HarrisDemocratic56.7%7,427TrumpRepublican39.0%5,106OtherAll other candidates4.4%573
D+17.7- Lead
- 2,321
- Total
- 13,106
- vs nation
- D+19.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate senate district
Vermont Orange Senatorial District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic59.0%7,479TrumpRepublican37.1%4,704OtherAll other candidates3.9%488
D+21.9- Lead
- 2,775
- Total
- 12,671
- vs nation
- D+17.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic49.9%5,393TrumpRepublican35.1%3,798OtherAll other candidates15.0%1,618
D+14.8- Lead
- 1,595
- Total
- 10,809
- vs nation
- D+12.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic63.5%6,651RomneyRepublican34.2%3,582OtherAll other candidates2.3%246
D+29.3- Lead
- 3,069
- Total
- 10,479
- vs nation
- D+25.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic63.4%7,194McCainRepublican34.6%3,932OtherAll other candidates2.0%228
D+28.7- Lead
- 3,262
- Total
- 11,354
- vs nation
- D+21.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic54.1%6,131BushRepublican45.2%5,118OtherAll other candidates0.7%79
D+8.9- Lead
- 1,013
- Total
- 11,328
- vs nation
- D+11.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic46.6%5,019BushRepublican50.7%5,468OtherAll other candidates2.7%291
R+4.2- Lead
- 449
- Total
- 10,778
- vs nation
- R+4.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic54.9%4,574DoleRepublican38.6%3,213OtherAll other candidates6.5%538
D+16.3- Lead
- 1,361
- Total
- 8,325
- vs nation
- D+7.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+17.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 21,9502024 5-year
- Population density
- 44 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 502 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $84,0672024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+29.3 in 2012MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+73.3 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 11, ME · twin score 90.0
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Orange Senatorial District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
63.5%
6,651 votes · D+29.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 63.4%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
85.9%
4,154 votes · R+71.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 85.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
7,479votes
59.0% of the vote · D+21.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 7,427 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2000
5,468votes
50.7% of the vote · R+4.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 5,118 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+25.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+29.3 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +21.5 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+73.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+49.1 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · +63.7 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RLarry HartState Senate · Orange
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Despite its small population and rural character, Orange Senatorial District returned a D+17.8 margin in 2024, reflecting Vermont's broader trend of rural areas tracking differently from national rural patterns.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 29.3 points in 2012 and a Republican high of 73.3 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 17.7 points.
A population of 21,950, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $84,067 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 11 and Windsor Senatorial District.
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State Senate District 11
Maine
90.0twin score
% unaffiliated% Catholic% White≠ elasticity
Windsor Senatorial District
Vermont
89.6twin score
2008–2012 trajectorymedian age% White≠ % unaffiliated
Lamoille Senatorial District
Vermont
89.5twin score
2008–2024 trajectorypopulation scale≠ % unaffiliated
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Vermont Orange Senatorial District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/50ORA/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Vermont at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Vermont Orange Senatorial District
counties it covers1
Frequently asked questions
How did Vermont Orange Senatorial District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Vermont Orange Senatorial District voted Democratic by 17.7 points (D+17.7), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 13,106 votes cast, 7,427 went Democratic and 5,106 went Republican.
When did Vermont Orange Senatorial District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Vermont Orange Senatorial District voted Republican was 2000.
How many people live in Vermont Orange Senatorial District?
Vermont Orange Senatorial District has a population of 21,950 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Vermont Orange Senatorial District?
Median household income in Vermont Orange Senatorial District is $84,067 — above the national median of $80,734. The Vermont state median is $81,203.
What is the political history of Vermont Orange Senatorial District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Vermont Orange Senatorial District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 29 went Republican.