HarrisDemocratic41.5%14,549TrumpRepublican58.1%20,386SteinIndependent0.3%91
R+16.6- Lead
- 5,837
- Total
- 35,062
- vs nation
- R+15.2
Akashicmetro area
Monticello, NY
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
1 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic44.7%15,489TrumpRepublican53.9%18,665OtherAll other candidates1.4%493
R+9.2- Lead
- 3,176
- Total
- 34,647
- vs nation
- R+13.6
ClintonDemocratic42.0%12,568TrumpRepublican53.2%15,931OtherAll other candidates4.9%1,456
R+11.2- Lead
- 3,363
- Total
- 29,955
- vs nation
- R+13.3
ObamaDemocratic53.7%15,268RomneyRepublican44.7%12,705OtherAll other candidates1.6%442
D+9.0- Lead
- 2,563
- Total
- 28,415
- vs nation
- D+5.2
ObamaDemocratic54.0%16,850McCainRepublican44.6%13,900OtherAll other candidates1.4%433
D+9.5- Lead
- 2,950
- Total
- 31,183
- vs nation
- D+2.2
KerryDemocratic48.6%15,034BushRepublican49.5%15,319OtherAll other candidates2.0%613
R+0.9- Lead
- 285
- Total
- 30,966
- vs nation
- D+1.5
GoreDemocratic50.3%14,348BushRepublican44.5%12,703OtherAll other candidates5.2%1,477
D+5.8- Lead
- 1,645
- Total
- 28,528
- vs nation
- D+5.2
ClintonDemocratic53.3%15,052DoleRepublican33.0%9,321OtherAll other candidates13.7%3,871
D+20.3- Lead
- 5,731
- Total
- 28,244
- vs nation
- D+11.8
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+16.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 79,7212024 5-year
- Population density
- 82 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 968 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $72,3822024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 66.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 8.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 19.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+35.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+35.4 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- East Stroudsburg, PA · twin score 87.9
presidential history
Party record book
Monticello, NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
67.5%
16,728 votes · D+35.2
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 54.0%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
64.4%
8,029 votes · R+35.4
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 63.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
16,850votes
54.0% of the vote · D+9.5
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 16,728 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
20,386votes
58.1% of the vote · R+16.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 18,665 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+12.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+35.2 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · +11.8 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+23.5pts R vs U.S.
Place D+0.8 · U.S. D+24.3
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1948 · +21.5 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026D+0.6
Presidential vote · 2024R+16.6
Monticello, NY registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 17-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
54,712 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−753 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −4,306 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −685 |
| 2012 | −382 |
| 2013 | −324 |
| 2014 | −1,549 |
| 2015 | −1,065 |
| 2016 | −128 |
| 2017 | −181 |
| 2018 | +151 |
| 2019 | +40 |
| 2021 | +1,255 |
| 2022 | −179 |
| 2023 | −86 |
| 2024 | −420 |
| 2025 | −753 |
Sullivan County's county seat anchors a small metro long shaped by its Borscht Belt past; recent decades have brought Hasidic Jewish community growth that has measurably shifted local electoral coalitions and school-board politics.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 35.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 35.4 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 7.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 16.6 points.
A population of 79,721, a 66% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,382 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of East Stroudsburg, PA and Vineland, NJ.
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
East Stroudsburg, PA
87.9twin score
Puerto Rican ancestry2004–2012 trajectory
Vineland, NJ
82.9twin score
12-yr trendPuerto Rican ancestry2000–2012 trajectory≠ % White
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
78.9twin score
Puerto Rican ancestry2000–2008 trajectory≠ 12-yr trend
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Monticello, NY, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/33910/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Monticello, NY
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Frequently asked questions
How did Monticello, NY, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Monticello, NY, New York voted Republican by 16.6 points (R+16.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 35,062 votes cast, 14,549 went Democratic and 20,386 went Republican.
When did Monticello, NY, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Monticello, NY, New York voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Monticello, NY, New York?
Monticello, NY, New York has a population of 79,721 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Monticello, NY, New York?
Median household income in Monticello, NY, New York is $72,382 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Monticello, NY, New York?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Monticello, NY, New York from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.