| R | 38.3%Obama5,515 | 59.5%McCain8,562 | 2.2%Nader323 | 14,400 | ||
| R | 47.3%Kerry6,808 | 52.1%Bush7,503 | 0.6%Other89 | 14,400 | ||
| D | 56.2%Gore7,378 | 42.3%Bush5,552 | 1.5%Nader201 | 13,131 | ||
| D | 54.9%Clinton6,389 | 36.3%Dole4,226 | 8.8%Perot1,018 | 11,633 | ||
| D | 58.2%Clinton7,189 | 30.0%Bush3,704 | 11.8%Perot1,462 | 12,355 | ||
| D | 50.4%Dukakis4,646 | 49.1%Bush4,529 | 0.5%Paul43 | 9,218 | ||
| D | 49.7%Mondale4,813 | 49.6%Reagan4,811 | 0.7%Bergland67 | 9,691 | ||
| D | 60.8%Carter6,021 | 37.2%Reagan3,680 | 2.0%Anderson203 | 9,904 | ||
| D | 73.1%Carter6,666 | 25.9%Ford2,364 | 0.9%Anderson85 | 9,115 | ||
| R | 35.9%McGovern2,118 | 60.5%Nixon3,565 | 3.6%Schmitz211 | 5,894 | ||
| O | 26.5%Humphrey2,046 | 24.1%Nixon1,858 | 49.4%Wallace3,814 | 7,718 | ||
| D | 74.1%Johnson5,027 | 25.9%Goldwater1,754 | 0.0% | 6,781 | ||
| D | 53.4%Kennedy3,119 | 45.9%Nixon2,682 | 0.7%Byrd40 | 5,841 | ||
| D | 66.9%Stevenson4,014 | 32.6%Eisenhower1,954 | 0.5%Andrews30 | 5,998 | ||
| D | 64.7%Stevenson3,568 | 34.7%Eisenhower1,912 | 0.6%Hallinan33 | 5,513 | ||
| D | 66.5%Truman2,969 | 18.1%Dewey807 | 15.4%Thurmond688 | 4,464 | ||
| D | 74.7%Roosevelt2,560 | 24.7%Dewey848 | 0.6%Thomas21 | 3,429 | ||
| D | 80.5%Roosevelt2,323 | 18.9%Willkie546 | 0.6%Thomas18 | 2,887 | ||
| D | 80.3%Roosevelt2,304 | 19.3%Landon553 | 0.5%Lemke13 | 2,870 | ||
| D | 84.1%Roosevelt2,325 | 14.8%Hoover410 | 1.1%Thomas30 | 2,765 | ||
| D | 54.4%Smith1,111 | 45.2%Hoover923 | 0.4%Thomas9 | 2,043 | ||
| D | 72.4%Davis1,356 | 26.1%Coolidge490 | 1.5%La Follette28 | 1,874 | ||
| D | 65.9%Cox1,986 | 33.5%Harding1,010 | 0.5%Debs16 | 3,012 | ||
| D | 74.3%Wilson1,855 | 25.0%Hughes624 | 0.8%Benson19 | 2,498 | ||
| D | 74.3%Wilson1,745 | 14.4%Taft339 | 11.3%Roosevelt266 | 2,350 | ||
| D | 67.5%Bryan1,573 | 31.3%Taft729 | 1.2%Debs28 | 2,330 | ||
| D | 69.8%Parker1,815 | 27.2%Roosevelt707 | 3.0%Debs77 | 2,599 | ||
| D | 74.1%Bryan1,926 | 25.9%McKinley672 | 0.0% | 2,598 | ||
| D | 70.0%Bryan2,101 | 28.0%McKinley842 | 2.0%Palmer60 | 3,003 | ||
| D | 60.0%Cleveland1,568 | 24.2%Harrison633 | 15.8%Weaver413 | 2,614 |
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +35.8% |
| 1896 | +41.9% |
| 1900 | +48.3% |
| 1904 | +42.6% |
| 1908 | +36.2% |
| 1912 | +59.8% |
| 1916 | +49.3% |
| 1920 | +32.4% |
| 1924 | +46.2% |
| 1928 | +9.2% |
| 1932 | +69.3% |
| 1936 | +61.0% |
| 1940 | +61.6% |
| 1944 | +49.9% |
| 1948 | +48.4% |
| 1952 | +30.0% |
| 1956 | +34.3% |
| 1960 | +7.5% |
| 1964 | +48.3% |
| 1968 | +2.4% |
| 1972 | −24.6% |
| 1976 | +47.2% |
| 1980 | +23.6% |
| 1984 | +0.0% |
| 1988 | +1.3% |
| 1992 | +28.2% |
| 1996 | +18.6% |
| 2000 | +13.9% |
| 2004 | −4.8% |
| 2008 | −21.2% |
| 2012 | −25.0% |
| 2016 | −44.1% |
| 2020 | −49.5% |
| 2024 | −56.1% |
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 21,953 |
| 2018 | 21,773 |
| 2020 | 22,911 |
| 2022 | 23,915 |
| 2024 | 25,486 |
McMinnville anchors Warren County, a persistently Republican-leaning corner of the Cumberland Plateau where voter registration has trended increasingly toward the GOP over the past decade, even as light industrial growth draws a modestly younger workforce.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 69.3 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 56.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 6.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 56.1 points.
A population of 42,166, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $55,487 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Winchester, TN and Lewisburg, TN.
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
McMinnville, TN, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/32660/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.