- Lead
- 9,164
- Total
- 121,785
- vs nation
- R+6.1
New Jersey 3rd State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 3,617
- Total
- 129,657
- vs nation
- R+7.2
- Lead
- 6,343
- Total
- 108,337
- vs nation
- R+7.9
- Lead
- 7,452
- Total
- 104,895
- vs nation
- D+3.2
- Lead
- 9,213
- Total
- 109,301
- vs nation
- D+1.2
- Lead
- 180
- Total
- 101,179
- vs nation
- D+2.3
- Lead
- 10,257
- Total
- 87,223
- vs nation
- D+11.2
- Lead
- 12,554
- Total
- 83,212
- vs nation
- D+6.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+7.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 235,8442024 5-year
- Population density
- 379 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 623 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $97,1352024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 73.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+28.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61.8 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 4, NJ · twin score 91.0
presidential history
Party record book
New Jersey 3rd State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
64.4%
41,509 votes · D+28.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 56.3%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
80.8%
29,745 votes · R+61.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 71.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
61,618votes
47.5% of the vote · R+2.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 58,127 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
65,235votes
50.3% of the vote · R+2.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 64,517 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
+11.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+11.8 · U.S. D+0.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · +6.6 pts
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
+44.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+61.8 · U.S. R+17.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1932 · +35.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | R | 49.3%60,856 | 50.7%62,537 | 123,393 |
| 2018 | D | 53.0%34,060 | 47.0%30,199 | 64,259 |
Anchored along New Jersey's northern Shore counties, this district has trended toward single-digit presidential margins in recent cycles, making it a credible bellwether for statewide competitive races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 28.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 61.8 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 7.5 points.
A population of 235,844, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $97,135 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 4 and State Senate District 50.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New Jersey 3rd State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/34003/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.