HarrisDemocratic49.3%6,115TrumpRepublican46.8%5,810OtherAll other candidates4.0%491
D+2.5- Lead
- 305
- Total
- 12,416
- vs nation
- D+3.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate senate district
Vermont Orleans Senatorial District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic52.3%6,235TrumpRepublican44.4%5,291OtherAll other candidates3.4%401
D+7.9- Lead
- 944
- Total
- 11,927
- vs nation
- D+3.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic44.0%4,491TrumpRepublican41.2%4,205OtherAll other candidates14.7%1,504
D+2.8- Lead
- 286
- Total
- 10,200
- vs nation
- D+0.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic61.3%6,874RomneyRepublican36.4%4,078OtherAll other candidates2.3%258
D+24.9- Lead
- 2,796
- Total
- 11,210
- vs nation
- D+21.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic62.6%7,637McCainRepublican35.2%4,291OtherAll other candidates2.2%263
D+27.4- Lead
- 3,346
- Total
- 12,191
- vs nation
- D+20.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic52.3%6,735BushRepublican45.7%5,896OtherAll other candidates2.0%258
D+6.5- Lead
- 839
- Total
- 12,889
- vs nation
- D+9.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic45.9%5,749BushRepublican47.4%5,942OtherAll other candidates6.7%842
R+1.5- Lead
- 193
- Total
- 12,533
- vs nation
- R+2.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic51.4%5,425DoleRepublican31.7%3,346OtherAll other candidates16.9%1,782
D+19.7- Lead
- 2,079
- Total
- 10,553
- vs nation
- D+11.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+2.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 22,1032024 5-year
- Population density
- 29 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 768 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $71,5482024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+28.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+71.4 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Essex Senatorial District, VT · twin score 97.5
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Orleans Senatorial District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
64.1%
5,305 votes · D+28.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 62.6%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
83.6%
2,605 votes · R+69.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 83.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
7,637votes
62.6% of the vote · D+27.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 6,874 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
6,229votes
64.0% of the vote · R+29.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 6,222 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+21.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+24.9 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +20.2 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+63.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+69.7 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +55.8 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RSam DouglassState Senate · Orleans
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Orleans Senatorial District covers Vermont's remote Northeast Kingdom, where a D+2.5 presidential margin in 2024 reflects a broader pattern of ticket-splitting and independent-minded voters that resists easy categorization.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 28.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 71.4 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 2.5 points.
A population of 22,103, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,548 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Essex Senatorial District and Caledonia Senatorial District.
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Essex Senatorial District
Vermont
97.5twin score
elasticity12-yr trendpopulation scale
Caledonia Senatorial District
Vermont
94.1twin score
elasticitypopulation scale2008–2012 trajectory≠ Scottish ancestry
State Senate District 1
New Hampshire
91.5twin score
elasticity12-yr trend% unaffiliated≠ median age
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Vermont Orleans Senatorial District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/50ORL/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Vermont at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Vermont Orleans Senatorial District
counties it covers3
Frequently asked questions
How did Vermont Orleans Senatorial District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Vermont Orleans Senatorial District voted Democratic by 2.5 points (D+2.5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 12,416 votes cast, 6,115 went Democratic and 5,810 went Republican.
When did Vermont Orleans Senatorial District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Vermont Orleans Senatorial District voted Republican was 2000.
How many people live in Vermont Orleans Senatorial District?
Vermont Orleans Senatorial District has a population of 22,103 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Vermont Orleans Senatorial District?
Median household income in Vermont Orleans Senatorial District is $71,548 — below the national median of $80,734. The Vermont state median is $81,203.
What is the political history of Vermont Orleans Senatorial District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Vermont Orleans Senatorial District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 28 went Republican.