HarrisDemocratic21.4%5,032TrumpRepublican77.3%18,141OtherAll other candidates1.2%276
R+55.8- Lead
- 13,109
- Total
- 23,472
- vs nation
- R+54.4
Akashicmetro area
Carlsbad-Artesia, NM
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
1 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic23.4%5,424TrumpRepublican75.2%17,454OtherAll other candidates1.5%344
R+51.8- Lead
- 12,030
- Total
- 23,222
- vs nation
- R+56.3
ClintonDemocratic25.6%5,033TrumpRepublican66.8%13,147OtherAll other candidates7.6%1,487
R+41.3- Lead
- 8,114
- Total
- 19,667
- vs nation
- R+43.3
ObamaDemocratic31.9%6,142RomneyRepublican65.3%12,583OtherAll other candidates2.8%544
R+33.4- Lead
- 6,441
- Total
- 19,269
- vs nation
- R+37.3
ObamaDemocratic36.6%7,351McCainRepublican62.2%12,500OtherAll other candidates1.2%242
R+25.6- Lead
- 5,149
- Total
- 20,093
- vs nation
- R+32.9
KerryDemocratic33.9%6,880BushRepublican65.5%13,268OtherAll other candidates0.6%122
R+31.5- Lead
- 6,388
- Total
- 20,270
- vs nation
- R+29.1
GoreDemocratic40.0%7,108BushRepublican58.1%10,335OtherAll other candidates1.9%344
R+18.1- Lead
- 3,227
- Total
- 17,787
- vs nation
- R+18.7
ClintonDemocratic47.2%8,959DoleRepublican44.9%8,534OtherAll other candidates7.9%1,505
D+2.2- Lead
- 425
- Total
- 18,998
- vs nation
- R+6.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+55.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 61,1052024 5-year
- Population density
- 15 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 4,176 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $78,4262024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 42.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 51.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+61.6 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55.8 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Bay City, TX · twin score 88.9
presidential history
Party record book
Carlsbad-Artesia, NM · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1912–2024 · 29 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
80.2%
4,349 votes · D+61.2
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 80.0%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
77.3%
18,141 votes · R+55.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 75.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
11,216votes
62.2% of the vote · D+24.8
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · 9,073 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
18,141votes
77.3% of the vote · R+55.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 17,454 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+62.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+37.3 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +50.2 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+56.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+51.8 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +54.4 pts
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 25.9%5,924 | 74.1%16,922 | 22,846 |
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+33.6
Presidential vote · 2024R+55.8
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 22 points more Republican than the rolls.
36,793 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+334 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +30 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −38 |
| 2012 | +115 |
| 2013 | +815 |
| 2014 | +668 |
| 2015 | +531 |
| 2016 | −427 |
| 2017 | −864 |
| 2018 | +326 |
| 2019 | +428 |
| 2021 | −1,499 |
| 2022 | −715 |
| 2023 | +26 |
| 2024 | +330 |
| 2025 | +334 |
Anchored by Carlsbad and Artesia along the Pecos River, this southeastern New Mexico corridor sits at the heart of the Permian Basin's New Mexico side, where petroleum-sector employment has long reinforced Republican-leaning margins in federal and statewide contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 61.6 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 55.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 4.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 55.8 points.
A population of 61,105, a 43% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $78,426 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bay City, TX and Hobbs, NM.
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Bay City, TX
88.9twin score
% Latino2012–2024 trajectory% White≠ median income
Hobbs, NM
88.5twin score
% Latino2020–2024 trajectory% White≠ 2000 margin
Roswell, NM
86.7twin score
% Latino% White2008–2012 trajectory≠ median income
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Carlsbad-Artesia, NM, New Mexico. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/16100/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Carlsbad-Artesia, NM, New Mexico vote in 2024?
In 2024, Carlsbad-Artesia, NM, New Mexico voted Republican by 55.8 points (R+55.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 23,472 votes cast, 5,032 went Democratic and 18,141 went Republican.
When did Carlsbad-Artesia, NM, New Mexico last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Carlsbad-Artesia, NM, New Mexico voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Carlsbad-Artesia, NM, New Mexico?
Carlsbad-Artesia, NM, New Mexico has a population of 61,105 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Carlsbad-Artesia, NM, New Mexico?
Median household income in Carlsbad-Artesia, NM, New Mexico is $78,426 — below the national median of $80,734. The New Mexico state median is $64,059.
What is the political history of Carlsbad-Artesia, NM, New Mexico?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Carlsbad-Artesia, NM, New Mexico from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.