Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Orange Senatorial District
presidential margin
2008D+31.32012D+31.92016D+17.32020D+24.02024D+20.0
full record · 1892 → 2024
D+20.0
2024
median income$84,067U.S. $80,734 · VT $81,203
median age45.6U.S. 39.1 · VT 43.4
poverty rate9.0%U.S. 12.5% · VT 10.0%
bachelor’s+ (25+)38.4%U.S. 35.6% · VT 44.1%
non-english2.6%U.S. 22.3% · VT 5.5%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
English23.7%
Irish12.9%
German8.8%
Mexican0.5%
Puerto Rican0.2%
religion

Religious adherence is published only at the county level (U.S. Religion Census). See Orange County.

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024.

Orange Senatorial District

Akashic
Orange Senatorial DistrictHarrisD+20.0
2024
2024 presidential margin for Orange Senatorial DistrictThe boundary of Orange Senatorial District, filled by its 2024 presidential margin (D+20.0), over faint outlines of the counties it is drawn from.Orange Senatorial District · D+20.0
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala Harris ✓Democratic57.8%7,460
Donald TrumpRepublican37.8%4,880
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Other4.3%561
D+60
R+60
District boundary, filled by its own 2024 D-vs-R margin — precinct detail where available, over the 1 county it's drawn from (shown faint).
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
County-level results (1 county) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Orange Senatorial District — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Orange County, VTDemocraticD+20.0
38 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). † 2012 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
D
57.8%Harris7,460
37.8%Trump4,880
4.3%Kennedy561
+20.0%
12,901
D
60.2%Biden7,521
36.1%Trump4,516
3.7%Jorgensen460
+24.0%
12,497
D
51.5%Clinton5,504
34.2%Trump3,655
14.3%Johnson1,533
+17.3%
10,692
D
64.6%Obama6,625
32.7%Romney3,349
2.8%Johnson283
+31.9%
10,257
D
64.6%Obama7,152
33.3%McCain3,684
2.2%Nader243
+31.3%
11,079
D
54.8%Kerry5,955
43.1%Bush4,687
2.1%Nader230
+11.7%
10,872
R
45.6%Gore4,886
46.7%Bush5,006
7.8%Nader834
−1.1%
10,726
D
49.8%Clinton4,458
33.0%Dole2,951
17.2%Perot1,544
+16.8%
8,953
D
43.1%Clinton4,214
31.7%Bush3,101
25.3%Perot2,473
+11.4%
9,788
R
44.0%Dukakis3,633
54.4%Bush4,490
1.7%Scattering138
−10.4%
8,261
R
38.4%Mondale2,984
60.2%Reagan4,676
1.3%Bergland103
−21.8%
7,763
R
32.7%Carter2,247
49.5%Reagan3,398
17.7%Anderson1,218
−16.8%
6,863
R
39.0%Carter2,315
58.6%Ford3,480
2.4%McCarthy143
−19.6%
5,938
R
29.9%McGovern1,702
69.1%Nixon3,933
1.0%Schmitz56
−39.2%
5,691
R
30.1%Humphrey1,371
66.2%Nixon3,018
3.8%Wallace173
−36.1%
4,562
D
59.0%Johnson2,860
41.0%Goldwater1,988
0.0%
+18.0%
4,848
R
22.8%Kennedy1,154
77.2%Nixon3,914
0.0%
−54.5%
5,068
R
16.0%Stevenson782
83.9%Eisenhower4,099
0.0%Andrews2
−67.9%
4,883
R
16.1%Stevenson790
83.5%Eisenhower4,095
0.4%Hallinan19
−67.4%
4,904
R
21.6%Truman831
77.0%Dewey2,964
1.5%Thurmond56
−55.4%
3,851
R
26.2%Roosevelt1,069
73.8%Dewey3,005
0.0%
−47.5%
4,074
R
30.8%Roosevelt1,481
68.8%Willkie3,304
0.4%Thomas17
−38.0%
4,802
R
26.6%Roosevelt1,311
73.3%Landon3,617
0.2%Lemke8
−46.7%
4,936
R
29.5%Roosevelt1,336
69.3%Hoover3,142
1.2%Thomas56
−39.8%
4,534
R
14.8%Smith667
84.7%Hoover3,812
0.5%Thomas22
−69.9%
4,501
R
12.9%Davis528
82.8%Coolidge3,399
4.3%La Follette176
−70.0%
4,103
R
20.0%Cox685
78.9%Harding2,710
1.1%Debs38
−59.0%
3,433
R
38.0%Wilson1,007
59.3%Hughes1,570
2.6%Benson70
−21.3%
2,647
O
25.4%Wilson698
34.2%Taft941
40.4%Roosevelt1,113
Roosevelt +6.3
2,752
R
22.0%Bryan487
74.5%Taft1,651
3.6%Debs79
−52.5%
2,217
R
20.0%Parker428
77.1%Roosevelt1,649
2.9%Debs61
−57.1%
2,138
R
22.2%Bryan540
75.3%McKinley1,836
2.5%Woolley61
−53.2%
2,437
R
14.8%Bryan414
80.2%McKinley2,239
4.9%Palmer138
−65.4%
2,791
R
30.1%Cleveland794
66.2%Harrison1,748
3.8%Weaver100
−36.1%
2,642
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presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: +20.0% in 2024.flipped D · 2004+20.0%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892−36.1%
1896−65.4%
1900−53.2%
1904−57.1%
1908−52.5%
1912−8.8%
1916−21.3%
1920−59.0%
1924−70.0%
1928−69.9%
1932−39.8%
1936−46.7%
1940−38.0%
1944−47.5%
1948−55.4%
1952−67.4%
1956−67.9%
1960−54.5%
1964+18.0%
1968−36.1%
1972−39.2%
1976−19.6%
1980−16.8%
1984−21.8%
1988−10.4%
1992+11.4%
1996+16.8%
2000−1.1%
2004+11.7%
2008+31.3%
2012+31.9%
2016+17.3%
2020+24.0%
2024+20.0%
DemocraticRepublican
current representation
Current officeholders
RLarry HartState Senate · Orange

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

Source · OpenStates current legislator CSV.

Despite its small population and rural character, Orange Senatorial District returned a D+17.8 margin in 2024, reflecting Vermont's broader trend of rural areas tracking differently from national rural patterns.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 31.9 points in 2012 and a Republican high of 70.0 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 20.0 points.

A population of 21,950, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $84,067 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 11 and Windsor Senatorial District.

Political twins — state-senate districts

The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

State Senate District 11
Maine
90.8twin score
% unaffiliatedmedian age% Catholic≠ elasticity
Windsor Senatorial District
Vermont
90.4twin score
median age2008–2012 trajectory% White≠ % unaffiliated
Caledonia Senatorial District
Vermont
89.8twin score
median agepopulation scaleelasticity≠ % unaffiliated

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Orange Senatorial District, Vermont. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/50ORA/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Places within Orange Senatorial District

counties it covers1
Orange County

Frequently asked questions

How did Orange Senatorial District, Vermont vote in 2024?
In 2024, Orange Senatorial District, Vermont voted Democratic by 20.0 points (D+20.0), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 12,901 votes cast, 7,460 went Democratic and 4,880 went Republican.
When did Orange Senatorial District, Vermont last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Orange Senatorial District, Vermont voted Republican was 2000.
How many people live in Orange Senatorial District, Vermont?
Orange Senatorial District, Vermont has a population of 21,950 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Orange Senatorial District, Vermont?
Median household income in Orange Senatorial District, Vermont is $84,067 — above the national median of $80,734. The Vermont state median is $81,203.
What is the political history of Orange Senatorial District, Vermont?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Orange Senatorial District, Vermont from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.