- Lead
- 13,123
- Total
- 24,680
- vs nation
- D+54.6
New Mexico 16th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 13,749
- Total
- 25,222
- vs nation
- D+50.1
- Lead
- 11,070
- Total
- 22,856
- vs nation
- D+46.3
- Lead
- 11,369
- Total
- 22,516
- vs nation
- D+46.6
- Lead
- 13,411
- Total
- 24,121
- vs nation
- D+48.3
- Lead
- 8,526
- Total
- 20,396
- vs nation
- D+44.3
- Lead
- 6,291
- Total
- 16,171
- vs nation
- D+38.4
- Lead
- 5,703
- Total
- 14,701
- vs nation
- D+30.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+53.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 50,7062024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,300 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 39 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $62,6132024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 49.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 32.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+72.7 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 32, CO · twin score 87.8
presidential history
Party record book
New Mexico 16th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1912–2024 · 29 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
86.2%
1,678 votes · D+72.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 81.2%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
43.8%
1,970 votes · D+12.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 41.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
19,152votes
75.9% of the vote · D+54.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 18,639 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
5,827votes
28.6% of the vote · D+41.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 5,403 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+85.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+58.8 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +68.8 pts
Republican
Richard Nixon1968
−23.7pts R vs U.S.
Place D+23.0 · U.S. R+0.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1912 · −24.4 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 61.0%13,800 | 39.0%8,824 | 22,624 |
New Mexico 16th State Senate District sits in the desert Southwest. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 72.7 points in 1936. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 53.2 points.
A population of 50,706, a 50% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,613 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 32 and State Senate District 13.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New Mexico 16th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/35016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.