- Lead
- 38,174
- Total
- 98,496
- vs nation
- D+40.2
New York 10th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 60,307
- Total
- 107,198
- vs nation
- D+51.8
- Lead
- 59,995
- Total
- 95,626
- vs nation
- D+60.6
- Lead
- 56,503
- Total
- 83,978
- vs nation
- D+63.4
- Lead
- 54,060
- Total
- 89,216
- vs nation
- D+53.3
- Lead
- 45,921
- Total
- 83,412
- vs nation
- D+57.5
- Lead
- 48,141
- Total
- 77,564
- vs nation
- D+61.5
- Lead
- 43,340
- Total
- 70,586
- vs nation
- D+52.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+38.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 318,8202024 5-year
- Population density
- 11,386 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 28 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $82,4222024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 16.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 46.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 18.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+67.3 in 2012MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+32.8 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 14, NY · twin score 97.3
presidential history
Party record book
New York 10th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2020 (partial returns from 1876) · 37 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 33 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
83.3%
69,989 votes · D+67.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 80.3%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
64.1%
10,692 votes · R+32.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 53.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
83,364votes
77.8% of the vote · D+56.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 80,472 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
53,067votes
53.0% of the vote · R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 50,781 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+63.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+67.3 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Al Gore, 2000 · +61.5 pts
Republican
Thomas E. Dewey1944
+15.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+8.1 · U.S. D+7.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Wendell Willkie, 1940 · +7.2 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 67.4%59,205 | 32.6%28,688 | 87,893 |
New York's 10th State Senate District, home to roughly 319,000 residents, has produced competitive margins in recent cycles, making it a perennial target for both parties in legislative races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 67.3 points in 2012 and a Republican high of 32.8 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 17.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 38.8 points.
A population of 318,820, a 17% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $82,422 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 14 and State Senate District 34.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New York 10th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/36010/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.