Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN, Illinois: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted D+25%. Republican peak: R+51 in 1920.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+25MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 9,371,5952024 5-year
- Median household income
- $91,9002024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 52.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 16.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 24.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+36 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51 in 1920MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 2,458,874 | 1,468,637 | 4,018,360 | ||
| D | 2,840,822 | 1,430,638 | 4,359,043 | ||
| D | 2,536,633 | 1,201,784 | 3,983,323 | ||
| D | 2,364,274 | 1,277,661 | 3,701,534 | ||
| D | 2,622,151 | 1,224,214 | 3,888,744 | ||
| D | 2,185,552 | 1,425,172 | 3,635,742 | ||
| D | 1,912,353 | 1,236,047 | 3,236,328 | ||
| D | 1,680,475 | 982,920 | 2,896,618 | ||
| D | 1,728,653 | 1,149,085 | 3,437,486 | ||
| R | 1,544,766 | 1,551,731 | 3,120,515 | ||
| R | 1,489,171 | 1,777,954 | 3,285,755 | ||
| R | 1,461,625 | 1,479,117 | 3,225,886 | ||
| D | 1,576,612 | 1,571,953 | 3,209,323 | ||
| R | 1,360,084 | 1,854,020 | 3,230,894 | ||
| D | 1,467,372 | 1,411,110 | 3,166,805 | ||
| D | 1,948,003 | 1,279,444 | 3,228,502 | ||
| D | 1,715,958 | 1,483,515 | 3,208,010 | ||
| R | 1,188,804 | 1,723,199 | 2,919,138 | ||
| R | 1,398,130 | 1,549,463 | 2,955,984 | ||
| D | 1,403,160 | 1,273,533 | 2,697,711 | ||
| D | 1,471,111 | 1,173,595 | 2,652,701 | ||
| D | 1,369,081 | 1,193,698 | 2,572,983 | ||
| D | 1,456,991 | 892,452 | 2,415,668 | ||
| D | 1,089,483 | 877,985 | 2,032,277 | ||
| R | 828,745 | 1,024,715 | 1,867,631 | ||
| R | 258,177 | 849,704 | 1,343,795 | ||
| R | 228,458 | 779,069 | 1,078,242 | ||
| R | 435,450 | 548,421 | 1,024,729 | ||
| O | 158,414 | 98,792 | 533,037 | ||
| R | 182,748 | 296,815 | 516,819 | ||
| R | 123,123 | 293,665 | 482,984 | ||
| R | 216,972 | 263,797 | 494,443 | ||
| R | 182,134 | 279,679 | 469,156 | ||
| D | 174,674 | 149,905 | 334,528 | ||
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Demographics
Cook County's overwhelming Democratic margins routinely offset competitive results in the Indiana counties and outer Illinois suburbs that share this 14-county metro, making aggregate vote totals a misleading read on the region's internal diversity.
The Democratic margin in Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN has rarely exceeded thirty-six points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-one points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Democratic candidate by twenty-five points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 53% non-Hispanic-white share, a 11% poverty rate, and a median household income of $91,900 — all within the broad national range.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/16980/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.