- Lead
- 4,237
- Total
- 12,486
- vs nation
- D+35.4
Vermont Grand Isle Senatorial District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 4,348
- Total
- 12,458
- vs nation
- D+30.4
- Lead
- 2,559
- Total
- 10,283
- vs nation
- D+22.8
- Lead
- 2,756
- Total
- 9,800
- vs nation
- D+24.3
- Lead
- 3,272
- Total
- 10,463
- vs nation
- D+24.0
- Lead
- 1,734
- Total
- 9,849
- vs nation
- D+20.1
- Lead
- 780
- Total
- 8,975
- vs nation
- D+8.2
- Lead
- 1,495
- Total
- 7,685
- vs nation
- D+10.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+33.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 19,9842024 5-year
- Population density
- 227 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 87.9 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $103,6852024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+34.9 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57.1 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Chittenden North Senatorial District, VT · twin score 97.8
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Grand Isle Senatorial District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
66.4%
2,529 votes · D+32.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 66.0%
Republican
William McKinley1896
76.9%
801 votes · R+57.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 76.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
8,219votes
66.0% of the vote · D+34.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 8,133 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
4,197votes
59.5% of the vote · R+20.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 3,970 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+35.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+33.9 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +30.4 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+51.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+57.1 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Benjamin Harrison, 1892 · +36.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Spanning Grand Isle County on Lake Champlain's island chain, this district delivered a 33.9-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024 — one of the widest gaps in a state already tilted heavily toward Democratic presidential candidates.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 34.9 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 57.1 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 33.9 points.
A population of 19,984, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $103,685 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Chittenden North Senatorial District and Chittenden South East Senatorial District.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Vermont Grand Isle Senatorial District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/50GRI/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.