- Lead
- 792
- Total
- 11,740
- vs nation
- R+5.3
Vermont Essex Senatorial District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 191
- Total
- 11,166
- vs nation
- R+6.2
- Lead
- 717
- Total
- 9,608
- vs nation
- R+9.6
- Lead
- 1,619
- Total
- 9,385
- vs nation
- D+13.4
- Lead
- 1,969
- Total
- 10,255
- vs nation
- D+11.9
- Lead
- 258
- Total
- 9,949
- vs nation
- R+0.1
- Lead
- 963
- Total
- 9,747
- vs nation
- R+10.4
- Lead
- 1,142
- Total
- 7,983
- vs nation
- D+5.8
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+6.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 22,2472024 5-year
- Population density
- 26 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 850 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $64,1412024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+27.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+66.2 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Orleans Senatorial District, VT · twin score 97.5
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Essex Senatorial District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
63.5%
4,406 votes · D+27.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 58.3%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
82.5%
2,298 votes · R+66.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 80.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
5,979votes
58.3% of the vote · D+19.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 5,368 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
6,015votes
51.2% of the vote · R+6.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 5,500 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+13.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+17.3 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +11.9 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+58.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+64.8 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alf Landon, 1936 · +48.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Essex Senatorial District covers the state's remote Northeast Kingdom, a sparsely populated region of working forests and small towns where the 2024 presidential result ran nearly 10 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 27.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 66.2 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.7 points.
A population of 22,247, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,141 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Orleans Senatorial District and State Senate District 1.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Vermont Essex Senatorial District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/50ESX/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.