Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY
presidential margin
2008D+0.92012R+7.92016R+23.12020R+19.92024R+21.9
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+21.9
2024
median income$58,351U.S. $80,734 · NY $85,974
median age42.9U.S. 39.1 · NY 39.9
poverty rate17.4%U.S. 12.5% · NY 14.0%
bachelor’s+ (25+)25.1%U.S. 35.6% · NY 40.0%
non-english9.2%U.S. 22.3% · NY 30.9%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German18.1%
English13.3%
Italian12.3%
Puerto Rican7.1%
Mexican0.6%
Dominican0.5%
African American†1.4%
religion
other traditions
Mainline9.3%
Other Christian0.8%
Black Protestant0.5%
Latter-day Saints0.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York

Akashic
Jamestown-Dunkirk, NYTrumpR+21.9
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, NYA map of the single county of Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, NY, outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Chautauqua County, NY · R+21.9
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican60.8%34,528
Kamala HarrisDemocratic38.9%22,085
Jill SteinWrite-In0.2%138
D+60
R+60
A single county, filled by its 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover it for the full result.
County-level results (1 county) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, NY — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Chautauqua County, NYRepublicanR+21.9
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
38.9%Harris22,085
60.8%Trump34,528
0.2%Stein138
−21.9%
56,751
R
39.0%Biden23,088
58.9%Trump34,853
2.1%Jorgensen1,255
−19.9%
59,196
R
35.2%Clinton19,091
58.3%Trump31,594
6.5%Trump3,549
−23.1%
54,234
R
45.1%Obama23,812
52.9%Romney27,971
2.0%Romney1,069
−7.9%
52,852
D
49.5%Obama29,129
48.6%McCain28,579
1.9%McCain1,094
+0.9%
58,802
R
44.7%Kerry27,257
53.2%Bush32,434
2.1%Bush1,253
−8.5%
60,944
R
46.0%Gore27,016
49.5%Bush29,064
4.5%Nader2,642
−3.5%
58,722
D
47.7%Clinton26,831
37.8%Dole21,261
14.6%Perot8,198
+9.9%
56,290
D
36.1%Clinton22,645
33.8%Bush21,222
30.1%Perot18,922
+2.3%
62,789
R
44.6%Dukakis25,814
54.7%Bush31,642
0.7%Bush411
−10.1%
57,867
R
36.6%Mondale22,986
63.1%Reagan39,597
0.2%Reagan141
−26.5%
62,724
R
38.9%Carter22,871
51.2%Reagan30,081
9.9%Anderson5,804
−12.3%
58,756
R
44.7%Carter27,447
54.9%Ford33,730
0.4%Ford259
−10.2%
61,436
R
41.3%McGovern26,253
58.4%Nixon37,158
0.3%Schmitz172
−17.2%
63,583
R
45.2%Humphrey26,431
48.8%Nixon28,561
6.0%Wallace3,515
−3.6%
58,507
D
69.2%Johnson42,924
30.7%Goldwater19,069
0.1%Hass63
+38.4%
62,056
R
42.6%Kennedy28,143
57.3%Nixon37,836
0.1%Byrd52
−14.7%
66,031
R
31.5%Stevenson20,269
68.5%Eisenhower44,149
0.0%
−37.1%
64,418
R
35.7%Stevenson23,427
64.1%Eisenhower42,043
0.2%Hallinan150
−28.4%
65,620
R
39.7%Truman20,683
57.5%Dewey29,969
2.9%Thurmond1,492
−17.8%
52,144
R
40.0%Roosevelt22,086
59.5%Dewey32,824
0.5%Thomas264
−19.5%
55,174
R
37.6%Roosevelt21,524
62.0%Willkie35,536
0.4%Thomas256
−24.4%
57,316
R
42.4%Roosevelt23,283
55.4%Landon30,435
2.2%Lemke1,209
−13.0%
54,927
R
33.6%Roosevelt16,914
60.6%Hoover30,479
5.7%Thomas2,882
−27.0%
50,275
R
25.1%Smith13,223
72.7%Hoover38,220
2.2%Thomas1,141
−47.5%
52,584
R
13.3%Davis5,560
71.3%Coolidge29,757
15.4%La Follette6,447
−57.9%
41,764
R
17.6%Cox6,781
71.6%Harding27,618
10.9%Debs4,188
−54.0%
38,587
R
30.1%Wilson7,153
62.2%Hughes14,782
7.7%Benson1,835
−32.1%
23,770
O
22.7%Wilson4,954
36.2%Taft7,899
41.2%Roosevelt8,991
Roosevelt +5.0
21,844
R
25.7%Bryan6,158
65.6%Taft15,739
8.7%Debs2,088
−39.9%
23,985
R
23.2%Parker5,295
69.8%Roosevelt15,891
7.0%Debs1,589
−46.5%
22,775
R
29.4%Bryan6,660
67.6%McKinley15,318
3.0%Woolley674
−38.2%
22,652
R
30.6%Bryan6,581
66.6%McKinley14,325
2.8%Palmer601
−36.0%
21,507
R
32.2%Cleveland6,397
58.4%Harrison11,595
9.4%Weaver1,874
−26.2%
19,866
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −21.9% in 2024.flipped R · 2012−21.9%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892−26.2%
1896−36.0%
1900−38.2%
1904−46.5%
1908−39.9%
1912−13.5%
1916−32.1%
1920−54.0%
1924−57.9%
1928−47.5%
1932−27.0%
1936−13.0%
1940−24.4%
1944−19.5%
1948−17.8%
1952−28.4%
1956−37.1%
1960−14.7%
1964+38.4%
1968−3.6%
1972−17.2%
1976−10.2%
1980−12.3%
1984−26.5%
1988−10.1%
1992+2.3%
1996+9.9%
2000−3.5%
2004−8.5%
2008+0.9%
2012−7.9%
2016−23.1%
2020−19.9%
2024−21.9%
DemocraticRepublican

Chautauqua County anchors this small metro along Lake Erie's southern shore, where manufacturing decline has redrawn political loyalties over two decades and countywide margins have swung sharply in presidential cycles.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 38.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 57.9 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 2.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 21.9 points.

A population of 125,544, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,351 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Amsterdam, NY and Hemlock Farms, PA.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Amsterdam, NY
83.5twin score
Puerto Rican ancestryItalian ancestryPolish ancestry≠ % Catholic
Hemlock Farms, PA
77.8twin score
Puerto Rican ancestry% EvangelicalScottish ancestry≠ median income
Monticello, NY
76.9twin score
Puerto Rican ancestryItalian ancestry% unaffiliated≠ Polish ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/27460/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY

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Frequently asked questions

How did Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York voted Republican by 21.9 points (R+21.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 56,751 votes cast, 22,085 went Democratic and 34,528 went Republican.
When did Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York?
Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York has a population of 125,544 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York?
Median household income in Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York is $58,351 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 29 went Republican.