akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 4·Virginia

Virginia 4th State Senate District delivered D+2 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

One of Virginia's most Democratic-leaning upper-chamber districts

1876 — 2024·38 elections
VA
Latest
D+2
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
231,332
2024 ACS

Virginia 4th State Senate District, Virginia: Tossup district. In 2024, voted D+2%. Democratic peak: D+51 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+2MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
231,3322024 5-year
Median household income
$67,0112024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
71.6%2024 5-year
Black
15.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
6.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+51 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+42 in 1956MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
4 counties · 2 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+1.7%
55,95354,007112,033
D
+3.5%
56,60452,733111,764
R
−2.3%
46,96749,326103,028
D
+0.0%
50,06350,032102,478
D
+3.3%
52,48749,116102,850
R
−10.8%
39,55249,26589,745
R
−5.8%
37,31242,04381,808
D
+2.5%
35,72533,85476,290
D
+0.2%
35,44535,25681,255
R
−9.3%
32,71539,44472,700
R
−19.0%
30,21544,52075,111
R
−1.1%
32,72533,53070,082
D
+8.4%
36,15030,47867,491
R
−36.1%
13,12828,47242,474
R
−28.7%
14,20529,77354,298
D
+5.2%
16,85515,18932,067
R
−27.6%
12,65422,33635,069
R
−41.7%
9,30023,20133,364
R
−33.9%
10,33820,99031,377
R
−12.2%
7,4559,77219,003
D
+12.2%
9,9987,82217,870
D
+26.2%
10,0035,82815,912
D
+28.2%
9,8915,51615,494
D
+26.2%
8,5434,95113,698
R
−26.0%
5,2348,91514,150
D
+28.6%
5,1462,6668,665
D
+25.5%
5,9333,4949,565
D
+38.1%
3,1251,3684,611
D
+51.0%
2,6675284,198
D
+26.5%
2,2101,2773,517
D
+25.5%
1,9691,1493,213
D
+6.2%
2,8862,5405,619
R
−0.6%
3,3443,3866,886
D
+13.4%
4,2353,1867,801
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
13.8%
American
10.6%
German
10.3%
Irish
9.1%
Italian
2.6%
Scottish
2.4%
Polish
1.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 37.5 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.7%
85+
1.6%
2.1%
75–84
3.0%
4.7%
65–74
5.8%
5.8%
55–64
6.3%
5.6%
45–54
5.9%
6.1%
35–44
6.2%
6.6%
25–34
6.6%
7.1%
18–24
6.3%
7.3%
5–17
7.3%
2.5%
<5
2.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$67,011
State Senate District 4 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State Senate District 4$67,011
Virginia$93,170
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
16.5%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1817.2%
Working age (18–64)16.5%
Seniors (65+)11.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
90.2%
speak English only
Spanish4.4%
Other Indo-European2.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.9%
Other languages0.7%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
14.8%
Baptist
13.1%
Catholic & Orthodox
8.3%
Mainline Protestant
6.6%
Methodist
6.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.9%
Non-Christian
2.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 45.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of D+48, this Northern Virginia district ranks among the most heavily Democratic state senate constituencies in the commonwealth, reflecting a dense, diverse urban electorate.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached fifty-one points in 1912; the Republican margin reached forty-two points in 1956. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 231,332, a 72% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $67,011 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 4, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/51004/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 4, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 4, Virginia voted Democratic by 1.7 points (D+2), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 112,033 votes cast, 55,953 went Democratic and 54,007 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 4, Virginia's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 4, Virginia as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 20 times, Republican 14 times, and other 0 times.
When did State Senate District 4, Virginia last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 4, Virginia voted Republican was 2016.
How many people live in State Senate District 4, Virginia?
State Senate District 4, Virginia has a population of 231,332 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 4, Virginia?
Median household income in State Senate District 4, Virginia is $67,011 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of State Senate District 4, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 4, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 20 went Democratic and 14 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.