- Lead
- 26,762
- Total
- 124,678
- vs nation
- R+20.0
North Carolina 10th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 27,096
- Total
- 111,357
- vs nation
- R+28.8
- Lead
- 26,010
- Total
- 85,909
- vs nation
- R+32.4
- Lead
- 21,137
- Total
- 76,691
- vs nation
- R+31.4
- Lead
- 16,827
- Total
- 71,017
- vs nation
- R+31.0
- Lead
- 19,637
- Total
- 54,357
- vs nation
- R+33.7
- Lead
- 13,508
- Total
- 41,155
- vs nation
- R+33.3
- Lead
- 7,529
- Total
- 32,119
- vs nation
- R+32.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+21.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 215,9992024 5-year
- Population density
- 273 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 792 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $83,3842024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 63.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 15.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 15.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+46.0 in 1948MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59.9 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 31, GA · twin score 95.5
presidential history
Party record book
North Carolina 10th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
72.2%
11,253 votes · D+44.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 70.9%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
79.2%
14,272 votes · R+59.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 67.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
48,116votes
38.6% of the vote · R+21.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 41,257 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
74,878votes
60.1% of the vote · R+21.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 68,353 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Adlai Stevenson1956
+49.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+33.6 · U.S. R+15.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +44.4 pts
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
+36.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+59.9 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · +33.7 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
North Carolina Senate District 10 covers a swath of the Piedmont region where Republicans carried the 2024 presidential contest by 13.4 points, reflecting a rural demographic mix that has trended consistently toward the GOP over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 46.0 points in 1948 and a Republican high of 59.9 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.9 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 21.5 points.
A population of 215,999, a 63% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $83,384 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 31 and State Senate District 25.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
North Carolina 10th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/37010/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.