- Lead
- 25,680
- Total
- 45,042
- vs nation
- D+58.5
Vermont Chittenden South East Senatorial District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 26,746
- Total
- 45,871
- vs nation
- D+53.9
- Lead
- 18,522
- Total
- 39,344
- vs nation
- D+45.0
- Lead
- 15,467
- Total
- 35,423
- vs nation
- D+39.8
- Lead
- 17,905
- Total
- 38,420
- vs nation
- D+39.3
- Lead
- 10,047
- Total
- 34,484
- vs nation
- D+31.6
- Lead
- 5,663
- Total
- 31,674
- vs nation
- D+17.4
- Lead
- 7,562
- Total
- 27,936
- vs nation
- D+18.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+57.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 69,1992024 5-year
- Population density
- 217 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 319 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $111,1622024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+58.3 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55.0 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Chittenden North Senatorial District, VT · twin score 97.1
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Chittenden South East Senatorial District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
77.8%
35,682 votes · D+58.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 76.8%
Republican
William McKinley1896
76.3%
2,121 votes · R+55.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 72.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
35,682votes
77.8% of the vote · D+58.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 34,585 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
13,491votes
54.6% of the vote · R+10.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1988 · 12,227 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+58.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+57.0 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +53.9 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+48.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+55.0 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Benjamin Harrison, 1892 · +29.3 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Anchored by Burlington's densely populated South End and surrounding neighborhoods, this district recorded a 57.0-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024, making it one of the most one-sided state senate districts in New England.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 58.3 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 55.0 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 57.0 points.
A population of 69,199, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $111,162 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Chittenden North Senatorial District and Grand Isle Senatorial District.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Vermont Chittenden South East Senatorial District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/50CHS/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.