HarrisDemocratic22.1%4,186TrumpRepublican76.9%14,566OliverLibertarian0.6%105
R+54.8- Lead
- 10,380
- Total
- 18,930
- vs nation
- R+53.4
Akashicmetro area
Hannibal, MO
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
2 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic23.1%4,407TrumpRepublican75.2%14,311OtherAll other candidates1.7%320
R+52.0- Lead
- 9,904
- Total
- 19,038
- vs nation
- R+56.5
ClintonDemocratic22.9%4,132TrumpRepublican74.0%13,388OtherAll other candidates3.1%561
R+51.2- Lead
- 9,256
- Total
- 18,081
- vs nation
- R+53.3
ObamaDemocratic33.5%5,767RomneyRepublican64.9%11,154OtherAll other candidates1.6%273
R+31.3- Lead
- 5,387
- Total
- 17,194
- vs nation
- R+35.2
ObamaDemocratic38.2%6,744McCainRepublican60.6%10,692OtherAll other candidates1.1%201
R+22.4- Lead
- 3,948
- Total
- 17,637
- vs nation
- R+29.7
KerryDemocratic37.7%6,599BushRepublican61.8%10,801OtherAll other candidates0.5%87
R+24.0- Lead
- 4,202
- Total
- 17,487
- vs nation
- R+21.6
GoreDemocratic43.2%7,026BushRepublican55.3%8,996OtherAll other candidates1.4%232
R+12.1- Lead
- 1,970
- Total
- 16,254
- vs nation
- R+12.6
ClintonDemocratic46.9%6,922DoleRepublican41.7%6,166OtherAll other candidates11.4%1,685
D+5.1- Lead
- 756
- Total
- 14,773
- vs nation
- R+3.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+54.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 38,8852024 5-year
- Population density
- 43 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 907 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $63,5692024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+47.5 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54.8 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Mexico, MO · twin score 91.9
presidential history
Party record book
Hannibal, MO · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
73.4%
13,819 votes · D+47.5
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 72.2%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
76.9%
14,566 votes · R+54.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 75.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
14,890votes
72.2% of the vote · D+44.6
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 13,819 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
14,566votes
76.9% of the vote · R+54.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 14,311 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+48.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+22.2 · U.S. R+26.2
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +39.9 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+56.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+52.0 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +53.4 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 27,199 |
| 2018 | 27,129 |
| 2020 | 27,820 |
| 2022 | 26,414 |
| 2024 | 27,157 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+166 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −9 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −6 |
| 2012 | −126 |
| 2013 | −67 |
| 2014 | +28 |
| 2015 | −207 |
| 2016 | +6 |
| 2017 | −116 |
| 2018 | −104 |
| 2019 | −7 |
| 2021 | +141 |
| 2022 | +100 |
| 2023 | −5 |
| 2024 | +188 |
| 2025 | +166 |
Hannibal's Marion County has shifted decisively toward Republican margins over the past two decades, tracking a broader pattern of rural and small-city realignment along the Mississippi corridor that reshaped Missouri statewide.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 47.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 54.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 2.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 54.8 points.
A population of 38,885, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,569 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Mexico, MO and West Plains, MO.
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Mexico, MO
91.9twin score
2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend
West Plains, MO
90.3twin score
12-yr trend2016–2024 trajectory≠ Scottish ancestry
Sikeston, MO
89.4twin score
2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Hannibal, MO, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/25300/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Hannibal, MO, Missouri vote in 2024?
In 2024, Hannibal, MO, Missouri voted Republican by 54.8 points (R+54.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 18,930 votes cast, 4,186 went Democratic and 14,566 went Republican.
When did Hannibal, MO, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Hannibal, MO, Missouri voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Hannibal, MO, Missouri?
Hannibal, MO, Missouri has a population of 38,885 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Hannibal, MO, Missouri?
Median household income in Hannibal, MO, Missouri is $63,569 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Hannibal, MO, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Hannibal, MO, Missouri from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 23 went Democratic and 11 went Republican.